Novel type-2 fuzzy logic approach for inference of corrosion failure likelihood of oil and gas pipeline industry

Abstract Among the various means of transportation of products from oil and gas industry, pipelines are considered to be the safest way. Still pipelines are to failure due to corrosion resulting (that causes) leakage and rupture. Although corrosion has the nature of uncertainty, the estimation of corrosion failure likelihood (CFL) is very difficult. To mitigate this difficulty, an analytic model for estimating CFL of oil and gas pipelines was developed by means of type-2 fuzzy logic controller system (T2FLCS) approach. The corrosion failure modes considered two types of events such as corrosion thinning and corrosion cracking. The major controlling factors of CFL of pipelines were Corrosion thinning factor, corrosion cracking factor, inspection effectiveness, and inspection times. The influence of controlling factors on type-2 fuzzy rules between the factors and CFL was determined. The assessment results derived from the model can be used as valuable reference for working out pipeline inspection and maintenance plans to a natural gas pipeline to assess the CFL.

[1]  Maneesh Singh,et al.  A methodology for risk-based inspection planning of oil and gas pipes based on fuzzy logic framework , 2009 .

[2]  Mahmoud Omid,et al.  Application of ANFIS to predict crop yield based on different energy inputs , 2012 .

[3]  Ulrich Hauptmanns Semi-quantitative fault tree analysis for process plant safety using frequency and probability ranges , 2004 .

[4]  Adam S. Markowski,et al.  Fuzzy logic for process safety analysis , 2009 .

[5]  Witold Pedrycz,et al.  Type-2 Fuzzy Logic: Theory and Applications , 2007, 2007 IEEE International Conference on Granular Computing (GRC 2007).

[6]  C. Zou,et al.  Failure analysis and faults diagnosis of molecular sieve in natural gas dehydration , 2013 .

[7]  Mahmoud Omid,et al.  Environmental impact assessment of tomato and cucumber cultivation in greenhouses using life cycle assessment and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system , 2014 .

[8]  Hong-Chao Zhang,et al.  A fuzzy logic based aggregation method for life cycle impact assessment , 2014 .

[9]  Prasanta Kumar Dey,et al.  A risk‐based model for inspection and maintenance of cross‐country petroleum pipeline , 2001 .

[10]  Siamak Haji Yakhchali,et al.  Developing a new fuzzy inference system for pipeline risk assessment , 2013 .

[11]  Kaikai Li,et al.  Estimation of corrosion failure likelihood of oil and gas pipeline based on fuzzy logic approach , 2016 .

[12]  Alan P. Wood,et al.  Multistate Block Diagrams and Fault Trees , 1985, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[13]  Dipankar Chakraborty,et al.  Multi-item integrated supply chain model for deteriorating items with stock dependent demand under fuzzy random and bifuzzy environments , 2015, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[14]  Mohebbat Mohebbi,et al.  An empowered adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system using self-organizing map clustering to predict mass transfer kinetics in deep-fat frying of ostrich meat plates , 2011 .

[15]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy Logic for Business, Finance, and Management , 1997, Advances in Fuzzy Systems - Applications and Theory.

[16]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  Optimization of interval type-2 fuzzy systems for image edge detection , 2016, Appl. Soft Comput..

[17]  Uzay Kaymak,et al.  Elicitation of expert knowledge for fuzzy evaluation of agricultural production systems , 2003 .

[18]  Brian Veitch,et al.  Fault and Event Tree Analyses for Process Systems Risk Analysis: Uncertainty Handling Formulations , 2011, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[19]  Juan R. Castro,et al.  A comparative study of type-1 fuzzy logic systems, interval type-2 fuzzy logic systems and generalized type-2 fuzzy logic systems in control problems , 2016, Inf. Sci..

[20]  Shyamal Kumar Mondal,et al.  A fixed-charge transportation problem in two-stage supply chain network in Gaussian type-2 fuzzy environments , 2015, Inf. Sci..

[21]  Chuen-Chien Lee,et al.  Fuzzy logic in control systems: fuzzy logic controller. II , 1990, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[22]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  Optimization of fuzzy controller design using a new bee colony algorithm with fuzzy dynamic parameter adaptation , 2016, Appl. Soft Comput..

[23]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  A generalized type-2 fuzzy granular approach with applications to aerospace , 2016, Inf. Sci..

[24]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  A hybrid learning algorithm for a class of interval type-2 fuzzy neural networks , 2009, Inf. Sci..

[25]  Jianfeng Yang,et al.  Criticality evaluation of petrochemical equipment based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and a BP neural network , 2009 .

[26]  Chengbing Li,et al.  Plastic damage analysis of oil and gas pipelines with unconstrained and constrained dents , 2017 .

[27]  Chuen-Chien Lee FUZZY LOGIC CONTROL SYSTEMS: FUZZY LOGIC CONTROLLER - PART I , 1990 .

[28]  Barun Das,et al.  Multi-item partial backlogging inventory models over random planninghorizon in random fuzzy environment , 2014, Appl. Soft Comput..

[29]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  General Type-2 Fuzzy Edge Detection in the Preprocessing of a Face Recognition System , 2017, Nature-Inspired Design of Hybrid Intelligent Systems.

[30]  Ali Selamat,et al.  Improved sensitivity based linear learning method for permeability prediction of carbonate reservoir using interval type-2 fuzzy logic system , 2014, Appl. Soft Comput..

[31]  Dipak Kumar Jana,et al.  Application of fuzzy inference system to polypropylene business policy in a petrochemical plant in India , 2016 .

[32]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  A review on interval type-2 fuzzy logic applications in intelligent control , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[33]  Adam S. Markowski,et al.  Fuzzy logic for piping risk assessment (pfLOPA) , 2009 .

[34]  G. Cheng,et al.  Corrosion failure analyses of an elbow and an elbow-to-pipe weld in a natural gas gathering pipeline , 2017 .

[35]  Qi Zhou,et al.  Risk analysis of corrosion failures of equipment in refining and petrochemical plants based on fuzzy set theory , 2013 .

[36]  Junhao Feng,et al.  Corrosion failure cause analysis and evaluation of corrosion inhibitors of Ma Huining oil pipeline , 2016 .

[37]  Oscar Castillo,et al.  Choquet Integral and Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Choquet Integral for Edge Detection , 2017, Nature-Inspired Design of Hybrid Intelligent Systems.