Computerization and skill in local weather forecasting

Increased information through computerization does not mean greater reliability in decision making. Consider the case of weather forecasting. Skill here is the ability to select and interpret information. Computer solutions are general and standardized whereas skill is developed through use of concrete, specific examples. Traditionally, meteorologists used solely historical material to build up a “comprehensive idea” of the weather situation in their minds. This “comprehensive” idea is the shaping of an inner weather picture which gradually builds up in the minds of meteorologists and leads to understanding and development of skill. Its creation depends on the reflection and digestion of information. Forecasting is a continuous process. The problem with the new methods and information presented by computerization is that there is less importance placed on reflection and therefore understanding through consideration of a variety of knowledge sources, communication between workers, and practical experiences.