Mean and median bias reduction in generalized linear models

This paper presents an integrated framework for estimation and inference from generalized linear models using adjusted score equations that result in mean and median bias reduction. The framework unifies theoretical and methodological aspects of past research on mean bias reduction and accommodates, in a natural way, new advances on median bias reduction. General expressions for the adjusted score functions are derived in terms of quantities that are readily available in standard software for fitting generalized linear models. The resulting estimating equations are solved using a unifying quasi-Fisher scoring algorithm that is shown to be equivalent to iteratively reweighted least squares with appropriately adjusted working variates. Formal links between the iterations for mean and median bias reduction are established. Core model invariance properties are used to develop a novel mixed adjustment strategy when the estimation of a dispersion parameter is necessary. It is also shown how median bias reduction in multinomial logistic regression can be done using the equivalent Poisson log-linear model. The estimates coming out from mean and median bias reduction are found to overcome practical issues related to infinite estimates that can occur with positive probability in generalized linear models with multinomial or discrete responses, and can result in valid inferences even in the presence of a high-dimensional nuisance parameter.

[1]  P. McCullagh,et al.  Generalized Linear Models, 2nd Edn. , 1990 .

[2]  A. Agresti Categorical data analysis , 1993 .

[3]  Nicola Lunardon On bias reduction and incidental parameters , 2018 .

[4]  D. Firth Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates , 1993 .

[5]  Alessandra Salvan,et al.  Median bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates , 2016, 1604.04768.

[6]  Ioannis Kosmidis,et al.  A generic algorithm for reducing bias in parametric estimation , 2011 .

[7]  K. Konis,et al.  Linear programming algorithms for detecting separated data in binary logistic regression models , 2007 .

[8]  David Firth,et al.  Multinomial logit bias reduction via the Poisson log-linear model , 2011 .

[9]  A. Albert,et al.  On the existence of maximum likelihood estimates in logistic regression models , 1984 .

[10]  D. Cox,et al.  Parameter Orthogonality and Approximate Conditional Inference , 1987 .

[11]  D. Trichopoulos,et al.  INDUCED ABORTION AND SECONDARY INFERTILITY , 1976, British journal of obstetrics and gynaecology.

[12]  Robert Tibshirani,et al.  A Simple Method for the Adjustment of Profile Likelihoods , 1990 .

[13]  Robert H Lyles,et al.  Reducing Bias and Mean Squared Error Associated With Regression-Based Odds Ratio Estimators. , 2012, Journal of statistical planning and inference.

[14]  Ioannis Kosmidis,et al.  Bias in parametric estimation: reduction and useful side‐effects , 2013, 1311.6311.

[15]  R. W. Wedderburn,et al.  On the existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimates for certain generalized linear models , 1976 .

[16]  M. Schemper,et al.  A solution to the problem of separation in logistic regression , 2002, Statistics in medicine.

[17]  Anthony C. Davison,et al.  Applied Asymptotics: Case Studies in Small-Sample Statistics , 2007 .

[18]  P. Green Iteratively reweighted least squares for maximum likelihood estimation , 1984 .

[19]  David W. Hosmer,et al.  Applied Logistic Regression , 1991 .

[20]  David Firth,et al.  Bias reduction in exponential family nonlinear models , 2009 .

[21]  Gordon K. Smyth,et al.  Generalized linear models with varying dispersion , 1989 .

[22]  P. McCullagh,et al.  Generalized Linear Models , 1992 .

[23]  Celia M. T. Greenwood,et al.  A modified score function estimator for multinomial logistic regression in small samples , 2002 .

[24]  P. McCullagh,et al.  Bias Correction in Generalized Linear Models , 1991 .

[25]  Bruce G. Lindsay,et al.  Inference Functions and Quadratic Score Tests , 2003 .

[26]  B. Efron Defining the Curvature of a Statistical Problem (with Applications to Second Order Efficiency) , 1975 .

[27]  Purushottam W. Laud,et al.  On Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Models Using Jeffreys's Prior , 1991 .

[28]  Nicola Sartori,et al.  Modified profile likelihoods in models with stratum nuisance parameters , 2003 .

[29]  Thomas A. Severini,et al.  An approximation to the modified profile likelihood function , 1998 .

[30]  Ioannis Kosmidis,et al.  Improved estimation in cumulative link models , 2012, 1204.0105.

[31]  O. Barndorff-Nielsen On a formula for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator , 1983 .