Exploration of application of Holt's linear exponential smoothing in hospital management

Objective To explore the applied value of Holt's linear exponential smoothing.Methods The number of patients in hospitals during 2006 in Chengdu was calculated quantitatives by the means of Holt's linear exponential smoothing and the calculation accuracy was also evaluated.Results There was a satisfactory resulte to calculate the number of patients by the means of Holt's linear exponential smoothing.By counting repeatedly in computer,a group of exponential smoothing convention figure could be obtained which minimized the errors.The MAPE was 3.443 8% in this case with high accuracy.Conclusion There was high accuracy of Holt's linear exponential smoothing.Because it was simple to calculate and could infered in sequential order,there was the applied value in hospital management.