A state of the art review on condition assessment models developed for sewer pipelines

Abstract In order to achieve an efficient and a successful operation and maintenance plan for assets, management personnel should have detailed information on the condition of the assets to make informed strategic decisions and properly plan expenditure of capital investments. Condition assessment models for sewage pipelines can be considered as a helpful tool to achieve such objective and from which a decision regarding the required and appropriate intervention can be made. This paper presents a review for the different physical, Artificial Intelligence and statistical models that have been developed to assess the condition of sewage pipelines over a period from 1998 through 2019. The description of different techniques used in building the condition assessment models, and the data required to construct these models are presented. In addition, the major disadvantages and limitations of using these techniques in developing the models have also been discussed. The conducted literature review indicates that various condition assessment models were capable of precisely forecasting the future condition of sewer pipelines. Most of the developed assessment models have been validated with various identified techniques to ensure the adequacy of the predictions. The main problem in model development arises from data availability and liability as several factors were identified by researchers to impact the deterioration of sewer pipelines. In order to overcome this problem, municipalities must utilize the new emerging technologies to facilitate gathering the required dataset in a complete and precise manner. Also, certain techniques such as evidential reasoning or Bayesian Belief Network can be used due to their capabilities in dealing with missing data. Furthermore, the influence of the factors on the pipe condition were identified by some researchers. Although there were discrepancies in the findings, but the majority concluded that both age and material factors have high influence and pipe slope has low influence.

[1]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Condition Prediction for Cured-in-Place Pipe Rehabilitation of Sewer Mains , 2016 .

[2]  R. A Fenner,et al.  Approaches to sewer maintenance: a review , 2000 .

[3]  A. Agresti,et al.  Categorical Data Analysis , 1991, International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science.

[4]  G. Kuczera,et al.  Markov Model for Storm Water Pipe Deterioration , 2002 .

[5]  P. Allison Multiple Regression: A Primer , 1994 .

[6]  Rehan Sadiq,et al.  Modeling failure risk in buried pipes using fuzzy Markov deterioration process , 2019 .

[7]  Jurg Keller,et al.  Predicting concrete corrosion of sewers using artificial neural network. , 2016, Water research.

[8]  Balvant Rajani,et al.  Comprehensive review of structural deterioration of water mains: statistical models , 2001 .

[9]  Jidong Yang,et al.  Road crack condition performance modeling using recurrent Markov chains and artificial neural networks , 2004 .

[10]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Infrastructure Condition Prediction Models for Sustainable Sewer Pipelines , 2008 .

[11]  Samuel T. Ariaratnam,et al.  Assessment of Infrastructure Inspection Needs Using Logistic Models , 2001 .

[12]  F H L R Clemens,et al.  Probabilistic modeling of sewer deterioration using inspection data. , 2008, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.

[13]  Richard N. Palmer,et al.  Expert System for Prioritizing the Inspection of Sewers: Knowledge Base Formulation and Evaluation , 2002 .

[14]  R Baur,et al.  Selective inspection planning with ageing forecast for sewer types. , 2002, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.

[15]  Jerald F. Lawless,et al.  Statistical Models and Methods for Lifetime Data. , 1983 .

[16]  Ebrahim H. Mamdani,et al.  An Experiment in Linguistic Synthesis with a Fuzzy Logic Controller , 1999, Int. J. Hum. Comput. Stud..

[17]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Condition assessment model for sewer pipelines using fuzzy-based evidential reasoning , 2018 .

[18]  Donald F. Specht,et al.  Probabilistic neural networks , 1990, Neural Networks.

[19]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Structural Condition Models for Sewer Pipeline , 2007 .

[20]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Condition Prediction for Chemical Grouting Rehabilitation of Sewer Networks , 2016 .

[21]  John Durkin,et al.  Expert systems - design and development , 1994 .

[22]  Leonard Ortolano,et al.  Expert System for Sewer Network Maintenance: Validation Issues , 1990 .

[23]  Homayoun Najjaran,et al.  Condition Assessment of Buried Pipes Using Hierarchical Evidential Reasoning Model , 2008 .

[24]  Yi Zhou,et al.  Development of a Fuzzy Based Pipe Condition Assessment Model Using PROMETHEE , 2009 .

[25]  I. Mellin,et al.  Sewer Life Span Prediction: Comparison of Methods and Assessment of the Sample Impact on the Results , 2019, Water.

[26]  Rehan Sadiq,et al.  Translation of pipe inspection results into condition ratings using the fuzzy synthetic evaluation technique , 2006 .

[27]  J Yan,et al.  Prioritizing water mains rehabilitation under uncertainty , 2003 .

[28]  Huu Dung Tran,et al.  Investigation of deterioration models for stormwater pipe systems , 2007 .

[29]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Sewer Pipeline Operational Condition Prediction using Multiple Regression , 2007 .

[30]  R. Herz Ageing processes and rehabilitation needs of drinking water , 1996 .

[31]  Kerry J. McManus,et al.  Prediction of Water Pipe Asset Life Using Neural Networks , 2007 .

[32]  M Hajmeer,et al.  A probabilistic neural network approach for modeling and classification of bacterial growth/no-growth data. , 2002, Journal of microbiological methods.

[33]  Maja Pohar Perme,et al.  Comparison of logistic regression and linear discriminant analysis , 2004, Advances in Methodology and Statistics.

[34]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Simulation-Based Condition Assessment Model for Sewer Pipelines , 2017 .

[35]  J. P. Davies,et al.  Factors influencing the structural deterioration and collapse of rigid sewer pipes , 2001 .

[36]  G. Sage,et al.  Power and ideology in American sport: A critical perspective , 1990 .

[37]  Baris Salman,et al.  Infrastructure Management and Deterioration Risk Assessment of Wastewater Collection Systems , 2010 .

[38]  Samuel T. Ariaratnam,et al.  Prediction models for sewer infrastructure utilizing rule-based simulation , 2004 .

[39]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Structural Condition Assessment of Sewer Pipelines , 2010 .

[40]  Ossama Salem,et al.  Modeling Failure of Wastewater Collection Lines Using Various Section-Level Regression Models , 2012 .

[41]  Jurg Keller,et al.  Evaluation of data-driven models for predicting the service life of concrete sewer pipes subjected to corrosion. , 2019, Journal of environmental management.

[42]  Neil S. Grigg Water, Wastewater, and Stormwater Infrastructure Management , 2002 .

[43]  Samuel T. Ariaratnam,et al.  Innovative method for assessment of underground sewer pipe condition , 2006 .

[44]  Samuel T. Ariaratnam,et al.  Cost forecast model for sewer infrastructure , 2006 .

[45]  Yehuda Kleiner,et al.  Scheduling Inspection and Renewal of Large Infrastructure Assets , 2001 .

[46]  Awatif Soaded Alsaqqar,et al.  Rigid Trunk Sewer Deterioration Prediction Models using Multiple Discriminant and Neural Network Models in Baghdad City, Iraq , 2017 .

[47]  J. P. Matos,et al.  Evaluation of artificial intelligence tool performance and uncertainty for predicting sewer structural condition , 2014 .

[48]  Dulcy M. Abraham,et al.  CHALLENGING ISSUES IN MODELING DETERIORATION OF COMBINED SEWERS , 2001 .

[49]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy Sets , 1996, Inf. Control..

[50]  W. Bauwens,et al.  Modeling the structural deterioration of urban drainage pipes: the state-of-the-art in statistical methods , 2010 .

[51]  Sami Daher Defect-based Condition Assessment Model and Protocol of Sewer Pipelines , 2015 .

[52]  Tarek Zayed,et al.  Infrastructure Management : Integrated AHP/ANN Model to Evaluate Municipal Water Mains' Performance , 2008 .

[53]  Sang-Hyeok Gang,et al.  Report Card for America's Infrastructure , 2012 .

[54]  Rehan Sadiq,et al.  Simulation-Based Localized Sensitivity Analyses (SaLSA) — An Example of Water Quality Failures in Distribution Networks , 2008 .

[55]  Dulcy M. Abraham,et al.  Estimating Transition Probabilities in Markov Chain-Based Deterioration Models for Management of Wastewater Systems , 2006 .

[56]  Toshimitsu Inomata,et al.  A RULE-BASED SIMULATION SYSTEM FOR DISCRETE EVENT SYSTEMS , 1988 .

[57]  Sunil K. Sinha,et al.  Probabilistic based integrated pipeline management system , 2007 .

[58]  M Maurer,et al.  Network condition simulator for benchmarking sewer deterioration models. , 2011, Water research.

[59]  Guru Kulandaivel,et al.  Pipeline Condition Prediction Using Neural Network Models , 2005 .

[60]  Ralph Haas,et al.  Infrastructure Management: Integrating Design, Construction, Maintenance, Rehabilitation and Renovation , 1997 .