The development of indicators for sustainable tourism: results of a Delphi survey of tourism researchers

This paper presents the results of a two round Delphi survey conducted into expert opinion on the development of indicators to measure the movement of the tourism product at a company/resort level towards a position of greater or lesser sustainability. This research forms part of a wider project to develop indicators that consumers can use in the selection of their holidays and promote a more sustainable form of tourism. The results of this expert survey show considerable disagreement over “sustainability” and where the borders of the concept exist. In addition, the research identified contrasting views over the use of qualitative versus quantitative indicators and the role that consumer pressure can play. The use of the Delphi technique to address complex and uncertain issues is also explored.

[1]  W. Glatzer,et al.  Carley, Michael, 1981: Social Measurement and Social Indicators. Issues of Policy and Theory. Allen & Unwin, London , 1993 .

[2]  Harold A. Linstone,et al.  Futures research : new directions , 1977 .

[3]  Pete A. Y. Gunter,et al.  For the Common Good: Redirecting the Economy Towards Community, The Environment, and a Sustainable Future , 1990, Process Studies.

[4]  D. Dillman,et al.  Increasing Mail Questionnaire Response: A Four State Comparison , 1974 .

[5]  Consulting,et al.  What tourism managers need to know : a practical guide to the development and use of indicators of sustainable tourism , 1996 .

[6]  Pnuma,et al.  The state of the environment , 1987, Measuring Progress: Environment and the SDGs.

[7]  J. Craik Are there cultural limits to tourism , 1995 .

[8]  Murray Turoff,et al.  The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications , 1976 .

[9]  Erdener Kaynak,et al.  The Delphi technique in the measurement of tourism market potential: The case of Nova Scotia , 1984 .

[10]  Environment Office Environmental codes of conduct for tourism. , 1995 .

[11]  M. Carley,et al.  Social Measurement and Social Indicators: Issues of Policy and Theory , 1981 .

[12]  J. G. Nelson,et al.  Tourism and sustainable development : monitoring, planning, managing , 1993 .

[13]  D. R. Fesenmaier,et al.  The use and misuse of Delphi forecasting. , 1983 .

[14]  G. Hardin,et al.  The Tragedy of the Commons , 1968, Green Planet Blues.

[15]  R. L. Seely,et al.  Utilizing the Delphi technique at international conferences: a method for forecasting international tourism conditions. , 1980 .

[16]  Bedřich Moldan,et al.  Sustainability indicators : a report on the project on indicators of sustainable development , 1997 .

[17]  Stuart J. Dymond Indicators of Sustainable Tourism in New Zealand: A Local Government Perspective , 1997 .

[18]  Meiko Murayama Sustainable Tourism: A Marketing Perspective , 2000 .

[19]  H. Daly,et al.  For the Common Good: Redirecting the Economy Toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future , 1990 .

[20]  Colin Hunter,et al.  Assessing the environmental impact of tourism development; use of the Delphi technique; Application of the Delphi technique: a reply to Green, Hunter and Moore. , 1990 .

[21]  Luiz Moutinho,et al.  Delphi method applied to tourism. , 1989 .

[22]  John L. Crompton,et al.  An Overview of Approaches Used to Forecast Tourism Demand , 1985 .

[23]  Juanita C. Liu Hawaii tourism to the year 2000. A Delphi forecast. , 1988 .

[24]  Paul Whysall,et al.  Application of the Delphi technique: A reply to Green, Hunter and Moore , 1990 .

[25]  Daniel R. Fesenmaier,et al.  Recreation planning and management , 1983 .