Message, Perception, and the Beijing Olympics: Impact of Differential Media Exposure on Perceived Opinion Diversity

This study investigates the effects of media exposure on individuals’ perception of opinion diversity and the psychological mechanisms underlying such effects. We compare the differential contributions of monopolistic with pluralistic media messages and test two conceptual models: The first delineates a mechanism of direct impact of media exposure on opinion perception; the second specifies a mechanism that relates to social projection effects. Using data from telephone interviews of a random sample of 595 Chinese citizens, we find that perceived opinion diversity is positively related to exposure to pluralistic media messages and negatively related to exposure to monopolistic media messages. Furthermore, opinion extremity is found to mediate such relationships.

[1]  Jason Lacharite Electronic Decentralisation in China: A Critical Analysis of Internet Filtering Policies in the People's Republic of China , 2002 .

[2]  William P. Eveland,et al.  Theories on the Perception of Social Reality , 2008 .

[3]  Diana C. Mutz,et al.  Reading Public Opinion: The Influence of News Coverage on Perceptions of Public Sentiment , 1997 .

[4]  Kenneth A. Bollen,et al.  Structural Equations with Latent Variables , 1989 .

[5]  J. Pligt,et al.  Differential Construal as an Explanation for False Consensus and False Uniqueness Effects. , 1995 .

[6]  Magdalena Wojcieszak,et al.  False Consensus Goes Online Impact of Ideologically Homogeneous Groups on False Consensus , 2008 .

[7]  Assafa Endeshaw,et al.  Internet regulation in China: the never‐ending cat and mouse game1 , 2004 .

[8]  Dolf Zillmann,et al.  Exemplification Theory of Media Influence , 2002 .

[9]  S. Chaiken The heuristic model of persuasion. , 1987 .

[10]  Steven H. Chaffee,et al.  Media Rich, Media Poor: Two Studies of Diversity in Agenda-Holding , 1977 .

[11]  M. Deutsch,et al.  A study of normative and informational social influences upon individual judgement. , 1955, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[12]  John Gastil,et al.  Increasing Political Sophistication Through Public Deliberation , 1999 .

[13]  Daniel G. McDonald,et al.  The Conceptualization and Measurement of Diversity , 2003, Commun. Res..

[14]  P. Bentler MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS WITH LATENT VARIABLES: CAUSAL MODELING , 1980 .

[15]  J. Cacioppo,et al.  Attitudes and Persuasion: Classic and Contemporary Approaches , 1981 .

[16]  A. Gunther,et al.  The Influence of Presumed Influence , 2003 .

[17]  Zhou He,et al.  ‘Chinese Party Publicity Inc.’ conglomerated: the case of the Shenzhen Press Group , 2006 .

[18]  L. Shrum Processing strategy moderates the cultivation effect , 2001 .

[19]  M. M. Ferree,et al.  Zeitgeist as an Empirical Phenomenon@@@The Spiral of Silence: Public Opinion--Our Social Skin. , 1985 .

[20]  Patricia Moy,et al.  Parsing Framing Processes: The Interplay Between Online Public Opinion and Media Coverage , 2007 .

[21]  Vernon L. Allen,et al.  Social Support for Nonconformity , 1975 .

[22]  Philip Sohmen Taming the Dragon: China's Efforts to Regulate the Internet , 2001 .

[23]  Albert C. Gunther,et al.  The Persuasive Press Inference , 1998 .

[24]  W. Davison The Third-Person Effect in Communication , 1983 .

[25]  Diana C. Mutz Cross-cutting Social Networks: Testing Democratic Theory in Practice , 2002, American Political Science Review.

[26]  T. Postmes,et al.  Social Influence in Computer-Mediated Communication: The Effects of Anonymity on Group Behavior , 2001 .

[27]  E. H. Simpson Measurement of Diversity , 1949, Nature.

[28]  W. Russell Neuman,et al.  The future of the mass audience , 1991 .

[29]  S. Shyam Sundar,et al.  Impression-formation effects of printed news varying in descriptive precision and exemplifications. , 1992 .

[30]  A. Vinokur,et al.  Effects of partially shared persuasive arguments on group-induced shifts: A group-problem-solving approach. , 1974 .

[31]  E. Noelle-Neumann The Spiral of Silence A Theory of Public Opinion , 1974 .

[32]  Karl G. Jöreskog,et al.  Lisrel 8: User's Reference Guide , 1997 .

[33]  R. Garrett Politically Motivated Reinforcement Seeking: Reframing the Selective Exposure Debate , 2009 .

[34]  S. Reicher Social influence in the crowd: Attitudinal and behavioural effects of de‐individuation in conditions of high and low group salience* , 1984 .

[35]  Robert S. Wyer,et al.  The Effects of Television Consumption on Social Perceptions: The Use of Priming Procedures to Investigate Psychological Processes , 1998 .

[36]  Diana C. Mutz Impersonal influence: Effects of representations of public opinion on political attitudes , 1992 .

[37]  Albert C. Gunther,et al.  Assimilation and Contrast in a Test of the Hostile Media Effect , 2009, Commun. Res..

[38]  Franziska Marquart,et al.  Communication and persuasion : central and peripheral routes to attitude change , 1988 .

[39]  Robert Huckfeldt,et al.  Disagreement, Ambivalence, and Engagement: The Political Consequences of Heterogeneous Networks , 2004 .

[40]  Yuezhi Zhao,et al.  Media, Market, and Democracy in China: Between the Party Line and the Bottom Line , 1998 .

[41]  C. Crandall,et al.  Social norms and the expression and suppression of prejudice: the struggle for internalization. , 2002, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[42]  D. R. Lehman,et al.  Cultural variation in unrealistic optimism: Does the West feel more vulnerable than the East? , 1995 .

[43]  James M. Fields,et al.  Public Beliefs About the Beliefs of the Public , 1976 .

[44]  R. Lance Holbert,et al.  A Monte Carlo Simulation of Observable Versus Latent Variable Structural Equation Modeling Techniques , 2003, Commun. Res..

[45]  Howard G Lavine,et al.  The electoral consequences of ambivalence toward presidential candidates , 2001 .

[46]  Ning Wang,et al.  Online network size, efficacy, and opinion expression: Assessing the impacts of internet use in China , 2009 .

[47]  D. Madsen Issue importance and group choice shifts: A persuasive arguments approach. , 1978 .

[48]  Edward G. Sargis,et al.  Moral conviction: another contributor to attitude strength or something more? , 2005, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[49]  Brian Mullen,et al.  The false consensus effect: A meta-analysis of 115 hypothesis tests , 1985 .

[50]  H. Triandis,et al.  The Self-Serving Bias in Attributions as a Coping Strategy , 1986 .

[51]  Dominique Brossard,et al.  Democracy Based on Difference: Examining the Links Between Structural Heterogeneity, Heterogeneity of Discussion Networks, and Democratic Citizenship , 2006 .

[52]  A. Gunther,et al.  Congenial public, contrary press, and biased estimates of the climate of opinion. , 2001, Public opinion quarterly.

[53]  A. A. Lumsdaine,et al.  CHAPTER 8. THE EFFECTS OF PRESENTING “ONE SIDE” VERSUS “BOTH SIDES” IN CHANGING OPINIONS ON A CONTROVERSIAL SUBJECT , 1949 .

[54]  S. Chaiken,et al.  Audience response as a heuristic cue in persuasion. , 1987, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[55]  Norman Miller,et al.  Ten years of research on the false-consensus effect: an empirical and theoretical review , 1987 .

[56]  Lilach Nir,et al.  Ambivalent Social Networks and Their Consequences for Participation , 2005 .

[57]  M. Huysman,et al.  How Does the Internet Affect Social Capital , 2004 .

[58]  Serge Moscovici,et al.  Toward A Theory of Conversion Behavior , 1980 .

[59]  A. Vinokur,et al.  Novel argumentation and attitude change: The case of polarization following group discussion , 1978 .

[60]  J. Suls,et al.  In search of the false-uniqueness phenomenon: fear and estimates of social consensus. , 1987, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[61]  J. Cappella,et al.  Argument Repertoire as a Reliable and Valid Measure of Opinion Quality: Electronic Dialogue During Campaign 2000 , 2002 .

[62]  S. Asch Studies of independence and conformity: I. A minority of one against a unanimous majority. , 1956 .

[63]  Diane M. Mackie,et al.  Systematic and nonsystematic processing of majority and minority persuasive communications. , 1987 .

[64]  P. Lazarsfeld,et al.  The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign , 1968 .

[65]  Hans-Bernd Brosius,et al.  The Utility of Exemplars in Persuasive Communications , 1994 .

[66]  Bernard Manin,et al.  On Legitimacy and Political Deliberation , 1987 .

[67]  Diana C. Mutz The Consequences of Cross-Cutting Networks for Political Participation , 2002 .

[68]  Patricia Moy,et al.  TWENTY-FIVE YEARS OF THE SPIRAL OF SILENCE: A CONCEPTUAL REVIEW AND EMPIRICAL OUTLOOK , 2000 .

[69]  J. Krueger,et al.  Social Projection to Ingroups and Outgroups: A Review and Meta-Analysis , 2005, Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc.

[70]  Gregor Daschmann VOX POP & POLLS: THE IMPACT OF POLL RESULTS AND VOTER STATEMENTS IN THE MEDIA ON THE PERCEPTION OF A CLIMATE OF OPINION , 2000 .

[71]  Jounghwa Choi,et al.  Elaboration of the Hostile Media Phenomenon , 2009, Commun. Res..

[72]  Yariv Tsfati,et al.  On the Effect of the “Third-Person Effect”: Perceived Influence of Media Coverage and Residential Mobility Intentions , 2003 .

[73]  M. Kaplan Discussion Polarization Effects in a Modified Jury Decision Paradigm: Informational Influences , 1977 .

[74]  Mark R. Lepper,et al.  The hostile media phenomenon: biased perception and perceptions of media bias in coverage of the Beirut massacre. , 1985 .

[75]  William P. Eveland,et al.  The Impact of Individual and Interpersonal Factors on Perceived News Media Bias , 2003 .

[76]  Hye-Jin Paek,et al.  How Peer Proximity Moderates Indirect Media Influence on Adolescent Smoking , 2007, Commun. Res..

[77]  Silvia Knobloch-Westerwick,et al.  Looking the Other Way , 2009, Commun. Res..

[78]  Charles Stangor,et al.  Changing Racial Beliefs by Providing Consensus Information , 2001 .

[79]  L. Ross,et al.  The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes , 1977 .

[80]  Dominic L. Lasorsa,et al.  Effects of Newspaper Competition on Public Opinion Diversity , 1991 .

[81]  C. Judd,et al.  Effects of Repeated Expressions on Attitude Extremity , 1992 .

[82]  Rajiv N. Rimal,et al.  An Explication of Social Norms , 2005 .

[83]  Albert C. Gunther,et al.  Effects of News Slant and Base Rate Information on Perceived Public Opinion , 1999 .

[84]  Timothy K. F. Fung,et al.  Testing a Projection Explanation for Exemplar Effects , 2009 .

[85]  James Gomez,et al.  Dumbing down Democracy: Trends in Internet Regulation, Surveillance and Control in Asia , 2004 .

[86]  Zhou He,et al.  Perceived Characteristics, Perceived Needs, and Perceived Popularity , 2002, Commun. Res..

[87]  Bruce Bimber and Richard Davis Campaigning Online: The Internet in U.S. Elections , 2003 .

[88]  Charles E. Miller,et al.  Judgments and Group Discussion: Effect of Presentation and Memory Factors on Polarization , 1977 .

[89]  L. Shrum The Implications of Survey Method for Measuring Cultivation Effects , 2007 .

[90]  Scott T. Allison,et al.  The Feature-Positive Effect, Attitude Strength, and Degree of Perceived Consensus , 1988, Personality & social psychology bulletin.

[91]  Jack M. McLeod,et al.  Values as Sociotropic Judgments Influencing Communication Patterns , 1998 .

[92]  S. Cherry The net effect: as China's Internet gets a much-needed makeover, will the new network promote freedom or curtail it? , 2005, IEEE Spectrum.

[93]  Timothy D. Wilson,et al.  Insensitivity to sample bias: Generalizing from atypical cases , 1980 .