A Tour-Based Approach to Destination Choice Modeling Incorporating Agglomeration and Competition Effects

Recently, there has been a paradigm shift in the area of freight demand modeling. The main reason of this shift is the need to overcome the limitations of freight demand models which relies on the traditional four-step model of passenger travel. This study develops destination choice models as sub-models of the tour-based model in order to reflect accessibility. The tour-based model consists of departure time choice, next-stop destination choice, stop duration, and next-stop purpose choice. The destination choice model is classified into three trip types (i.e. entire trip, primary trip, and intermediate trip), three truck types, and three model structures. The results suggest that truck drivers are more likely to prefer intermediate destinations if they are highly accessible, which in turn implies agglomeration effects in intermediate-trip destination choice. Consistent with the previous studies, the entire trip and the primary trip showed only the competition effects. However, the destination choice of intermediate trip was found the agglomeration effects.

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