Modeling the AIDS Epidemic: Planning, Policy, and Prediction

This volume presents applied mathematical and statistical modelling research that may help focus and improve major decision-making in planning, resource allocation, and public health policy for the current AIDS health crisis. In addition to important models developed in academia, this text presents models developed and currently used by public health practitioners, thus providing truly broad-based coverage of AIDS modelling efforts. 30 detailed chapters examine how mathematical and statistical tools are being successfully applied to many AIDS-related issues, including forecasting, evaluation of behavioural intervention programs, natural history and disease progression, clinical trials for treatment, field studies of incidence and prevalence of the disease, characterization of the disease transmission process, and evaluation of the societal costs and benefits of alternative policy decisions.