Policy Clusters: Government's Agenda Across Policies and Time

In the last decade, Machine Learning research has developed several data analysis algorithms for real-world problems. On the other hand, analyzing the attention governments allocate to different policy areas is important since it helps us to understand the extent to which the limited resources of governments are focused or diversified. We classify the previous studies on government agenda representation into Individual and Total approaches. While the Individual approaches focuse on one policy area at a time and traces the extent of attention each one received, the Total approaches propose aggregated data analysis methods to represent the government agenda considering all the policy areas. In this paper, we use hierarchical clustering to propose an intermediate type of policy analysis called “Policy Cluster” which considers the relationships among different policy areas. For the evaluation, we built and analysed the Policy Clusters for the Irish government covering the time period 1945 to 2012. Comparing to previous Individual and Total approaches, the proposed intermediate approach reduces the search space in which we are looking for informative patterns by 57% and the results of our analysis represent the political agenda in more modular and informative way, taking into account intra-relationships of policies.

[1]  Sotiris B. Kotsiantis,et al.  Supervised Machine Learning: A Review of Classification Techniques , 2007, Informatica.

[2]  H. Pitkin The Concept of Representation , 1969 .

[3]  R. Dahl Polyarchy; participation and opposition , 1971 .

[4]  W. Streeck An Index of Fiscal Democracy , 2010 .

[5]  Christopher Wlezien,et al.  Public Opinion and Public Policy , 2010 .

[6]  Will Jennings,et al.  Comparative Political Studies , 1999 .

[7]  Marcello Carammia,et al.  Policy Punctuations and Issue Diversity on the European Council Agenda , 2012 .

[8]  Bruno Pouliquen,et al.  Automatic annotation of multilingual text collections with a conceptual thesaurus , 2006, ArXiv.

[9]  Fionn Murtagh,et al.  Methods of Hierarchical Clustering , 2011, ArXiv.

[10]  Christopher Wlezien,et al.  Degrees of Democracy: Politics, Public Opinion, and Policy , 2009 .

[11]  Will Jennings,et al.  Comparing Government Agendas , 2011 .

[12]  Bryan D. Jones,et al.  Representation and agenda-setting , 2004 .

[13]  G. Powell,et al.  Elections as instruments of democracy : majoritarian and proportional visions , 2000 .

[14]  Sandra L. Resodihardjo,et al.  Political Attention in a Coalition System: Analysing Queen's Speeches in the Netherlands 1945–2007 , 2009 .

[15]  L. Sigelman,et al.  Avoidance or Engagement? Issue Convergence in U.S. Presidential Campaigns, 1960–2000 , 2004 .

[16]  Will Jennings,et al.  Punctuations and Turning Points in British Politics: The Policy Agenda of the Queen's Speech, 1940-2005 , 2010 .