Technology Shocks in Multi-Sided Markets: The Impact of Craigslist on Local Newspapers

Theories of multi-sided markets suggest that a platform’s pricing strategies on different sides of the market are closely linked, and in particular, an increase in competition on one side may lead to an increase in price on other sides. We empirically examine platforms’ pricing strategies by exploiting the gradual expansion of Craigslist, a website providing classified ads services, into local newspaper markets. We adopt a differences-in-differences approach by comparing the pricing strategies of local newspapers for which classified ads are likely to be a significant portion of their revenue to others before and after Craigslist’s entry. We find that these newspapers drop their classified ad rates significantly more after Craigslist’s entry. We also find that the impact of the entry of Craigslist propagates to other sides of the newspaper market. These newspapers increase their subscription rates relative to others, and consequently, their circulation also drops more. Finally, lower circulation also leads to lower display ad rates for these newspapers. Our study helps build an understanding of how incumbent media platforms respond to technologically disruptive entrants in multi-sided markets.

[1]  Jeonghye Choi,et al.  Preference Minorities and the Internet , 2011 .

[2]  Daniel H. Simon,et al.  The Effect of a Magazine's Digital Content on its Print Circulation: Cannibalization or Complementarity? , 2006 .

[3]  Ambarish Chandra,et al.  TARGETED ADVERTISING: THE ROLE OF SUBSCRIBER CHARACTERISTICS IN MEDIA MARKETS* , 2009 .

[4]  J. Rochet,et al.  Platform competition in two sided markets , 2003 .

[5]  Pai-Ling Yin,et al.  Competition Between Exchanges: Lessons from the Battle of the Bund , 2008 .

[6]  Alejandro Zentner Measuring the Effect of File Sharing on Music Purchases* , 2006, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[7]  Michele Hilmes,et al.  Media at War: Radio's Challenge to the Newspapers, 1924-1939 , 1995 .

[8]  Nicholas Economides,et al.  Two-Sided Competition of Proprietary vs. Open Source Technology Platforms and the Implications for the Software Industry , 2005, Manag. Sci..

[9]  W Van AlstyneMarshall,et al.  Two-Sided Network Effects , 2005 .

[10]  Timothy F. Bresnahan,et al.  Entry and Competition in Concentrated Markets , 1991, Journal of Political Economy.

[11]  Geoffrey G. Parker,et al.  Two-Sided Network Effects: A Theory of Information Product Design , 2010, Manag. Sci..

[12]  Lisa M. George What's fit to print: The effect of ownership concentration on product variety in daily newspaper markets , 2001, Inf. Econ. Policy.

[13]  Lorrie Faith Cranor,et al.  Ownership Concentration and Product Variety in Daily Newspaper Markets , 2002 .

[14]  Mohammad S. Rahman,et al.  Battle of the Retail Channels: How Product Selection and Geography Drive Cross-Channel Competition , 2009, Manag. Sci..

[15]  J. Schumpeter The Theory of Economic Development: An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest, and the Business Cycle , 1934 .

[16]  S. Liebowitz,et al.  Clash of the Titans: Does Internet use Reduce Television Viewing? , 2009, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[17]  Ramon Casadesus-Masanell,et al.  Dynamic Mixed Duopoly: A Model Motivated by Linux vs. Windows , 2003, Manag. Sci..

[18]  Ramon Casadesus-Masanell,et al.  Strategies to Fight Ad-Sponsored Rivals , 2010 .

[19]  Shane Greenstein,et al.  The Internet and Local Wages: A Puzzle † , 2012 .

[20]  Lisa M. George,et al.  The New York Times and the Market for Local Newspapers , 2006 .

[21]  Neil Gandal,et al.  The Dynamics of Technological Adoption in Hardware/Software Systems , 1997 .

[22]  Ambarish Chandra,et al.  Mergers in Two-Sided Markets: An Application to the Canadian Newspaper Industry , 2008 .

[23]  Ambarish Chandra Targeted Advertising: The Role of Subscriber Characteristics , 2008 .

[24]  Peng Huang,et al.  When Do ISVs Join a Platform Ecosystem? Evidence from the Enterprise Software Industry , 2009, ICIS.

[25]  M. Gentzkow Valuing New Goods in a Model with Complementarity: Online Newspapers , 2007 .

[26]  Marc Rysman *An Empirical Analysis of Payment Card Usage , 2007 .

[27]  L. Filistrucchi The Impact of Internet on the Market for Daily Newspapers in Italy , 2005 .

[28]  Andrei Hagiu Pricing and commitment by two‐sided platforms , 2006 .

[29]  Marc Rysman The Economics of Two-Sided Markets , 2009 .

[30]  Andrew Sweeting,et al.  The effects of mergers on product positioning: evidence from the music radio industry , 2010 .

[31]  M. Armstrong Competition in Two-Sided Markets ¤ , 2005 .

[32]  Joshua D. Angrist,et al.  Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion , 2008 .

[33]  Mara Lederman,et al.  Software Exclusivity and the Scope of Indirect Network Effects in the U.S. Home Video Game Market , 2007 .

[34]  M. Iansiti,et al.  Entry into Platform-Based Markets , 2012 .

[35]  J. Bakos Reducing buyer search costs: implications for electronic marketplaces , 1997 .

[36]  E. Weyl,et al.  A Price Theory of Multi-Sided Platforms , 2009 .

[37]  Kenneth C. Wilbur A Two-Sided, Empirical Model of Television Advertising and Viewing Markets , 2008, Mark. Sci..

[38]  Scott J. Wallsten,et al.  Residential Broadband Competition in the United States , 2010 .

[39]  Steven T. Berry,et al.  Do Mergers Increase Product Variety? Evidence from Radio Broadcasting , 2001 .

[40]  Marc Rysman,et al.  Competition and Price Discrimination in Yellow Pages Advertising , 2001 .

[41]  Ulrich Kaiser Magazines and their Companion Websites: Competing Outlet Channels? , 2006 .

[42]  M. Lieberman The learning curve, diffusion, and competitive strategy , 1987 .

[43]  Khim-Yong Goh,et al.  Newspaper Reports and Consumer Choice: Evidence from the Do Not Call Registry , 2010, Manag. Sci..

[44]  Harikesh S. Nair,et al.  Empirical Analysis of Indirect Network Effects in the Market for Personal Digital Assistants , 2004 .

[45]  Bennet A. Zelner Using simulation to interpret results from logit, probit, and other nonlinear models , 2009 .

[46]  Kevin J. Boudreau,et al.  Let a Thousand Flowers Bloom? An Early Look at Large Numbers of Software 'Apps' Developers and Patterns of Innovation , 2011, Organ. Sci..

[47]  Miklos Sarvary,et al.  Content vs. Advertising: The Impact of Competition on Media Firm Strategy , 2009, Mark. Sci..

[48]  Wilko Bolt,et al.  Skewed Pricing in Two-Sided Markets: An Io Approach , 2005 .

[49]  L. Filistrucchi,et al.  Estimating Market Power in a Two-Sided Market: The Case of Newspapers , 2005 .

[50]  Joel Waldfogel,et al.  Free Entry and Social Inefficiency in Radio Broadcasting , 1996 .

[51]  Jeffrey T. Prince The Beginning of Online/Retail Competition and its Origins: An Application to Personal Computers , 2006 .

[52]  Daniel H. Simon Incumbent pricing responses to entry , 2005 .

[53]  Kevin J. Boudreau,et al.  Open Platform Strategies and Innovation: Granting Access vs. Devolving Control , 2010, Manag. Sci..

[54]  B. Caillaud,et al.  Chicken & Egg: Competition Among Intermediation Service Providers , 2003 .

[55]  TelangRahul,et al.  Converting Pirates Without Cannibalizing Purchasers , 2010 .

[56]  K. Boudreau,et al.  How to Manage Outside Innovation , 2009 .

[57]  E. Duflo,et al.  How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates? , 2001 .

[58]  Avi Goldfarb,et al.  Search Engine Advertising: Pricing Ads to Context , 2007 .

[59]  Matthew T. Clements,et al.  Indirect Network Effects and the Product Cycle: Video Games in the U.S., 1994-2002 , 2004 .

[60]  Avi Goldfarb,et al.  Competition between Local and Electronic Markets: How the Benefit of Buying Online Depends on Where You Live , 2007, Manag. Sci..

[61]  Maris Goldmanis,et al.  E-Commerce and the Market Structure of Retail Industries , 2005 .

[62]  Ronald L. Goettler,et al.  Advertising Rates, Audience Composition, and Competition in the Network Television Industry , 1999 .

[63]  Ginger Zhe Jin Platform Pricing at Sportscard Conventions ∗ , 2009 .

[64]  George S. Ford,et al.  Market Power in Radio Markets: An Empirical Analysis of Local and National Concentration* , 2000, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[65]  Ulrich Kaiser,et al.  Price structure in two-sided markets: Evidence from the magazine industry , 2006 .

[66]  Peng Huang,et al.  Co-Creation of Value in a Platform Ecosystem: The Case of Enterprise Software , 2011, MIS Q..

[67]  Andrei Hagiu Two-Sided Platforms: Product Variety and Pricing Structures , 2009 .

[68]  Lisa M. George,et al.  The Internet and the Market for Daily Newspapers , 2008 .

[69]  P. Geroski What do we know about entry , 1995 .

[70]  Rahul Telang,et al.  Converting Pirates Without Cannibalizing Purchasers: The Impact of Digital Distribution on Physical Sales and Internet Piracy , 2010, Mark. Sci..

[71]  Ulrich Kaiser,et al.  Do Media Consumers Really Dislike Advertising? An Empirical Assessment of the Role of Advertising in Print Media Markets , 2008 .

[72]  R. Oaxaca,et al.  Results on the bias and inconsistency of ordinary least squares for the linear probability model , 2006 .

[73]  Avi Goldfarb,et al.  Advertising Bans and the Substitutability of Online and Offline Advertising , 2010 .

[74]  B. McCann,et al.  Pricing response to entry and agglomeration effects , 2010 .

[75]  Joel Waldfogel,et al.  Who Affects Whom in Daily Newspaper Markets? , 2003, Journal of Political Economy.

[76]  J. Schumpeter,et al.  The Theory of Economic Development , 2017 .

[77]  Marvin B. Lieberman,et al.  Excess Capacity as a Barrier to Entry: An Empirical Appraisal , 1987 .

[78]  G. Hoetker The use of logit and probit models in strategic management research: Critical issues , 2007 .

[79]  Steven T. Berry,et al.  Empirical Models of Entry and Market Structure , 2007 .