Pairwise Dichotomous Cohesiveness Measures

In a framework where experts or agents express their opinions in a dichotomous way, we analyze the cohesiveness of their opinions on a fixed set of issues in a population. A parametric family of related measures are introduced and axiomatically characterized. They are ordinally equivalent when the population is fixed, and some further properties are proved. In order to argue that this restricted dichotomous situation is nevertheless versatile, the paper ends with several empirical illustrations based on real forecasts (for the 2012 American presidential election) and elections (with real data from referenda in two countries and from elections in several scientific societies).

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