Multi-criteria analysis of electricity generation technologies in Lithuania

The paper presents the process of choice of electricity generation technologies, which has been solved using a case of Lithuania's power sector and such multiple criteria mathematical methods as AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and ARAS (Additive Ratio Assessment method). Having considered the impact of environment, a set of evaluation criteria was compiled for electricity generation technologies. Analysis of qualitative and quantitative criteria helped to rate the electricity generation technologies considering their economic, technological, environmental social and political aspects and rank them in order of priority. The derived results show that in case of Lithuania it is viable to consider further development of the nuclear power generation capacity. Among the electricity generation technologies related to renewable energy sources a clear priority is assigned to biomass technologies. Sensitivity analysis performed by applying multi criteria method ARAS, has confirmed this result.

[1]  Jiangjiang Wang,et al.  Review on multi-criteria decision analysis aid in sustainable energy decision-making , 2009 .

[2]  George Mavrotas,et al.  Multicriteria decision analysis with minimum information: combining DEA with MAVT , 2006, Comput. Oper. Res..

[3]  M. Ramachandran,et al.  Application of multi-criteria decision making to sustainable energy planning--A review , 2004 .

[4]  Ivan Vera,et al.  Energy indicators for sustainable development , 2007 .

[5]  Keekeun Lee,et al.  Development of SAW-based multi-gas sensor for simultaneous detection of CO2 and NO2 , 2011 .

[6]  Agis M. Papadopoulos,et al.  Application of the multi-criteria analysis method Electre III for the optimisation of decentralised energy systems , 2008 .

[7]  Chen-Tung Chen,et al.  Extensions of the TOPSIS for group decision-making under fuzzy environment , 2000, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[8]  J. R. San Cristóbal,et al.  Multi-criteria decision-making in the selection of a renewable energy project in Spain: the VIKOR method. , 2011 .

[9]  Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas,et al.  Multiple criteria analysis of foundation instalment alternatives by applying Additive Ratio Assessment (ARAS) method , 2010 .

[10]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multicriteria renewable energy planning using an integrated fuzzy VIKOR & AHP methodology: The case of Istanbul , 2010 .

[11]  Marc Muselli,et al.  Multicriteria selection aiding related to photovoltaic plants on farming fields on Corsica island: A real case study using the ELECTRE outranking framework , 2011 .

[12]  B. Sovacool,et al.  Conceptualizing and measuring energy security: A synthesized approach , 2011 .

[13]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multicriteria decision making in energy planning using a modified fuzzy TOPSIS methodology , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[14]  Haydar Aras,et al.  Multi-criteria selection for a wind observation station location using analytic hierarchy process , 2004 .

[15]  Joseph Virgone,et al.  Multi-source energy systems analysis using a multi-criteria decision aid methodology , 2011 .

[16]  Thomas L. Saaty,et al.  Multicriteria Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Planning, Priority Setting, Resource Allocation , 1990 .

[17]  T. Saaty.  How to Make a Decision: The Analytic Hierarchy Process , 1990 .

[18]  Jin-Soo Kim,et al.  Analysis of the assessment factors for renewable energy dissemination program evaluation using fuzzy AHP , 2010 .

[19]  Maurizio Cellura,et al.  Decision-making in energy planning. Application of the Electre method at regional level for the diffusion of renewable energy technology , 2003 .

[20]  A. Grunwald.  Energy futures: Diversity and the need for assessment , 2011 .

[21]  Morteza Yazdani,et al.  A state-of the-art survey of TOPSIS applications , 2012, Expert Syst. Appl..

[22]  Dalia Streimikiene,et al.  Sustainability assessment of policy scenarios , 2011 .

[23]  Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas,et al.  Environment factors of energy companies and their effect on value: Analysis model and applied method , 2009 .

[24]  Dalia Streimikiene.  Assessment of road transport technologies based on GHG emission reduction potential and costs , 2013 .

[25]  Dalia Streimikiene,et al.  Assessment of electricity generation technologies based on ghg emission reduction potential and costs , 2012 .

[26]  Giorgio Guariso,et al.  Methods and tools to evaluate the availability of renewable energy sources , 2011 .

[27]  Fausto Cavallaro,et al.  A comparative assessment of thin-film photovoltaic production processes using the ELECTRE III method , 2010 .

[28]  E. Løken.  Use of multicriteria decision analysis methods for energy planning problems , 2007 .

[29]  Tugrul U. Daim,et al.  Evaluation of energy storage technologies for integration with renewable electricity: Quantifying expert opinions , 2012 .

[30]  Manik Chandra Das,et al.  A framework to measure relative performance of Indian technical institutions using integrated fuzzy AHP and COPRAS methodology , 2012 .

[31]  Lung-Chieh Lin,et al.  Evaluating and ranking the energy performance of office building using technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution , 2011 .

[32]  Kazim Baris Atici,et al.  Efficiency evaluations with context-dependent and measure-specific data envelopment approaches: An application in a World Bank supported project ☆ , 2010 .