Negotiation decision-making model for reservoir operation in flood season and its application

Benefit and risk are two important factors of flood water utilization.By adopting the game theory and the pattern recognition theory,this paper proposes a negotiation decision-making model for reservoir operation in flood season to adjust some conflict between the benefit and the flood risk.In this model,a Nash bargaining solution is obtained by non-linear programming method,and the relative superior membership degree of each alternative is modeled with the method of fuzzy pattern recognition.A case study shows that in comparison of the other models,the proposed simple model is better for the decision-making problems with conflicting objects.