Filtering and Smoothing via Estimating Functions

Abstract We consider the problem of filtering and smoothing in state-space models, which include nonlinear and non-Gaussian models. We do not make any distributional assumptions about the processes involved. Our approach to these problems is based on the theory of estimating functions. Filter and smoother are obtained as solutions of estimating equations that are optimal in appropriate classes. We illustrate our procedures by simulation studies of a model where the observational variance depends on the state and a binomial logit model with a covariate. In non-Gaussian cases, procedures based on estimating equations often perform considerably better than the existing semiparametric procedures.

[1]  P. Ferreira Estimating equations in the presence of prior knowledge , 1982 .

[2]  A criterion for filtering in semimartingale models , 1988 .

[3]  Terrence P. McGarty Stochastic systems and state estimation , 1974 .

[4]  B. Anderson,et al.  Optimal Filtering , 1979, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[5]  D. P. Gaver,et al.  First-order autoregressive gamma sequences and point processes , 1980, Advances in Applied Probability.

[6]  G. Kitagawa Non-Gaussian State—Space Modeling of Nonstationary Time Series , 1987 .

[7]  A F Smith,et al.  Monitoring renal transplants: an application of the multiprocess Kalman filter. , 1983, Biometrics.

[8]  Ben Zehnwirth,et al.  A Generalization of the Kalman Filter for Models with State-Dependent Observation Variance , 1988 .

[9]  M. E. Welch,et al.  Bayesian analysis of time series and dynamic models , 1990 .

[10]  M. West,et al.  Dynamic Generalized Linear Models and Bayesian Forecasting , 1985 .

[11]  Andrew Harvey,et al.  Time Series Models. , 1983 .

[12]  Bovas Abraham,et al.  ESTIMATION FOR NON‐LINEAR TIME SERIES MODELS USING ESTIMATING EQUATIONS , 1988 .

[13]  V. P. Godambe The foundations of finite sample estimation in stochastic processes , 1985 .

[14]  Nicholas G. Polson,et al.  A Monte Carlo Approach to Nonnormal and Nonlinear State-Space Modeling , 1992 .

[15]  A. Jazwinski Stochastic Processes and Filtering Theory , 1970 .

[16]  V. P. Godambe,et al.  An extension of quasi-likelihood estimation , 1989 .

[17]  K. Liang,et al.  Extension of the Stein Estimating Procedure through the Use of Estimating Functions , 1990 .

[18]  L. Fahrmeir Posterior Mode Estimation by Extended Kalman Filtering for Multivariate Dynamic Generalized Linear Models , 1992 .