Threat Identification Based on Bayesian Networks

According to characteristics of threat identification and Bayesian network, a method of threat identification based on Bayesian network is proposed. The situation assessment knowledge representation with the Bayesian networks is analyzed and the steps to construct a Bayesian networks for threat assessment are presented. Then, the layers of events in the situation assessment system are analyzed. Finally, the process of how to use the Bayesian networks for Threat identification is presented with an example, which shows that the blue air fleet can predict the tactic intention of the red in advance.