Annotated bibliography for public risk communication on warnings for public protective actions response and public education

This paper describes the evacuation of the population of Cancun, Mexico during Hurricane Gilbert, and identifies some of the correlates of their evacuation behavior. The information was collected during a post-disaster visit conducted one week after impact (September 13, 1988) and as part of a survey a year later of a random sample of 431 persons 18 years and older who resided in Cancun at the time of the disaster. One-fourth of the respondents evacuated. The majority of the evacuees found shelter in the homes of friends, neighbors, and relatives and were gone from their homes a week or less. Socio-demographic variables such as the number of persons in the household, gender, age, and marital status were not very useful predictors of evacuation behavior. Lower socioeconomic status (SES) and higher numbers of family contacts did not increase the probability of evacuation. The findings underscore the importance of calculations of risk for understanding evacuation behavior. The environmental context and physical characteristics of residences are significant variables impacting on the perceptions of risk and on subsequent evacuation behavior.

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[25]  Jane Gray,et al.  Characteristic patterns of and variations in community response to acute chemical emergencies , 1981 .

[26]  Diana Liverman,et al.  THE MISSISSAUGA TRAIN DERAILMENT AND EVACUATION, 10–16 NOVEMBER 1979 , 1981 .

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[30]  Ronald W. Perry,et al.  The Social Psychology of Civil Defense , 1984, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

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[33]  M. Lindell,et al.  Crisis Communications: Ethnic Differentials in Interpreting and Acting on Disaster Warnings. , 1982 .

[34]  R. Perry,et al.  The Role of Ethnicity in the Emergency Decision‐Making Process* , 1982 .

[35]  J. Nigg Communication Under Conditions of Uncertainty: Understanding Earthquake Forecasting , 1982 .

[36]  Robert W. Burpee The Hurricane and Its Impact , 1982 .

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[38]  Rh Turner,et al.  Waiting for Disaster: Chancing Reactions to Earthquake Forecasts in Southern California , 1983, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[39]  Ronald W. Perry,et al.  Citizen Response to Volcanic Eruptions: The Case of Mt. St. Helens , 1983 .

[40]  Ronald W. Perry,et al.  Population evacuation in volcanic eruptions, floods, and nuclear power plant accidents: Some elementary comparisons , 1983 .

[41]  S. Breznitz Cry Wolf: The Psychology of False Alarms , 1984 .

[42]  Robert A. Stallings,et al.  Evacuation Behavior at Three Mile Island , 1984, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[43]  Victor R. Baker,et al.  The Tucson, Arizona, flood of October 1983 , 1984 .

[44]  Donald J. Zeigler,et al.  EVACUATION BEHAVIOR IN RESPONSE TO NUCLEAR POWER PLANT ACCIDENTS , 1984 .

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[46]  O Hiori,et al.  A Study of Mass Media Reporting in Emergencies , 1985, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[47]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  Inter- and Intraorganizational Cohesion in Emergencies , 1985 .

[48]  Ronald W. Perry,et al.  Comprehensive emergency management : evacuating threatened populations , 1986 .

[49]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  Decision-making Uncertainties in Emergency Warning System Organizations , 1987, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[50]  Arnold R. Parr Disasters and disabled persons: An examination of the safety needs of a neglected minority , 1987 .

[51]  Kathleen J. Tierney,et al.  Chemical emergencies, offsite exposures, and organizational response , 1987 .

[52]  Ronald W. Perry,et al.  Warning Mechanisms in Emergency Response Systems , 1987, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[53]  P. Slovic Perception of risk. , 1987, Science.

[54]  Susan L. Cutter Airborne Toxic Releases: Are Communities Prepared? , 1987 .

[55]  D. Mileti,et al.  Warning and evacuation: answering some basic questions , 1988 .

[56]  Ortwin Renn,et al.  The Social Amplification of Risk: A Conceptual Framework , 1988 .

[57]  John H. Sorensen,et al.  Local Preparedness for Chemical Accidents: A Survey of U.S. Communities , 1988 .

[58]  R A Etzel,et al.  Surveillance for adverse health effects following a chemical release in west virginia. , 1988, Disasters.

[59]  John H. Sorensen,et al.  Warning and response in two hazardous materials transportation accidents in the U.S. , 1989 .

[60]  Eve Gruntfest,et al.  Status report on flood warning systems in the United States , 1989 .

[61]  E. L. Quarantelli,et al.  THE WARNING PROCESS AND EVACUATION BEHAVIOR: THE RESEARCH EVIDENCE , 1990 .

[62]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  Communication of Emergency Public Warnings: A Social Science Perspective and State-of-the-Art Assessment , 1990 .

[63]  De Marchi Bruna,et al.  Risk Information Needs of Communities Near Seveso Sites. A Pilot Study , 1990 .

[64]  Eve Grunfest Warning Dissemination and Response with Short Lead Times , 1990 .

[65]  J. H. Sorensen,et al.  When Shall We Leave?: Factors Affecting the Timing of Evacuation Departures , 1991 .

[66]  Ford N. Burkhart Media, Emergency Warnings, And Citizen Response , 1991 .

[67]  Jinfang Li Social Responses To The Tangshan Earthquake , 1991 .

[68]  Roger E. Kasperson,et al.  Communicating risks to the public : international perspectives , 1991 .

[69]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  The Effects of Ethnicity on Evacuation Decision-Making , 1991, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[70]  Susan L. Cutter,et al.  Fleeing from Harm: International Trends in Evacuations from Chemical Accidents , 1991, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[71]  Benigno E. Aguirre,et al.  Evacuation in Cancun During Hurricane Gilbert , 1991, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[72]  Bm Voght Issues in Nursing Home Evacuations , 1991 .

[73]  Benigno E. Aguirre Saragosa, Texas, tornado, May 22, 1987 : an evaluation of the warning system , 1991 .

[74]  John H. Sorensen,et al.  Diffusion of Emergency Warning: Comparing Empirical and Simulation Results , 1991 .

[75]  Cl Streeter Redundancy in Social Systems: Implications for Warning and Evacuation Planning , 1991 .

[76]  R. Perry,et al.  Ethnicity and hazard information dissemination , 1991 .

[77]  R. Kasperson The social amplification of risk: progress in developing an integrative framework of risk’, in S. , 1992 .

[78]  L. D. Browning,et al.  Communication in Crisis, Communication in Recovery: A Postmodern Commentary on the Exxon Valdez Disaster , 1992 .

[79]  D. Mileti,et al.  The Causal Sequence of Risk Communication in the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment , 1992 .

[80]  Branden B. Johnson,et al.  Testing the Role of Technical Information in Public Risk Perception , 1992 .

[81]  David Dooley,et al.  Earthquake Preparedness: Predictors in a Community Survey1 , 1992 .

[82]  Paul W. O’Brien,et al.  Warnings during disaster: normalizing communicated risk , 1992 .

[83]  D. Mileti,et al.  Fostering Public Preparations for Natural Hazards: Lessons from the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction , 1992 .

[84]  Ronald W. Perry,et al.  Behavioral foundations of community emergency planning , 1992 .

[85]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Perception of risk: Reflections on the psychometric paradigm , 1992 .

[86]  Aspects of Risk Communication in Two Cultures , 1992 .

[87]  THOMAS E. DRABEK,et al.  Variations in disaster evacuation behavior: public responses versus private sector executive decision-making processes. , 1992, Disasters.

[88]  Rh Turner Reflections on the Past and Future of Social Research on Earthquake Warnings , 1993 .

[89]  Social impacts of earthquake prediction in Greece , 1993 .

[90]  Cynthia-Lou Coleman The Influence of Mass Media and Interpersonal Communication on Societal and Personal Risk Judgments , 1993 .

[91]  M. L. Edwards,et al.  Social Location and Self-Protective Behavior: Implications for Earthquake Preparedness , 1993, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[92]  Paul Slovic,et al.  The Nevada Initiative: A Risk Communication Fiasco , 1993 .

[93]  J. Němec,et al.  Prediction and Perception of Natural Hazards , 1993 .

[94]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  The Great Earthquake Experiment: Risk Communication And Public Action , 1993 .

[95]  Risk communication in social context: Improving effective communication , 1993 .

[96]  D. Mileti Communicating Public Earthquake Risk Information , 1993 .

[97]  Oene Wiegman,et al.  The Response of Local Residents to a Chemical Hazard Warning: Prediction of Behavioral Intentions in Greece, France and the Netherlands , 1992, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[98]  John E. Farley Public, Media, and Institutional Responses to the Iben Browning Earthquake Prediction , 1993 .

[99]  J Kazmierczak,et al.  Making Iconoclasts Credible: The Iben Browning Earthquake Prediction , 1993 .

[100]  R. Rothermel,et al.  Mann Gulch fire: A race that couldn't be won , 1993 .

[101]  R. Hamada Children of Iniki: Effects of evacuation and intervention , 1994 .

[102]  George O. Rogers The timing of emergency decisions : modelling decisions by community officials during chemical accidents , 1994 .

[103]  Thomas E. Drabek,et al.  Disaster evacuation and the tourist industry , 1994 .

[104]  J. W. Spencer,et al.  Media Presentations of a Hazard Event and the Public's Response: An Empirical Examination , 1994, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[105]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  Societal Response to Revised Earthquake Probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Area , 1995, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[106]  Evacuation in Wild Fires: The Australian Experience , 1995 .

[107]  Roger E. Kasperson,et al.  Preparing For Nuclear Power Plant Accidents , 1995 .

[108]  John-Paul Mulilis,et al.  Negative Threat Appeals and Earthquake Preparedness: A Person-Relative-to-Event (PrE) Model of Coping With Threat , 1995 .

[109]  Using Automated Emergency Notification Systems to Inform the Public: A Field Experiment , 1995 .

[110]  E. Vaughan,et al.  The Significance of Socioeconomic and Ethnic Diversity for the Risk Communication Process , 1995 .

[111]  C. Emdad Haque,et al.  Climatic hazards warning process in Bangladesh: Experience of, and lessons from, the 1991 April cyclone , 1995 .

[112]  E. Baker Public Response to Hurricane Probability Forecasts , 1995 .

[113]  Bernd Rohrmann Effective Risk Communication for Fire Preparedness: A Conceptual Framework , 1995 .

[114]  Dennis J. Parker,et al.  Flood warning systems under stress in the United Kingdom , 1995 .

[115]  Thomas E. Drabek,et al.  Disaster Responses within the Tourist Industry , 1995, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[116]  L E Quenemoen,et al.  Assessment of a severe-weather warning system and disaster preparedness, Calhoun County, Alabama, 1994. , 1996, American journal of public health.

[117]  R. Burby,et al.  Protecting tourists from death and injury in coastal storms. , 1996, Disasters.

[118]  Thomas E. Drabek,et al.  Disaster evacuation behavior : tourists and other transients , 1996 .

[119]  Dennis S. Mileti,et al.  The Role of Searching in Shaping Reactions to Earthquake Risk Information , 1997 .

[120]  M K Lindell,et al.  Aged Citizens in the Warning Phase of Disasters: Re-Examining the Evidence , 1997, International journal of aging & human development.

[121]  F H Norris Frequency and structure of precautionary behavior in the domains of hazard preparedness, crime prevention, vehicular safety, and health maintenance. , 1997, Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association.

[122]  Russell C. Coile The role of amateur radio in providing emergency electronic communication for disaster management , 1997 .

[123]  V T Covello,et al.  The Determinants of Trust and Credibility in Environmental Risk Communication: An Empirical Study , 1997, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[124]  Arnold R Parr Disasters and Human Rights of Persons with Disabilities: A Case for an Ethical Disaster Mitigation Policy , 1997 .

[125]  John F. Monahan,et al.  Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Warnings at Raleigh, North Carolina , 1997 .

[126]  M. Fordham,et al.  Flood Evacuation in Two Communities in Scotland: Lessons from European Research , 1998 .

[127]  S. Cutter,et al.  Crying wolf: Repeat responses to hurricane evacuation orders , 1998 .

[128]  S. Dunwoody,et al.  Public Reliance on Risk Communication Channels in the Wake of a Cryptosporidium Outbreak , 1998, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[129]  C. Newhall,et al.  Fire and mud: eruptions and lahars of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines , 1998 .

[130]  John Handmer,et al.  The Role of Unofficial Flood Warning Systems , 1998 .

[131]  Jasmin K. Riad,et al.  Hurricane Threat and Evacuation Intentions: An Analysis of Risk Perception, Preparedness, Social Influence, and Resources , 1998 .

[132]  Eve Gruntfest,et al.  Internet and Emergency Management: Prospects for the Future , 1998 .

[133]  Rd Blanchard-Boehm,et al.  Understanding Public Response to Increased Risk from Natural Hazards: Application of the Hazards Risk Communication Framework , 1998 .

[134]  B. Aguirre,et al.  A Test of the Emergent Norm Theory of Collective Behavior , 1998 .

[135]  Jonathan D. Sime Crowd facilities, management and communications in disasters , 1999 .

[136]  Jerome M. Chertkoff,et al.  Don't Panic: The Psychology of Emergency Egress and Ingress , 1999 .

[137]  John H. Sorensen,et al.  Description of Survey Data Regarding the Chemical Repackaging Plant Accident West Helena, Arkansas , 1999 .

[138]  Fran H. Norris,et al.  Predicting Evacuation in Two Major Disasters: Risk Perception, Social Influence, and Access to Resources , 1999 .

[139]  John-Paul Mulilis,et al.  A Person‐Relative‐to‐Event (PrE) Approach to Negative Threat Appeals and Earthquake Preparedness: A Field Study1 , 1999 .

[140]  Michael J. Palenchar,et al.  Community Relations and Risk Communication: A Longitudinal Study of the Impact of Emergency Response Messages , 2000 .

[141]  Thomas E. Drabek Pattern Differences in Disaster-Induced Employee Evacuations , 2000 .

[142]  Joseph H. Golden,et al.  The Tornado Problem: Forecast, Warning, and Response , 2000 .

[143]  J Malilay,et al.  Predictors for people's response to a tornado warning: Arkansas, 1 March 1997. , 2000, Disasters.

[144]  David King,et al.  You’re on Your Own: Community Vulnerability and the Need for Awareness and Education for Predicatable Natural Disasters , 2000 .

[145]  John H. Sorensen,et al.  Hazard Warning Systems: Review of 20 Years of Progress , 2000 .

[146]  D. Mileti,et al.  The social psychology of public response to warnings of a nuclear power plant accident. , 2000, Journal of hazardous materials.

[147]  Peter Ockerby Evacuation of a Passenger Ship - Is Panic a Major Factor? , 2001 .

[148]  K. J. McGlown,et al.  Evacuation of Health Care Facilities: A New Twist to a Classic Model , 2001 .

[149]  Walter Gillis Peacock,et al.  Modeling Hurricane Evacutaion Decisions with Ethnographic Methods , 2001, International Journal of Mass Emergencies & Disasters.

[150]  T. Drabek Disaster warning and evacuation responses by private business employees. , 2001, Disasters.

[151]  E Rincon,et al.  Effect of previous experience of a hurricane on preparedness for future hurricanes. , 2001, The American journal of emergency medicine.

[152]  William J. Spence,et al.  Responses to Iben Browning's Prediction of a 1990 New Madrid, Missouri, Earthquake , 2001 .

[153]  Robert A. Olson,et al.  Socioeconomic reverberations of earthquake prediction: snapshot in time, Peru 1979-1981 , 2001 .

[154]  Bob Edwards,et al.  Gender and Evacuation: A Closer Look at Why Women are More Likely to Evacuate for Hurricanes , 2002 .

[155]  Barbara O. Hammer,et al.  Response to Warnings during the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City Tornado: Reasons and Relative Injury Rates , 2002 .

[156]  Hans-Jürgen Bucher,et al.  Crisis Communication and the Internet: Risk and Trust in a Global Media , 2002, First Monday.

[157]  Neil Pfister,et al.  Community Response to Flood Warnings: The Case of an Evacuation from Grafton, March 2001 , 2002 .

[158]  Baruch Fischhoff 5 Assessing and Communicating the Risks of Terrorism , 2002 .

[159]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Evaluating the success of terror risk communications. , 2003, Biosecurity and bioterrorism : biodefense strategy, practice, and science.

[160]  Craig W. Trumbo,et al.  The Function of Credibility in Information Processing for Risk Perception , 2003, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[161]  Lynn E. Davis,et al.  Individual Preparedness and Response to Chemical, Radiological, Nuclear, and Biological Terrorist Attacks , 2003 .

[162]  Deborah A. Small,et al.  Recent EFFECTS OF FEAR AND ANGER ON PERCEIVED RISKS OF TERRORISMA National Field Experiment , 2015 .

[163]  Jamie D. Mitchem An analysis of the September 20 , 2002 Indianapolis Tornado : public response to a tornado warning and damage assessment difficulties , 2003 .

[164]  M. Lindell,et al.  Earthquake Beliefs and Adoption of Seismic Hazard Adjustments , 2004, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[165]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Risk Area Accuracy and Evacuation from Hurricane Bret , 2004 .

[166]  R. Lasker Redefining Readiness: Terrorism Planning Through the Eyes of the Public , 2004 .

[167]  M. Kuttschreuter Communicating environmental risk in multiethnic communities , 2005 .

[168]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Household Decision Making and Evacuation in Response to Hurricane Lili , 2005 .

[169]  Michael K. Lindell,et al.  Risk Area Accuracy and Hurricane Evacuation Expectations of Coastal Residents , 2006 .

[170]  Haikang Shen,et al.  Exploring the Causal Relationship between Exposure to the 1994 Northridge Earthquake and Pre- and Post-Earthquake Preparedness Activities , 2006 .

[171]  R. Sylves President Bush and Hurricane Katrina: A Presidential Leadership Study , 2006 .