Groups, social processes and decision making in finance

Purpose This paper aims to investigate a double puzzle, empirical and theoretical. Empirically, can the authors document the influence of groups on financial decisions in investments and trading? Theoretically, if decisions in a group context can be documented, how can we account for them, against the background of the normative models, according to which financial decisions are individualized and atomized? Based on interviews and ethnographic observations with fund managers, analysts and traders, the authors document here decision-making in finance. Theoretically, the authors argue that financial decisions can be explained if, in addition to cognitive processes, the authors take into account the impact of social interactions on the decision-making process. Social interactions are not restricted to imitation processes, and can be seen here as the efforts deployed by decision-makers at maintaining and managing the context of their decisions. The authors present and discuss empirical evidence and argue that the study of social interactions can productively contribute to understanding how decisions are made in finance. Design/methodology/approach The data analyzed here have been gathered between 2001 and 2011, and include: interviews with investment professionals (fund managers and analysts) from the UK and Turkey; interviews with individual investors from the UK and the USA; and observations with individual investors from the UK and the USA. This captures decision activities conducted in different regulatory frameworks of those countries. The authors focussed in the interviews on general decision-making practices. Findings Conclusion the authors have sought to answer a double puzzle, empirical and theoretical. Empirically, the puzzle is how investors and traders resort to groups in their decision-making. Theoretically, the puzzle consists not only in providing an explanation for such processes but also in taking into account that they do not fit the normative models of decisions in mainstream finance. The argument has been that in addition to the cognitive processes identified and discussed in behavioural finance, the authors need to take into account the impact of social processes as well. Social processes include the efforts deployed by financial decision-makers at maintaining and managing the contexts within which decisions are made. The work of context maintenance is intrinsic to the logic of decision-making. The authors have identified, documented and discussed here the social dynamics in financial decisions with respect to performance, managing group relationships and possible conflicts. Originality/value Managing relationships within groups is not without consequences with regard to trading decisions. Oftentimes, avoiding group conflicts – or being confronted with them – leads to decisional adjustments, which have less to do with returns on trades than with the necessity of accommodating social relationships. As several of the interviewees emphasized, making decisions implies consensus and reaching consensus requires accommodating relationships.

[1]  Alex Preda,et al.  Does a scopic regime produce conformism? Herding behavior among trade leaders on social trading platforms , 2017 .

[2]  E. Tarim Situated cognition and narrative heuristic: evidence from retail investors and their brokers , 2016 .

[3]  W. D. Bondt,et al.  Behavioral Finance: Quo Vadis? , 2015 .

[4]  Diane Grams The Dynamics of Auction: Social Interaction and the Sale of Fine Art and Antiques , 2015 .

[5]  A. Bryer Participation in budgeting: A critical anthropological approach , 2014 .

[6]  Yu-Hsiang Chen Stock trading and daily life : lay stock investors in Taiwan , 2014 .

[7]  R. Ashton The Impact of Budgets on People, Chris Argyris (Controllership Foundation, Inc., 1952) : ON PEOPLE , 2013 .

[8]  Aaron Z. Pitluck Watching Foreigners: How Counterparties Enable Herds, Crowds, and Generate Liquidity in Financial Markets , 2013 .

[9]  Caroline Lambert,et al.  Dirty work and the construction of identity. An ethnographic study of management accounting practices , 2013 .

[10]  G. Fine Group Culture and the Interaction Order: Local Sociology on the Meso-Level , 2012 .

[11]  Ezra W. Zuckerman,et al.  Construction, Concentration, and (Dis)Continuities in Social Valuations , 2012 .

[12]  J. Hendry,et al.  Can company-fund manager meetings convey informational benefits? Exploring the rationalisation of equity investment decision making by UK fund managers , 2012 .

[13]  Patricia H. Thornton,et al.  The Institutional Logics Perspective: A New Approach to Culture, Structure and Process , 2012 .

[14]  Gregory Kadlec,et al.  Disclosure and agency conflict: Evidence from mutual fund commission bundling , 2012 .

[15]  Gregory Kadlec,et al.  Delegated trading and the speed of adjustment in security prices , 2012 .

[16]  E. Soane,et al.  Thinking, feeling and deciding: The influence of emotions on the decision making and performance of traders , 2011 .

[17]  David R. Gibson Avoiding Catastrophe: The Interactional Production of Possibility during the Cuban Missile Crisis1 , 2011, American Journal of Sociology.

[18]  Miguel A. Ferreira,et al.  The Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance: A Cross-Country Study , 2011 .

[19]  M. Fourcade Cents and Sensibility: Economic Valuation and the Nature of “Nature” , 2011, American Journal of Sociology.

[20]  Urs Fischbacher,et al.  Shifting the Blame: On Delegation and Responsibility , 2011 .

[21]  Zsuzsanna Vargha From long-term savings to instant mortgages: financial demonstration and the role of interaction in markets , 2011 .

[22]  D. Stark,et al.  Seeing Through the Eyes of Others: Dissonance Within and Across Trading Rooms , 2011 .

[23]  Danielle S. Rudes,et al.  Conflict Resolution in Organizations , 2010 .

[24]  Mark J. Zbaracki,et al.  When Truces Collapse: A Longitudinal Study of Price-Adjustment Routines , 2010, Organ. Sci..

[25]  David Masclet,et al.  Group and individual risk preferences : a lottery-choice experiment with self-employed and salaried workers , 2009 .

[26]  Nick Llewellyn,et al.  Streetwise sales and the social order of city streets. , 2008, The British journal of sociology.

[27]  Edi Karni,et al.  On the Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment: New Experimental Evidence , 2008, Games Econ. Behav..

[28]  Patrick G. Maggitti,et al.  Market Watch: Information and Availability Cascades Among the Media and Investors in the U.S. IPO Market , 2008 .

[29]  Victoria E. Bonnell The Purchase of Intimacy , 2007 .

[30]  L. F. Barrett,et al.  BEING EMOTIONAL DURING DECISION MAKING-GOOD OR BAD? AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION. , 2007, Academy of Management journal. Academy of Management.

[31]  Christian Heath,et al.  Ordering competition: the interactional accomplishment of the sale of art and antiques at auction. , 2007, The British journal of sociology.

[32]  Winnie W. F. Orr The bargaining genre: A study of retail encounters in traditional Chinese local markets , 2007, Language in Society.

[33]  Narasimhan Jegadeesh,et al.  Do Analysts Herd? An Analysis of Recommendations and Market Reactions , 2006 .

[34]  David Stark,et al.  How to recognize opportunities: heterarchical search in a trading room , 2006 .

[35]  Sanjiv Ranjan Das,et al.  Einformation: A Clinical Study of Investor Discussion and Sentiment , 2005 .

[36]  D. Bernhardt,et al.  Who Herds? , 2004 .

[37]  David A. Chapman,et al.  Why constrain your mutual fund manager , 2004 .

[38]  D. R. White,et al.  Structural Cohesion and Embeddedness: A Hierarchical Concept of Social Groups , 2003, American Sociological Review.

[39]  R. Thaler,et al.  A Survey of Behavioral Finance , 2002 .

[40]  H. M. Collins,et al.  The Third Wave of Science Studies , 2002, Science, Technology, and Society.

[41]  Urs Bruegger,et al.  Global Microstructures: The Virtual Societies of Financial Markets1 , 2002, American Journal of Sociology.

[42]  D. Abrams,et al.  Being better by being right: subjective group dynamics and derogation of in-group deviants when generic norms are undermined. , 2001, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[43]  R. R. Prechter Unconscious Herding Behavior as the Psychological Basis of Financial Market Trends and Patterns , 2001 .

[44]  Kent D. Daniel,et al.  Investor Psychology in Capital Markets: Evidence and Policy Implications , 2001 .

[45]  J. B. Heaton,et al.  Competing Theories of Financial Anomalies , 2001 .

[46]  I. Welch Herding among security analysts , 2000 .

[47]  Ezra W. Zuckerman,et al.  The Categorical Imperative: Securities Analysts and the Illegitimacy Discount , 1999, American Journal of Sociology.

[48]  Marlys Gascho Lipe,et al.  Individual Investors' Risk Judgments and Investment Decisions: The Impact of Accounting and , 1998 .

[49]  R. Wermers,et al.  Mutual Fund Herding and the Impact on Stock Prices , 1998 .

[50]  Jeffrey D. Kubik,et al.  Security Analysts' Career Concerns and Herding of Earnings Forecasts , 1998 .

[51]  M. Hogg,et al.  Friendship and group identification: a new look at the role of cohesiveness in groupthink , 1998 .

[52]  Tetlock,et al.  Group Dynamics in Top Management Teams: Groupthink, Vigilance, and Alternative Models of Organizational Failure and Success. , 1998, Organizational behavior and human decision processes.

[53]  P. Steiner The Social Meaning of Money: Pin Money, Paychecks, Poor Relief, and Other Currencies - , 1997 .

[54]  Diane Vaughan,et al.  The Challenger Launch Decision: Risky Technology, Culture, and Deviance at NASA , 1996 .

[55]  W. Sharpe The Sharpe Ratio , 1994 .

[56]  A. Banerjee,et al.  A Simple Model of Herd Behavior , 1992 .

[57]  E. Fama Efficient Capital Markets: II , 1991 .

[58]  Kenneth A. Froot,et al.  Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short-Term Speculation , 1990 .

[59]  Mark J. Martinko,et al.  Impression Management in Organizations , 1988 .

[60]  A. Tversky,et al.  The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. , 1981, Science.

[61]  S. Ross,et al.  An Empirical Investigation of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory , 1980 .

[62]  A. Tversky,et al.  Decision, probability, and utility: Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[63]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.

[64]  D. L. Hanson,et al.  ON THE THEORY OF RISK AVERSION , 1970 .

[65]  E. Fama,et al.  EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* , 1970 .

[66]  M. C. Jensen The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964 , 1967 .

[67]  J. Lintner THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS , 1965 .

[68]  W. Sharpe CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* , 1964 .

[69]  M. Hogg Social Identity Theory , 2016 .

[70]  J. Hahn Victims Of Groupthink A Psychological Study Of Foreign Policy Decisions And Fiascoes , 2016 .

[71]  Jonas Schmitt Portfolio Selection Efficient Diversification Of Investments , 2016 .

[72]  O. Kirchkamp,et al.  For editorial correspondence please contact , 2010 .

[73]  David Stark,et al.  The Sense of Dissonance: Accounts of Worth in Economic Life , 2009 .

[74]  F. Fabozzi Valuation, financial modeling, and quantitative tools , 2008 .

[75]  David Hirshleifer,et al.  You have printed the following article : A Theory of Fads , Fashion , Custom , and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades , 2007 .

[76]  Andrew F. Herrmann,et al.  "People Get Emotional About Their Money: " Performing Masculinity in a Financial Discussion Board , 2007, J. Comput. Mediat. Commun..

[77]  Jack L. Treynor,et al.  MUTUAL FUND PERFORMANCE* , 2007 .

[78]  Edward J. Lawler,et al.  The Affect Theory of Social Exchange , 2006 .

[79]  A. Rustichini,et al.  Individual Behavior and Group Membership * First Draft : December 24 , 2004 This Draft : March 12 , 2005 , 2005 .

[80]  Dmitry V. Repin,et al.  Fear and Greed in Financial Markets : A Clinical Study of Day-Traders ∗ , 2004 .

[81]  Emma Soane,et al.  Traders, managers and loss aversion in investment banking: a field study , 2002 .

[82]  Karen L. Middleton,et al.  Are N+1 heads better than one?: The case of mutual fund managers , 2002 .

[83]  D. R. White,et al.  Social Cohesion and Embeddedness : A Hierarchical Conception of Social Groups , 2000 .

[84]  K. W. Carsten,et al.  Productive conflict: The importance of conflict management and conflict issue. , 1997 .

[85]  Robert A. Baron,et al.  Positive effects of conflict: Insights from social cognition. , 1997 .

[86]  M. Marshall Sampling for qualitative research. , 1996, Family practice.

[87]  A. Hopwood,et al.  Accounting and human behaviour , 1976 .

[88]  David Green,et al.  Budgeting and Employee Behavior , 1962 .

[89]  E. Goffman The Presentation of Self in Everyday Life , 1959 .