Pricing Model and Real Options in 4G LTE Mobile Network

This paper focuses on real option theory and on its applications in 4G LTE mobile network. The objective of this paper are (1) to introduce real option theory and to discuss its applicability as a decision support tools, (2) to exemplify some real options present in 4G LTE communication of MNO markets, and (3) to apply real option approach based on the proposed pricing model to the selected case to demonstrate the power of option pricing models as a decision support tool in 4G LTE mobile network. The application of real option approach is valuation of investment opportunities when the future capacity prices are uncertain but the investment costs are unknown. The optimal pricing of capacity tariffs is identified under stochastic capacity prices. The case demonstrates how real option models can be used to derive decision rules to problems faced by several telecom parties.

[1]  Erik Bohlin WITHDRAWN: Business Models and Financial Impacts of Future Mobile Broadband Networks , 2007 .

[2]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[3]  R. C. Merton,et al.  Theory of Rational Option Pricing , 2015, World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance.

[4]  Fotios C. Harmantzis,et al.  Investment decisions in the wireless industry applying real options , 2007 .

[5]  Stewart C. Myers,et al.  Finance Theory and Financial Strategy , 1984 .

[6]  THIRD GENERATION MOBILE GAMES – An application of real competition options , 2004 .

[7]  Timo Smura,et al.  Virtual operators in the mobile industry: a techno-economic analysis , 2007 .

[8]  Wichian Premchaiswadi,et al.  A pricing model and sensitivity analysis for MVNO investment decision making in 3G UMTS networks , 2010, 2010 IEEE Symposium on Industrial Electronics and Applications (ISIEA).

[9]  Jin-Su Kang,et al.  An analysis of interdependencies in mobile communications technology: The case of WiMAX and the development of a market assessment model , 2011 .

[10]  J. Hull Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives , 1989 .

[11]  Ian F. Akyildiz,et al.  The evolution to 4G cellular systems: LTE-Advanced , 2010, Phys. Commun..

[12]  Bruno Tuffin,et al.  A Pricing Model for a Mobile Network Operator Sharing Limited Resource with a Mobile Virtual Network Operator , 2009, ICQT.

[13]  S. Myers Determinants of corporate borrowing , 1977 .

[14]  Guy Pujolle,et al.  Third-generation virtualized architecture for the MVNO context , 2009, Ann. des Télécommunications.

[15]  Robert T. Clemen,et al.  Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools , 2013 .

[16]  Erik Bohlin,et al.  Business models and financial impacts of future mobile broadband networks , 2007, Telematics Informatics.

[17]  Thomas Sphicopoulos,et al.  On the Economics of 3G Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) , 2006, Wirel. Pers. Commun..

[18]  Johnathan Mun,et al.  Real options analysis : tools and techniques for valuing strategic investments and decisions , 2012 .