Aggregate Returns to Social Capital: Estimates Based on the Augmented Augmented-Solow Model

This paper estimates the aggregate output elasticity of social capital that characterizes the aggregate returns to social capital. With this aim, we apply Nonneman and Vanhoudt's (1996) augmented version of the augmented Solow model of Mankiw et al. (1992) by including social capital as an additional production input. The estimated output elasticity of social capital is approximately 0.1. While our results largely indicate that social capital positively affects economic growth, the magnitude of the effects is smaller than that of physical and human capital as well as labor inputs. Moreover, the median value of the implied aggregate return of social capital is approximately 9.77% at the global level and, in OECD countries, it is likely to be considerably smaller than the individual returns, suggesting the fallacy of composition. As a by product, the depreciation rate of social capital is estimated to be approximately 10% per annum which is significantly higher than that of physical capital.

[1]  Robert D. Tollison,et al.  The Rise and Decline of Nations , 1983 .

[2]  L. Pritchett,et al.  Sociability : Household Income and Social Capital in Rural Tanzania , 1999 .

[3]  Bart Minten,et al.  Returns to Social Network Capital Among Traders , 2002 .

[4]  P. Aghion,et al.  Handbook of Economic Growth , 2005 .

[5]  Kenneth Rogoff,et al.  NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003 , 2001 .

[6]  M. Aoki,et al.  Communities and Markets in Economic Development , 2001 .

[7]  R. Putnam,et al.  Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy. , 1994 .

[8]  T. Besley Nonmarket Institutions for Credit and Risk Sharing in Low-Income Countries , 1995 .

[9]  Chang-tai Hsieh Productivity Growth and Factor Prices in East Asia , 1999 .

[10]  P. Wallace,et al.  Women, Minorities, and Employment Discrimination. , 1978 .

[11]  I. Adelman,et al.  Society, Politics, and Economic Development: A Quantitative Approach , 1967 .

[12]  J. Helliwell,et al.  Economic Growth and Social Capital in Italy , 1995 .

[13]  Ben S. Bernanke,et al.  Is Growth Exogenous? Taking Mankiw, Romer, and Weil Seriously , 2001, NBER Macroeconomics Annual.

[14]  R. Barro,et al.  International Data on Educational Attainment Updates and Implications , 2000 .

[15]  Jonathan R.W. Temple,et al.  Social Capability and Economic Growth , 1998 .

[16]  Chris Papageorgiou,et al.  The Solow model with CES technology: nonlinearities and parameter heterogeneity , 2004 .

[17]  Modern Business Cycle Theory , 1990 .

[18]  S. Durlauf On the Empirics of Social Capital , 2002 .

[19]  Paul A. Johnson,et al.  A Continuous State Space Approach to "Convergence by Parts" , 2005 .

[20]  P. Furlong Making democracy work: civic traditions in modern Italy , 1994 .

[21]  P. Zak,et al.  Trust and Growth , 2001 .

[22]  W. Brock,et al.  Growth empirics and reality , 2001 .

[23]  Danny Quah,et al.  Twin peaks : growth and convergence in models of distribution dynamics , 1996 .

[24]  E. Ostrom Social capital: a fad or a fundamental concept?* , 2005 .

[25]  M. Fafchamps Development and social capital , 2006 .

[26]  Steven Durlauf,et al.  Social Capital , 2004 .

[27]  Jonathan R.W. Temple,et al.  Robustness Tests of the Augmented Solow Model , 1998 .

[28]  Stephen F. Knack,et al.  Does Social Capital Have an Economic Payoff? A Cross-Country Investigation , 1997 .

[29]  John Duffy,et al.  A Cross-Country Empirical Investigation of the Aggregate Production Function Specification , 2000 .

[30]  Walter Nonneman,et al.  A Further Augmentation of the Solow Model and the Empirics of Economic Growth for OECD Countries , 1996 .

[31]  Anke Hoeffler,et al.  The Augmented Solow Model and the African Growth Debate , 2002 .

[32]  Alwyn Young,et al.  The Tyranny of Numbers: Confronting the Statistical Realities of the East Asian Growth Experience , 1994 .

[33]  P. Dasgupta,et al.  Social capital : a multifaceted perspective , 1999 .

[34]  Nazrul Islam,et al.  Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach , 1995 .

[35]  Johanna Smeyers-Verbeke,et al.  Robust regression and outlier detection in the evaluation of robustness tests with different experimental designs , 2002 .

[36]  B. Hansen Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation , 2000 .

[37]  M. Mednick Women, minorities, and employment discrimination. , 1978 .

[38]  P. Rousseeuw Least Median of Squares Regression , 1984 .

[39]  David E. Cook World War II and Convergence , 2002, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[40]  J. Coleman,et al.  Social Capital in the Creation of Human Capital , 1988, American Journal of Sociology.

[41]  S. Beugelsdijk Trust and economic growth: a robustness analysis , 2004 .

[42]  P. Romer CAPITAL ACCUMULATION IN THE THEORY OF LONG RUN GROWTH , 1988 .

[43]  D. Weil,et al.  A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth Author ( s ) : , 2008 .

[44]  Glenn C. Loury,et al.  A Dynamic Theory of Racial Income Differences , 1976 .

[45]  Marcel Fafchamps,et al.  Social Capital and Development , 2004 .

[46]  I. Prucha,et al.  Estimation of the Depreciation Rate of Physical and R&D Capital in the U.S. Total Manufacturing Sector , 1993 .

[47]  D. Quah Galton's Fallacy and Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis (Now published in Scandinavian Journal of Economics 95 (4), 1993, pp.427-443.) , 1993 .