The Study on Scenario Analysis Method

The scenario analysis method is a more popular research method in the international arena in recent years,it is widely used in strategic decision-making,policy analysis and other fields,and become an important dialogue platform with international research institutions.In the past dozens of years,scenarios analysis method quickly expand from Shell to other organizations and institutions,and developed a variety of methods.This paper focuses on the qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis,forward and backcasting scenario analysis method,based on the analysis on scenario analysis school and typology,and innovative puts forward the 8S technology those generally been widely used in scenario analysis process.