Electoral Institutions and Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa

Political violence remains a pervasive feature of electoral dynamics in many countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, even where multiparty elections have become the dominant mode of regulating access to political power. With cross-national data on electoral violence in Sub-Saharan African elections between 1990 and 2010, this article develops and tests a theory that links the use of violent electoral tactics to the high stakes put in place by majoritarian electoral institutions. It is found that electoral violence is more likely in countries that employ majoritarian voting rules and elect fewer legislators from each district. Majoritarian institutions are, as predicted by theory, particularly likely to provoke violence where large ethno-political groups are excluded from power and significant economic inequalities exist.

[1]  Emilie Marie Hafner-Burton,et al.  When Do Governments Resort to Election Violence , 2012 .

[2]  Gretchen Helmke,et al.  Informal Institutions and Comparative Politics: A Research Agenda , 2004, Perspectives on Politics.

[3]  Catherine Boone The making of a rentier class: Wealth accumulation and political control in Senegal , 1990 .

[4]  Stephen M. Saideman,et al.  Democratization, Political Institutions, and Ethnic Conflict , 2002 .

[5]  S. Birch Single-member district electoral systems and democratic transition , 2005 .

[6]  Andreas Wimmer,et al.  Who Owns the State? Understanding Ethnic Conflict in Post-Colonial Societies , 1997 .

[7]  Sebnem Gumuscu,et al.  Comparative Political Studies , 1969 .

[8]  D. J. Young,et al.  The Institutionalization of Political Power in Africa , 2007 .

[9]  S. Huntington The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century , 1991 .

[10]  Andrew Reynolds,et al.  Electoral systems and conflict in divided societies , 1999 .

[11]  C. Knutsen Which democracies prosper?: Electoral rules, form of government and economic growth , 2011 .

[12]  K. Gleditsch,et al.  Elections and Ethnic Civil War , 2013 .

[13]  Frank S. Cohen,et al.  Proportional Versus Majoritarian Ethnic Conflict Management in Democracies , 1997 .

[14]  R. Provencher Ethnic Groups in Conflict , 1988, The Journal of Asian Studies.

[15]  D. Horowitz The Deadly Ethnic Riot , 2001 .

[16]  P. Martín Terrorism and Political Violence in Spain , 2008 .

[17]  Sarah Birch,et al.  Electoral Systems and Electoral Misconduct , 2007 .

[18]  Thomas Brambor,et al.  Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses , 2006, Political Analysis.

[19]  Michael Bratton The Democracy Barometers (Part I): Formal Versus Informal Institutions in Africa , 2007 .

[20]  A. Przeworski,et al.  Democracy and the Market: Political and Economic Reforms in Eastern Europe and , 2016 .

[21]  Peter Wallensteen,et al.  Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset , 2002 .

[22]  R. Dahl Polyarchy; participation and opposition , 1971 .

[23]  Daniel N. Posner Regime Change and Ethnic Cleavages in Africa , 2007 .

[24]  Carles Boix,et al.  Democracy and redistribution , 2003 .

[25]  Léonard Wantchekon,et al.  Clientelism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Benin , 2003 .

[26]  W. Wagner,et al.  Ethnic Composition and Electoral System Design: Demographic Context Conditions for Post-conflict Elections , 2014 .

[27]  Xavier Coller,et al.  Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation. Southern Europe, South America and Post-Communist Europe , 1996 .

[28]  C. Boix Economic Roots of Civil Wars and Revolutions in the Contemporary World , 2008 .

[29]  Jack Snyder,et al.  From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict , 2000 .

[30]  M. Seligson The Democracy Barometers (Part I): The Rise of Populism and the Left in Latin America , 2007 .

[31]  D. Horowitz Electoral Systems: A Primer for Decision Makers , 2003 .

[32]  K. Annan,et al.  Horizontal inequalities and conflict : understanding group violence in multiethnic societies , 2008 .

[33]  John D. Huber Measuring Ethnic Voting: Do Proportional Electoral Laws Politicize Ethnicity? , 2012 .

[34]  G. Hyden African Politics in Comparative Perspective: References , 2005 .

[35]  J. Barkan I. Elections in Agrarian Societies , 1995 .

[36]  Catherine Boone Electoral populism where property rights are weak: land politics in contemporary sub-Saharan Africa , 2009 .

[37]  Catherine Boone Politically Allocated Land Rights and the Geography of Electoral Violence , 2011 .

[38]  P. Kivisto,et al.  Ethnic Groups in Conflict. , 1986 .

[39]  Shaheen Mozaffar,et al.  The Puzzle of African Party Systems , 2005 .

[40]  Susan D. Hyde,et al.  Which Elections Can Be Lost? , 2011, Political Analysis.

[41]  Daniel N. Posner Measuring ethnic fractionalization in Africa , 2004 .

[42]  S. Lindberg Consequences of electoral systems in Africa: a preliminary inquiry , 2005 .

[43]  L. Kirschke Informal repression, zero-sum politics and late third wave transitions , 2000, The Journal of Modern African Studies.

[44]  Richard W. Frank,et al.  New Datasets on Political Institutions and Elections, 1972—2005 , 2009 .

[45]  Torsten Persson,et al.  The Economic Effects of Constitutions , 2003 .

[46]  T. Vanhanen,et al.  Prospects of Democracy: A study of 172 countries , 1984 .

[47]  L. Rakner,et al.  Democratization by Elections? Opposition Weakness in Africa , 2009 .

[48]  Cullen S. Hendrix,et al.  Social Conflict in Africa: A New Database , 2012 .

[49]  Lars-Erik Cederman,et al.  Why Do Ethnic Groups Rebel?: New Data and Analysis , 2010 .

[50]  Fabrice Lehoucq,et al.  ELECTORAL FRAUD: Causes, Types, and Consequences , 2003 .

[51]  Gabrielle Lynch,et al.  Democratization in Africa 1990–2010: an assessment , 2011 .

[52]  Dawn Brancati,et al.  Time to Kill: The Impact of Election Timing and Sequencing on Post-Conflict Stability , 2008 .

[53]  S. Lindberg 'It's Our Time to "Chop"': Do Elections in Africa Feed Neo-Patrimonialism rather than Counter-Act It? , 2003 .

[54]  Arend Lijphart,et al.  Democracy in Plural Societies: A Comparative Exploration , 1979 .

[55]  G. V. Klinken Communal Violence and Democratization in Indonesia: Small Town Wars , 2007 .

[56]  J. Selway,et al.  The Myth of Consociationalism? Conflict Reduction in Divided Societies , 2012 .

[57]  L. Diamond Progress and Retreat in Africa: The Rule of Law versus the Big Man , 2008 .

[58]  F. Fukuyama,et al.  Power sharing and international mediation in ethnic conflicts , 1996 .

[59]  T. Flores,et al.  The Effect of Elections on Postconflict Peace and Reconstruction , 2012, The Journal of Politics.

[60]  Patrick Paul Walsh,et al.  New tools in comparative political economy : the database of political institutions , 2001 .

[61]  Jason Wittenberg,et al.  Clarify: Software for Interpreting and Presenting Statistical Results , 2003 .

[62]  Nicolas van de Walle Presidentialism and clientelism in Africa's emerging party systems , 2003 .

[63]  James R. Scarritt,et al.  Protest and Rebellion in Africa , 1995 .

[64]  G. Schneider,et al.  Rules That Matter: Political Institutions and the Diversity—Conflict Nexus , 2008 .

[65]  J. Fearon Ethnic Mobilization and Ethnic Violence , 2008 .

[66]  H. Cohen Elections and conflict management in Africa , 1999, African Studies Review.

[67]  Idean Salehyan,et al.  Elections and Social Conflict in Africa, 1990–2009 , 2015 .

[68]  P. Norris Introduction: The Politics of Electoral Reform , 1995 .

[69]  S. Mueller The Political Economy of Kenya's Crisis , 2008 .

[70]  Arend Lijphart Constitutional Design for Divided Societies , 2004 .

[71]  Pedro C. Vicente,et al.  Violence, bribery, and fraud: the political economy of elections in Sub-Saharan Africa , 2012 .

[72]  K. Benoit Models of electoral system change , 2004 .

[73]  S. Makinda Democracy and Multi-Party Politics in Africa , 1996, The Journal of Modern African Studies.

[74]  SPeCial RePoRt,et al.  UNiteD StateS iNStitUte of PeaCe , 2006 .

[75]  Thad Dunning,et al.  Fighting and Voting: Violent Conflict and Electoral Politics , 2011 .

[76]  Matthijs Bogaards Crafting competitive party systems: Electoral laws and the opposition in Africa , 2000, Twenty Years of Studying Democratization.

[77]  Dawn Brancati,et al.  Time to Kill , 2013 .

[78]  Takayuki Sakamoto,et al.  The Politics of Electoral Reform , 1999 .

[79]  J. Klopp,et al.  Lessons from Kenya and South Africa , 2016 .

[80]  Michael Bratton Vote buying and violence in Nigerian election campaigns , 2008 .

[81]  Rules That Matter: Political Institutions and the , 2008 .

[82]  S. Wilkinson Votes and Violence: Frontmatter , 2004 .

[83]  Shaheen Mozaffar,et al.  Electoral Institutions, Ethnopolitical Cleavages, and Party Systems in Africa's Emerging Democracies , 2003, American Political Science Review.

[84]  G. Tabellini,et al.  Electoral Rules and Corruption , 2001, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[85]  Jan Teorell,et al.  Quality of Government , 2021, The Oxford Handbook of the Quality of Government.

[86]  Andreas Schedler,et al.  Elections Without Democracy: The Menu of Manipulation , 2002 .

[87]  Guy Lardeyret Debate—Proportional Representation: The Problem with PR , 2008 .

[88]  Wonbin Cho Citizens’ Perceptions of Government Responsiveness in Africa: Do Electoral Systems and Ethnic Diversity Matter? , 2010 .

[89]  J. M. Mbaku Democratization in Africa , 2018 .

[90]  G. Tabellini,et al.  Constitutions and Economic Policy , 2004 .

[91]  Ursula Daxecker,et al.  The cost of exposing cheating , 2012 .

[92]  P. Stern,et al.  International conflict resolution after the Cold War , 2000 .

[93]  Marta Reynal-Querol,et al.  Ethnicity, Political Systems, and Civil Wars , 2002 .

[94]  J. Gandhi,et al.  Elections Under Authoritarianism , 2009 .

[95]  Andreas Schedler Electoral Authoritarianism: The Dynamics of Unfree Competition , 2006 .

[96]  Kristine Höglund,et al.  Electoral Violence in Conflict-Ridden Societies: Concepts, Causes, and Consequences , 2009 .

[97]  J. Birnir,et al.  Ethnicity and electoral politics , 2006 .