Drug Use and Other Determinants of Premarital Pregnancy and Its Outcome: A Dynamic Analysis of Competing Life Events.

A two-step process was tested to identify the determinants of (a) the occurrence and (b) the outcomes of a premarital pregnancy, whether abortion or premarital or postmarital birth. Risk factors were modeled through event history and logistic regression analysis. Generally, the same covariates predict the occurrence of a premarital pregnancy and its outcome. Such variables as cohabitation, being black, having had poor grades and high peer activity in high school, use of illicit drugs other than marijuana, and having dropped out of high school are associated with a twoto threefold increase in the risk of a premarital pregnancy. Premarital births are overrepresented among blacks, as are abortions among users of illicit drugs other than marijuana. The risk factors identify groups of adolescents for whom the timing and sequencing of family roles is especially disrupted.

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