Behavioural issues in environmental modelling - The missing perspective

[1]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Cheap talk and cooperation in Stackelberg games , 2016, Central European Journal of Operations Research.

[2]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Path dependence and biases in the even swaps decision analysis method , 2016, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[3]  J. Räisänen,et al.  CO2-induced climate change in northern Europe: CMIP2 versus CMIP3 versus CMIP5 , 2015, Climate Dynamics.

[4]  Alexey Voinov,et al.  Systems science and modeling for ecological , 2015 .

[5]  D. Winterfeldt,et al.  Cognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis , 2015, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[6]  R. Hämäläinen,et al.  Decision Structuring Dialogue , 2015 .

[7]  J. Mustajoki,et al.  How to design and realize participation of stakeholders in MCDA processes? A framework for selecting an appropriate approach , 2015 .

[8]  R. Hämäläinen,et al.  Being Better Better: Living with Systems Intelligence , 2015 .

[9]  P. Glynn.  Integrated Environmental Modelling: human decisions, human challenges , 2015, Special Publications.

[10]  Jukka Luoma,et al.  Mathematical modeling is more than fitting equations. , 2014, The American psychologist.

[11]  K. R. Douglas-Mankin,et al.  Evaluating, interpreting, and communicating performance of hydrologic/water quality models considering intended use: A review and recommendations , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[12]  Samaneh Shokravi,et al.  Values in socio-environmental modelling: Persuasion for action or excuse for inaction , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[13]  D. C. Black,et al.  Towards best practice implementation and application of models for analysis of water resources management scenarios , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[14]  Valeria Jana Schwanitz,et al.  Evaluating integrated assessment models of global climate change , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[15]  Anthony J. Jakeman,et al.  Selecting among five common modelling approaches for integrated environmental assessment and management , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[16]  M. Garry,et al.  The effect of nonprobative photographs on truthiness persists over time. , 2013, Acta psychologica.

[17]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  On the importance of behavioral operational research: The case of understanding and communicating about dynamic systems , 2013, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[18]  Werner Ulrich,et al.  Operational research and ethics: A literature review , 2013, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[19]  Andrew Jones,et al.  Management flight simulators to support climate negotiations , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[20]  Kai Niebert,et al.  Understanding and communicating climate change in metaphors , 2013 .

[21]  Nancy J. Cooke,et al.  Interactive Team Cognition , 2013, Cogn. Sci..

[22]  Joseph H. A. Guillaume,et al.  Characterising performance of environmental models , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[23]  Lewis C. Linker,et al.  Using Multiple Watershed Models to Predict Water, Nitrogen, and Phosphorus Discharges to the Patuxent Estuary 1 , 2013 .

[24]  Andrea Castelletti,et al.  Putting humans in the loop: Social computing for Water Resources Management , 2012, Environ. Model. Softw..

[25]  Luis F. Luna-Reyes,et al.  Understanding risks, benefits, and strategic alternatives of social media applications in the public sector , 2012, Gov. Inf. Q..

[26]  Guillaume Bouchard,et al.  Opinion mining in social media: Modeling, simulating, and forecasting political opinions in the web , 2012, Gov. Inf. Q..

[27]  Laurence Smith,et al.  The role of expert opinion in environmental modelling , 2012, Environ. Model. Softw..

[28]  M. Garry,et al.  Nonprobative photographs (or words) inflate truthiness , 2012, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[29]  Matthew D. Wood,et al.  Cognitive Mapping Tools: Review and Risk Management Needs , 2012, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[30]  Stefan Hajkowicz,et al.  For the Greater Good? A Test for Strategic Bias in Group Environmental Decisions , 2012 .

[31]  Robin Gregory,et al.  Structured Decision Making: A Practical Guide to Environmental Management Choices , 2012 .

[32]  Igor Linkov,et al.  Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis: Environmental Applications and Case Studies , 2011 .

[33]  Vanessa C. Burbano,et al.  The Drivers of Greenwashing , 2011 .

[34]  O. Chanel,et al.  A Test of Cheap Talk in Different Hypothetical Contexts: The Case of Air Pollution , 2011 .

[35]  Luis Samaniego,et al.  Technical assessment and evaluation of environmental models and software: Letter to the Editor , 2011, Environ. Model. Softw..

[36]  Arthur C. Petersen,et al.  A method for the analysis of assumptions in model-based environmental assessments , 2011, Environ. Model. Softw..

[37]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Acting with systems intelligence: integrating complex responsive processes with the systems perspective , 2011, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[38]  Christophe Le Page,et al.  Co-constructing with stakeholders a role-playing game to initiate collective management of erosive runoff risks at the watershed scale , 2010, Environ. Model. Softw..

[39]  François Bousquet,et al.  Modelling with stakeholders , 2010, Environ. Model. Softw..

[40]  L. Alberto Franco,et al.  Facilitated modelling in operational research , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[41]  Jouni Räisänen,et al.  Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change , 2010 .

[42]  Milos Jenicek,et al.  List of Cognitive Biases , 2010 .

[43]  Stephen M. Fiore,et al.  Toward an Understanding of Macrocognition in Teams: Predicting Processes in Complex Collaborative Contexts , 2010, Hum. Factors.

[44]  Warren E. Walker,et al.  Does the best practice of rational-style model-based policy analysis already include ethical considerations? , 2009 .

[45]  P. Senge.  The necessary revolution , 2009 .

[46]  John Brocklesby,et al.  Ethics beyond the model: How social dynamics can interfere with ethical practice in operational research/management science , 2009 .

[47]  Saul I. Gass,et al.  Ethical guidelines and codes in operations research , 2009 .

[48]  Mirjam de Groot,et al.  “Room for river” measures and public visions in the Netherlands: A survey on river perceptions among riverside residents , 2009 .

[49]  L. Shawn Matott,et al.  Evaluating uncertainty in integrated environmental models: A review of concepts and tools , 2009 .

[50]  Ed Bukszar.  Strategic Bias: The Impact of Cognitive Biases on Strategy , 2009 .

[51]  Antuela A. Tako,et al.  Comparing discrete-event simulation and system dynamics: users' perceptions , 2009, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[52]  Steven A. Murphy,et al.  The Role of Emotion and Language in Dyadic E-negotiations , 2009 .

[53]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  The threat of weighting biases in environmental decision analysis , 2008 .

[54]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Systems Intelligence - the Way Forward?A Note on Ackoff's "Why Few Organizations Adopt Systems Thinking" , 2008 .

[55]  J. Sterman.  Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance , 2008, Science.

[56]  Mika Marttunen,et al.  The Decision Analysis Interview Approach in the Collaborative Management of a Large Regulated Water Course , 2008, Environmental management.

[57]  Thomas Martens,et al.  Designing environmental campaigns by using agent-based simulations: strategies for changing environmental attitudes. , 2008, Journal of environmental management.

[58]  Alexey Voinov,et al.  Systems Science and Modeling for Ecological Economics , 2008 .

[59]  Jason F. Shogren,et al.  On Behavioral-Environmental Economics , 2008, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy.

[60]  D. Insua,et al.  e-Participation and Decision Analysis , 2007, Decis. Anal..

[61]  Peter A. Vanrolleghem,et al.  Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process - A framework and guidance , 2007, Environ. Model. Softw..

[62]  Carlos A. Bana e Costa,et al.  Transparent prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis and decision conferencing , 2007, Ann. Oper. Res..

[63]  Jennifer Phillips,et al.  Communication and Mental Processes: Experimental and Analytic Processing of Uncertain Climate Information , 2007 .

[64]  J. Sterman,et al.  Understanding public complacency about climate change: adults’ mental models of climate change violate conservation of matter , 2007 .

[65]  R. Ackoff.  Why few organizations adopt systems thinking , 2006 .

[66]  G. Herath,et al.  Using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis in Natural Resource Management , 2006 .

[67]  Anthony J. Jakeman,et al.  Ten iterative steps in development and evaluation of environmental models , 2006, Environ. Model. Softw..

[68]  Keith Beven,et al.  A manifesto for the equifinality thesis , 2006 .

[69]  A. Patt,et al.  Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment , 2005 .

[70]  G. Harrison.  Experimental Evidence on Alternative Environmental Valuation Methods , 2005 .

[71]  Jeroen P. van der Sluijs,et al.  A framework for dealing with uncertainty due to model structure error , 2004 .

[72]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Participatory multicriteria decision analysis with Web-HIPRE: a case of lake regulation policy , 2004, Environ. Model. Softw..

[73]  Igor Linkov,et al.  Model Uncertainty and Choices Made by Modelers: Lessons Learned from the International Atomic Energy Agency Model Intercomparisons † , 2003, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[74]  R. Hämäläinen.  Decisionarium-aiding decisions, negotiating and collecting opinions on the web: DECISIONARIUM-AIDING DECISIONS , 2003 .

[75]  John D. Sterman,et al.  All models are wrong: reflections on becoming a systems scientist† , 2002 .

[76]  Michael H. Huesemann,et al.  The inherent biases in environmental research and their effects on public policy , 2002 .

[77]  John A. List,et al.  Do explicit warnings eliminate the hypothetical bias in elicitation procedures? Evidence from field auctions for sportscards , 2001 .

[78]  Jyri Seppälä,et al.  On the meaning of the distance-to-target weighting method and normalisation in Life Cycle Impact assessment , 2001 .

[79]  S. Daniels,et al.  Working Through Environmental Conflict: The Collaborative Learning Approach , 2001 .

[80]  B. Fredrickson.  The role of positive emotions in positive psychology. The broaden-and-build theory of positive emotions. , 2001, The American psychologist.

[81]  Felix Rauschmayer,et al.  Reflections on ethics and MCA in environmental decisions , 2001 .

[82]  A. Tversky,et al.  Choices, Values, and Frames , 2000 .

[83]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  There Is Hope In Attribute Weighting , 2000 .

[84]  Richard J. Zeckhauser,et al.  Action Bias and Environmental Decisions , 2000 .

[85]  J. Kruger,et al.  Unskilled and unaware of it: how difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. , 1999, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[86]  Simon French,et al.  Problem formulation for multi-criteria decision analysis: Report of a workshop , 1998 .

[87]  Vincent P. Crawford,et al.  A Survey of Experiments on Communication via Cheap Talk , 1998 .

[88]  Esser,et al.  Alive and Well after 25 Years: A Review of Groupthink Research. , 1998, Organizational behavior and human decision processes.

[89]  Pauli Miettinen,et al.  How to benefit from decision analysis in environmental life cycle assessment (LCA) , 1997 .

[90]  William A. Wallace,et al.  Ethics in Modeling , 1994 .

[91]  Robin Gregory,et al.  Valuing environmental resources: A constructive approach , 1993 .

[92]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Facts or values -- how do parliamentarians and experts see nuclear power? , 1991 .

[93]  R. Hämäläinen.  A decision aid in the public debate on nuclear power , 1990 .

[94]  James J. Kennedy,et al.  Legislative Confrontation of Groupthink in US Natural Resource Agencies , 1988, Environmental Conservation.

[95]  James H. Barnes.  Cognitive biases and their impact on strategic planning , 1984 .

[96]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. , 1984 .

[97]  G. Box.  Science and Statistics , 1976 .

[98]  Tuomas J. Lahtinen,et al.  Path dependence in Operational Research—How the modeling process can influence the results , 2016 .

[99]  J. Goodall,et al.  Integrated environmental modeling: A vision and roadmap for the future , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[100]  B. Fasolo,et al.  Behavioural Issues in Portfolio Decision Analysis , 2011 .

[101]  D. Kahneman.  Thinking, Fast and Slow , 2011 .

[102]  S. Moser.  Communicating climate change: history, challenges, process and future directions , 2010 .

[103]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Multicriteria Decision Analysis in Group Decision Processes , 2010, Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation.

[104]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Web-Based Decision Support: Creating a Culture of Applying Multi-criteria Decision Analysis and Web-Supported Participation in Environmental Decision Making , 2010 .

[105]  David Ríos Insua,et al.  E-Democracy: A Group Decision and Negotiation Perspective , 2010 .

[106]  Cleotilde González,et al.  Why don't well-educated adults understand accumulation? A challenge to researchers, educators, and citizens , 2009 .

[107]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Interactive computer support in decision conferencing: Two cases on off-site nuclear emergency management , 2007, Decis. Support Syst..

[108]  R. Hämäläinen,et al.  Systems Intelligence: Connecting Engineering Thinking with Human Sensitivity * , 2007 .

[109]  L. Thompson,et al.  The three faces of Eve: Strategic displays of positive, negative, and neutral emotions in negotiations. , 2006 .

[110]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  Decisionarium ‐ aiding decisions, negotiating and collecting opinions on the web , 2005 .

[111]  Jens Christian Refsgaard,et al.  Modelling guidelinesterminology and guiding principles , 2004 .

[112]  M. V. D. Belt,et al.  Mediated Modeling: A System Dynamics Approach To Environmental Consensus Building , 2004 .

[113]  R. Pohl.  Cognitive illusions : a handbook on fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement and memory , 2004 .

[114]  Valerie Belton,et al.  Multicriteria decision analysis , 2004 .

[115]  Pauli Miettinen,et al.  Indexes for fixed and flexible environmental target setting - A decision analytical perspective , 1999 .

[116]  P. Todd,et al.  Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart , 1999 .

[117]  John D. Sterman,et al.  A Skeptic’s Guide to Computer Models , 1997 .

[118]  A. Damasio.  Descartes' error: emotion, reason, and the human brain. avon books , 1994 .

[119]  C. Argyris.  Reasoning, learning, and action : individual and organizational , 1982 .

[120]  I. Janis.  Victims Of Groupthink , 1972 .