Winter wheat mapping combining variations before and after estimated heading dates

Abstract Accurate and updated information on winter wheat distribution is vital for food security. The intra-class variability of the temporal profiles of vegetation indices presents substantial challenges to current time series-based approaches. This study developed a new method to identify winter wheat over large regions through a transformation and metric-based approach. First, the trend surfaces were established to identify key phenological parameters of winter wheat based on altitude and latitude with references to crop calendar data from the agro-meteorological stations. Second, two phenology-based indicators were developed based on the EVI2 differences between estimated heading and seedling/harvesting dates and the change amplitudes. These two phenology-based indicators revealed variations during the estimated early and late growth stages. Finally, winter wheat data were extracted based on these two metrics. The winter wheat mapping method was applied to China based on the 250 m 8-day composite Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 2-band Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI2) time series datasets. Accuracy was validated with field survey data, agricultural census data, and Landsat-interpreted results in test regions. When evaluated with 653 field survey sites and Landsat image interpreted data, the overall accuracy of MODIS-derived images in 2012–2013 was 92.19% and 88.86%, respectively. The MODIS-derived winter wheat areas accounted for over 82% of the variability at the municipal level when compared with agricultural census data. The winter wheat mapping method developed in this study demonstrates great adaptability to intra-class variability of the vegetation temporal profiles and has great potential for further applications to broader regions and other types of agricultural crop mapping.

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