Using Sentinel-2 time series to detect slope movement before the Jinsha River landslide

Detecting slope movement before landslides occur in mountain regions is crucial for disaster reduction. In October 2018, a gigantic landslide occurred on the Jinsha River, causing dammed-lake breach flood 500 km downstream. In this work, we used 25 Sentinel-2 images from November 2015 to August 2018 to explore the capability of this high temporal resolution optical images in detecting slope movement before the Jinsha River landslide. Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was calculated to composite temporal profiles using all Sentinel-2 images. With this NDVI time series, unsupervised K-means classifier was applied to initially classify the study area and find the best thresholds for automatically extracting landslide scars in the image series. These extracted landslide scars were validated using interpreted results from two high spatial resolution images of similar dates in 2015 (user’s accuracy 89.7%, producer’s accuracy 83.6%) and 2018 (user’s accuracy 90.8%, producer’s accuracy 74.9%). After validation, extracted landslide scars of different years were counted and displayed in an RGB composite image to highlight slope movement. In addition, monotonous decrease/increase of NDVI was also observed, indicating continuous expansion of landslide scarps and movement of landslide head along the slope on the landslide surface. This work demonstrated the capability of Sentinel-2 time series images to capture slope movement with short revisit time at low cost. By incorporating other environmental information (such as elevation), this proposed method has the potential to consistently map pre-landslide slope movements over a large region.