A Logistic Regression Model for Predicting the Upstream Extent of Fish Occurrence Based on Geographical Information Systems Data

Abstract Regulations governing human activities in streams and riparian zones frequently differ depending on whether or not a stream reach supports fish. Fish presence or absence is usually determined by sampling or by assuming the presence of fish if the stream exhibits certain physical characteristics. Field surveys of fish occurrence in streams are time consuming and expensive. Inference of fish presence from simple thresholds of physical attributes, such as gradient or channel width alone, is inaccurate. We attempted to improve the accuracy and efficiency of this determination by developing a geographical information systems (GIS)-based predictive model. A 10-m digital elevation model incorporated field data on fish distribution from 517 streams in western Washington State and GIS-derived representations of the physical characteristics of stream networks. A model predicting the upstream extent of fish occurrence was derived using logistic regression models coupled with a heuristic “stopping rule.” Can...

[1]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Model selection and multimodel inference : a practical information-theoretic approach , 2003 .

[2]  R. H. Myers.  Generalized Linear Models: With Applications in Engineering and the Sciences , 2001 .

[3]  K. Fausch,et al.  Landscapes to Riverscapes: Bridging the Gap between Research and Conservation of Stream Fishes , 2002 .

[4]  J. Rosenfeld,et al.  Predictive Models of Fish Species Distribution in the Blackwater Drainage, British Columbia , 2000 .

[5]  Gary G. Koch,et al.  Categorical data analysis using the sas® system, 2nd edition , 2000 .

[6]  James T. Peterson,et al.  Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 133:462–475, 2004 � Copyright by the American Fisheries Society 2004 An Evaluation of Multipass Electrofishing for Estimating the Abundance of Stream-Dwelling Salmonids , 2022 .

[7]  R. Whitney,et al.  Inland Fishes of Washington , 1979 .

[8]  S. Cooke,et al.  Electrofishing‐induced cardiac disturbance and injury in rainbow trout , 2004 .

[9]  T. McMahon,et al.  Effect of Electrofishing Pulse Shape and Electrofishing-Induced Spinal Injury on Long-Term Growth and Survival of Wild Rainbow Trout , 1996 .

[10]  B. Rieman,et al.  Local and Geographic Variability in the Distribution of Stream-Living Lahontan Cutthroat Trout , 1999 .

[11]  Sunil J Rao,et al.  Regression Modeling Strategies: With Applications to Linear Models, Logistic Regression, and Survival Analysis , 2003 .

[12]  D. Gregovich,et al.  Export of invertebrates and detritus from fishless headwater streams in southeastern Alaska: implications for downstream salmonid production , 2002 .

[13]  W. Hubert,et al.  Segregation of resident trout in streams as predicted by three habitat dimensions , 1992 .

[14]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Model selection and inference : a practical information-theoretic approach , 2000 .

[15]  D. C. Erman,et al.  The Quantitative Importance of an Intermittent Stream in the Spawning of Rainbow Trout , 1976 .

[16]  N. Peterson,et al.  A Comparison of the Removal and Mark-Recapture Methods of Population Estimation for Juvenile Coho Salmon in a Small Stream , 1984 .

[17]  P. Ellefson,et al.  Regulation of Private Forestry Practices by State Governments , 1995 .

[18]  Bryan F. J. Manly,et al.  Resource Selection by Animals , 1993, Springer Netherlands.

[19]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Null Hypothesis Testing: Problems, Prevalence, and an Alternative , 2000 .

[20]  Gordon E. Grant,et al.  Mass failures and other processes of sediment production in Pacific northwest forest landscapes , 1987 .

[21]  F. Rahel,et al.  Geomorphic Influences on the Distribution of Yellowstone Cutthroat Trout in the Absaroka Mountains, Wyoming , 1997 .

[22]  D. Hosmer,et al.  A comparison of goodness-of-fit tests for the logistic regression model. , 1997, Statistics in medicine.

[23]  D. Price,et al.  Change in the Upper Extent of Fish Distribution in Eastern Washington Streams between 2001 and 2002 , 2006 .

[24]  Gary G. Koch,et al.  Categorical Data Analysis Using The SAS1 System , 1995 .

[25]  M. Elmqvist.  GROUND SURFACE ESTIMATION FROM AIRBORNE LASER SCANNER DATA USING ACTIVE SHAPE MODELS , 2002 .

[26]  R. Naiman,et al.  Physical constraints on trout (Oncorhynchus spp.) distribution in the Cascade Mountains: a comparison of logged and unlogged streams , 2003 .

[27]  T. Brown,et al.  Contribution of seasonally flooded lands and minor tributaries to the production of coho salmon in Carnation Creek, British Columbia , 1988 .

[28]  David W. Hosmer,et al.  Applied Logistic Regression , 1991 .

[29]  N. Nagelkerke,et al.  A note on a general definition of the coefficient of determination , 1991 .