The Impact of Discrimination on the Spread of Infectious Diseases in Complex Networks

This paper proposes a novel model combining an epidemic dynamics and an opinion dynamics to investigate the impact of epidemic-related opinion dynamics on the spreading of infectious diseases in complex networks. We assume that, the outcomes of opinion dynamics on the behavior of asymptomatically infected individuals who have known their infected state, could not only reduce their transmission probabilities, but also could increase their transmission probabilities. This assumption has rarely been considered for modeling the interactions among epidemic dynamics, opinion dynamics and the exchange of human behaviors. We find that when the epidemic-related opinion dynamics exist, a higher randomness of individuals will simultaneously lead to a higher prevalence of infectious diseases and a lower social discrimination perceived by infected individuals. Furthermore, if the positive external global impact exceeds a certain critical value, there is an abrupt disappearance of infection owing to the contribution of opinion dynamics. Based on our results, some suggestions are given to reduce the spreading of epidemic diseases.

[1]  D. Zanette,et al.  Infection Spreading in a Population with Evolving Contacts , 2007, Journal of biological physics.

[2]  D. Skinner,et al.  Stigma, discrimination and the implications for people living with HIV/AIDS in South Africa , 2004, SAHARA J : journal of Social Aspects of HIV/AIDS Research Alliance.

[3]  V. Jansen,et al.  Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review , 2010, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[4]  A. J. Hall Infectious diseases of humans: R. M. Anderson & R. M. May. Oxford etc.: Oxford University Press, 1991. viii + 757 pp. Price £50. ISBN 0-19-854599-1 , 1992 .

[5]  B. Latané The psychology of social impact. , 1981 .

[6]  V. Latora,et al.  Complex networks: Structure and dynamics , 2006 .

[7]  I. Kiss,et al.  The impact of information transmission on epidemic outbreaks. , 2010, Mathematical biosciences.

[8]  Thilo Gross,et al.  Epidemic dynamics on an adaptive network. , 2005, Physical review letters.

[9]  A. Stangl,et al.  Reducing HIV Stigma and Discrimination: A Critical Part of National AIDS Programmes , 2007 .

[10]  Feng Fu,et al.  Rational behavior is a ‘double-edged sword’ when considering voluntary vaccination , 2012 .

[11]  C. Watkins,et al.  The spread of awareness and its impact on epidemic outbreaks , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[12]  Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes,et al.  The Evolutionary Vaccination Dilemma in Complex Networks , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[13]  J. Wasserheit,et al.  The dynamic topology of sexually transmitted disease epidemics: implications for prevention strategies. , 1996, The Journal of infectious diseases.

[14]  Kelika A. Konda,et al.  Assessing HIV/AIDS Stigma and Discrimination in Developing Countries , 2008, AIDS and Behavior.

[15]  S. Havlin,et al.  Epidemic threshold for the susceptible-infectious-susceptible model on random networks. , 2010, Physical review letters.

[16]  Paul M. Maxim,et al.  Effective vaccination policies , 2010, Inf. Sci..

[17]  Xiaofan Wang,et al.  Discrete opinion dynamics on networks based on social influence , 2009 .

[18]  Andrzej Grabowski Opinion formation in a social network: The role of human activity , 2009 .

[19]  Joshua M. Epstein,et al.  Coupled Contagion Dynamics of Fear and Disease: Mathematical and Computational Explorations , 2007, PloS one.

[20]  Mehmet A. Orgun,et al.  The Impact of human activity patterns on asymptomatic infectious processes in complex networks , 2012 .

[21]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Towards a Characterization of Behavior-Disease Models , 2011, PloS one.

[22]  J. Hyman,et al.  Effects of behavioral changes in a smallpox attack model. , 2005, Mathematical biosciences.

[23]  S. Fortunato,et al.  Statistical physics of social dynamics , 2007, 0710.3256.

[24]  M. Small,et al.  Hub nodes inhibit the outbreak of epidemic under voluntary vaccination , 2010 .

[25]  Nita Mawar,et al.  The third phase of HIV pandemic: social consequences of HIV/AIDS stigma & discrimination & future needs. , 2005, The Indian journal of medical research.

[26]  Shilpa Chakravartula,et al.  Complex Networks: Structure and Dynamics , 2014 .

[27]  Z Xu,et al.  A mathematical model of hepatitis B virus transmission and its application for vaccination strategy in china. , 2000, International journal of epidemiology.

[28]  Frederick Chen Modeling the effect of information quality on risk behavior change and the transmission of infectious diseases. , 2009, Mathematical biosciences.

[29]  V. Jansen,et al.  Endemic disease, awareness, and local behavioural response. , 2010, Journal of theoretical biology.

[30]  P. Van Mieghem,et al.  Epidemic threshold and topological structure of susceptible-infectious-susceptible epidemics in adaptive networks. , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[31]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseases , 2011, Scientific reports.

[32]  Antoine Allard,et al.  Modeling the dynamical interaction between epidemics on overlay networks , 2011, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[33]  Clelia M. Bordogna,et al.  Statistical methods applied to the study of opinion formation models: a brief overview and results of a numerical study of a model based on the social impact theory , 2007 .

[34]  Bing-Hong Wang,et al.  Braess's Paradox in Epidemic Game: Better Condition Results in Less Payoff , 2013, Scientific Reports.

[35]  Daniel I. S. Rosenbloom,et al.  Imitation dynamics of vaccination behaviour on social networks , 2011, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.