Select indicators and prioritize solutions for desertification and drought in Binh Thuan, Vietnam

ABSTRACT The link between climate change and desertification is an important global problem for the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). The coastal provinces in Southern Centre Vietnam are strongly influenced by desertification, which is further exacerbated by climate change. The Delphi method was used to select sustainability indicators and then a method of an analytical hierarchy process was applied to prioritize sustainable solutions in Binh Thuan experts to elicit the causes and effects of desertification. According to the panel of 23 experts, 27 cause (e.g. rainfall and sunshine duration) and 22 effect (e.g. rice and agriculture) indicators were of particular importance to desertification and drought in the province. The highest priorities for cause are given to emigration, followed by income from industry and water supply for household use. The highest priorities for effect in the area are given to socioeconomic criteria, and in particular to the sub-criteria resettlement due to development projects, building hydropower reservoirs, and implementing irrigation schemes. The system of indicators provides useful information for the future studies. This study provides a means to uncover the most important criteria perceived as major contributors to desertification and as such enables policy-makers to prioritize solutions for Binh Thuan (Vietnam) by 2015 and a vision in 2020.

[1]  P. C. Reid,et al.  Impacts of climate change on European marine ecosystems: Observations, expectations and indicators , 2011 .

[2]  M. G. Hofle,et al.  Adams, W.M. 2006. "The Future of Sustainability: Re-thinking Environment and Development in the Twenty-first Century." Report of the IUCN Renowned Thinkers , 2010 .

[3]  H. Purnomo,et al.  Indicators for assessing Indonesia’s Javan rhino National Park vulnerability to climate change , 2011 .

[4]  Halin Zhao,et al.  Effects of desertification on soil and crop growth properties in Horqin sandy cropland of Inner Mongolia, north China , 2006 .

[5]  T. L. Saaty A Scaling Method for Priorities in Hierarchical Structures , 1977 .

[6]  Pham Hoang Hai,et al.  Health and environmental sustainability indicators in Quang Tri Province, Vietnam , 2009 .

[7]  Sanjay Kumar,et al.  Analytical Hierarchy Process Applied to Vendor Selection Problem : Small Scale , Medium Scale and Large Scale Industries , 2009 .

[8]  Weizhong Zheng,et al.  A numerical experiment study for effects of the grassland desertification on summer drought in North China , 1999 .

[9]  Muhammad Imran Yousuf,et al.  Using Experts` Opinions Through Delphi Technique , 2007 .

[10]  Thomas J. Crowe,et al.  Multi‐attribute analysis of ISO 9000 registration using AHP , 1998 .

[11]  S. Matsuda An analysis of the Vietnamese system of occupational safety and health and setting priorities with the analytical hierarchy process. , 1996, Occupational and Environmental Medicine.

[12]  Hannele Wallenius,et al.  Interactive multiobjective analysis and assimilative capacity-based ocean disposal decisions , 1992 .

[13]  W. Noyes United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization , 1946, International Organization.

[14]  Markku Kuula,et al.  Transboundary air pollution in Europe: An interactive multicriteria tradeoff analysis , 1992 .

[15]  C. Dimitroulopoulou,et al.  Update of indicators for climate change mitigation in Greece , 2011 .

[16]  Ajit Subramaniam,et al.  Causes and impacts of the 2005 Amazon drought , 2008 .

[17]  Gregory Lee Lecklitner Protecting the rights of mental patients : a view of the future / , 1984 .

[18]  J. Murry,et al.  Delphi: A Versatile Methodology for Conducting Qualitative Research , 2017 .

[19]  P. Glavič,et al.  How to compare companies on relevant dimensions of sustainability , 2005 .

[20]  Jean Hugé,et al.  Software for Sustainability Assessment: a Case Study in Quang Tri Province, Vietnam , 2011 .

[21]  W. Adams The Future of Sustainability: Re-thinking Environment and Development in the Twenty-first Century , 2006 .

[22]  Pham Hoang Hai,et al.  Indicators for Sustainable Development in the Quang Tri Province, Vietnam , 2009 .

[23]  Y. Murayama,et al.  Land evaluation for peri-urban agriculture using analytical hierarchical process and geographic information system techniques: A case study of Hanoi , 2008 .

[24]  Heng Li,et al.  Analytic hierarchy process , 2001 .

[25]  Gwo-Jen Hwang,et al.  A Delphi-based approach to developing expert systems with the cooperation of multiple experts , 2007, Expert Systems with Applications.