论文信息 - Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art/Comments

Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art/Comments

I like the general orientation of the paper. It is a useful summary of a body of work done in empirically evaluating probability assessments and statements concerning confidence. I would like, however, to make several specific comments.

Katrin Borcherding

[1] T. Wallsten. Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs , 1977 .

[2] Rex V. Brown,et al. Decision Analysis for the Manager , 1974 .

[3] R. E. Schaefer,et al. The evaluation of individual and aggregated subjective probability distributions , 1976 .

[4] Baruch Fischhoff,et al. Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art , 1977 .

[5] Frederick Sanders. The Verification of Probability Forecasts , 1967 .