College Assignment as a Large Contest

We develop a model of college assignment as a large contest wherein students with heterogeneous abilities compete for seats at vertically differentiated colleges through the acquisition of productive human capital. We use a continuum model to approximate the outcomes of a game with large but finite sets of colleges and students. By incorporating two common families of affirmative action mechanisms into our model--admissions preferences and quotas--we can show that (legal) admissions preference schemes and (illegal) quotas have the same sets of equilibria, including identical outcomes and investment strategies. Finally, we explore the welfare costs of using human capital accumulation to compete for college admissions. We define the cost of competition as the welfare difference between a color-blind admissions contest and the first-best outcome chosen by an omniscient social planner. Using a calibrated version of our model, we find that the cost of competition is equivalent to a loss of $91,795 in NPV of lifetime earnings.

[1]  A. Edlin,et al.  Strict Monotonicity in Comparative Statics , 1998 .

[2]  E. Green Continuum and Finite-Player Noncooperative Models of Competition , 1984 .

[3]  T. Sowell Affirmative Action Around the World: An Empirical Study , 2004 .

[4]  David Housman Infinite Player Noncooperative Games and the Continuity of the Nash Equilibrium Correspondence , 1988, Math. Oper. Res..

[5]  Denise Pope,et al.  Nonacademic Effects of Homework in Privileged, High-Performing High Schools , 2013 .

[6]  M. Jackson,et al.  Approximately competitive equilibria in large finite economies , 1997 .

[7]  Richard P. McLean,et al.  Informational Size and Incentive Compatibility , 2001 .

[8]  Parag A. Pathak,et al.  Appendix to "Incentives and Stability in Large Two-Sided Matching Markets" , 2009 .

[9]  Lones Smith,et al.  Student Portfolios and the College Admissions Problem , 2013 .

[10]  Werner Hildenbrand,et al.  On economies with many agents , 1970 .

[11]  M. Spence Job Market Signaling , 1973 .

[12]  Thomas J. Espenshade,et al.  Admission Preferences for Minority Students, Athletes, and Legacies at Elite Universities* , 2004 .

[13]  Robert J. Weber,et al.  Distributional Strategies for Games with Incomplete Information , 1985, Math. Oper. Res..

[14]  Guilherme Carmona Nash Equilibria of Games with a Continuum of Players , 2004 .

[15]  Yeon-Koo Che,et al.  Decentralized College Admissions , 2016, Journal of Political Economy.

[16]  E. Kalai Large Robust Games , 2004 .

[17]  Guilherme Carmona,et al.  On the Existence of Pure-Strategy Equilibria in Large Games , 2008, J. Econ. Theory.

[18]  T. Espenshade,et al.  The Opportunity Cost of Admission Preferences at Elite Universities , 2005 .

[19]  Jane Cooley Fruehwirth Identifying peer achievement spillovers: Implications for desegregation and the achievement gap , 2013 .

[20]  Andrew Schotter,et al.  Asymmetric Tournaments, Equal Opportunity Laws, and Affirmative Action: Some Experimental Results , 1992 .

[21]  Isa Emin Hafalir,et al.  College admissions with entrance exams: Centralized versus decentralized , 2018, J. Econ. Theory.

[22]  Roland G. Fryer,et al.  Affirmative Action and its Mythology , 2005 .

[23]  Roland G. Fryer,et al.  An Economic Analysis of Color-Blind Affirmative Action , 2007 .

[24]  Jagdish N. Bhagwati,et al.  More on the Equivalence of Tariffs and Quotas , 1968 .

[25]  Amy L. Chua Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother , 2011 .

[26]  Jian Yang Connections between Finite-and Infinite-player Games : Normal-and Extended-form Analyses , 2011 .

[27]  C. Hoxby,et al.  Peer Effects in the Classroom: Learning from Gender and Race Variation , 2000 .

[28]  Aaron L. Bodoh-Creed,et al.  Efficiency and information aggregation in large uniform-price auctions , 2013, J. Econ. Theory.

[29]  Qiang Fu,et al.  A Theory of Affirmative Action in College Admissions , 2005 .

[30]  H. Young,et al.  Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications , 2015 .

[31]  D. Schmeidler Equilibrium points of nonatomic games , 1973 .

[32]  Q. Vuong,et al.  Optimal Nonparametric Estimation of First-price Auctions , 2000 .

[33]  Brent R. Hickman,et al.  Pre-College Human Capital Investments and Affirmative Action: A Structural Policy Analysis of US College Admissions , 2017 .

[34]  Jonathan Levin,et al.  Early Admissions at Selective Colleges , 2009 .

[35]  Jeroen M. Swinkels Efficiency of Large Private Value Auctions , 2001 .

[36]  Leonie Moench The Overachievers The Secret Lives Of Driven Kids , 2016 .

[37]  Aaron L. Bodoh-Creed Approximation of Large Games with Applications to Uniform Price Auctions , 2011, AMMA.

[38]  Implicit Quotas , 2009, The Journal of Legal Studies.

[39]  Stephen Coate,et al.  Will Affirmative-Action Policies Eliminate Negative Stereotypes? , 1993 .

[40]  Susan Athey,et al.  Single Crossing Properties and the Existence of Pure Strategy Equilibria in Games of Incomplete Information , 1997 .

[41]  Anil V. Rao,et al.  GPOPS-II , 2014, ACM Trans. Math. Softw..

[42]  Edward J. Green,et al.  Noncooperative price taking in large dynamic markets , 1980 .

[43]  Eric Budish,et al.  The Combinatorial Assignment Problem: Approximate Competitive Equilibrium from Equal Incomes , 2010, Journal of Political Economy.

[44]  M. A. Khan,et al.  Non-Cooperative Games with Many Players , 2002 .

[45]  Benjamin Van Roy,et al.  Markov Perfect Industry Dynamics with Many Firms , 2005 .

[46]  C. Jencks,et al.  The Black-White Test Score Gap. , 1998 .

[47]  H. Sabourian Anonymous repeated games with a large number of players and random outcomes , 1990 .

[48]  W. Olszewski,et al.  Pareto Improvements in the Contest for College Admissions , 2022, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[49]  Guilherme Carmona,et al.  Approximation and characterization of Nash equilibria of large games , 2020 .

[50]  D. J. Roberts,et al.  THE INCENTIVES FOR PRICE-TAKING BEHAVIOR IN LARGE EXCHANGE ECONOMIES , 1976 .

[51]  J. Rochet,et al.  Ironing, Sweeping, and Multidimensional Screening , 1998 .

[52]  J. Franke Does Affirmative Action Reduce Effort Incentives? – A Contest Game Analysis , 2010 .

[53]  Eduardo M. Azevedo,et al.  A Supply and Demand Framework for Two-Sided Matching Markets , 2014, Journal of Political Economy.

[54]  L. Shapley,et al.  College Admissions and the Stability of Marriage , 1962 .

[55]  W. Hildenbrand Core and Equilibria of a Large Economy. , 1974 .

[56]  Aaron L. Bodoh Constrained Optimization Approaches to Solving Real World School Choice Problems , 2017 .

[57]  D. Fudenberg,et al.  When Are Nonanonymous Players Negligible , 1998 .

[58]  Jeroen M. Swinkels,et al.  EFFICIENCY OF LARGE DOUBLE AUCTIONS , 2003 .

[59]  Suniya S Luthar,et al.  Privileged but pressured? A study of affluent youth. , 2002, Child development.

[60]  D. Karlen The Supreme Court of the United States , 1962 .

[61]  Mukund Sundararajan,et al.  Mean Field Equilibria of Dynamic Auctions with Learning , 2014, Manag. Sci..

[62]  Y. Otani,et al.  Limit properties of equilibrium allocations of Walrasian strategic games , 1990 .

[63]  Salgado Alfredo Incomplete Information and Costly Signaling in College Admissions , 2018 .

[64]  Kim C. Border,et al.  Infinite Dimensional Analysis: A Hitchhiker’s Guide , 1994 .

[65]  David McAdams,et al.  Isotone Equilibrium in Games of Incomplete Information , 2002 .

[66]  D. Epple,et al.  The Practice and Proscription of Affirmative Action in Higher Education:An Equilibrium Analysis , 2003 .

[67]  Stephen Coate,et al.  Antidiscrimination enforcement and the problem of patronization , 1993 .

[68]  J. Fain Affirmative Action Can Increase Effort , 2009 .

[69]  W. Olszewski,et al.  Large Contests , 2012 .

[70]  G. Becker Chapter Title: a Theory of Marriage a Theory of Marriage , 2022 .

[71]  Erik Eyster,et al.  Does Banning Affirmative Action Lower College Student Quality , 2003 .

[72]  A. Roth,et al.  College Admissions as Non-Price Competition: The Case of South Korea , 2014 .