In recent years the number of death and injury in the traffic accident is continue increasing year by year in China, which brings a great lost for social economy. In this paper we mainly studied on the data of traffic accident and follow volume in a certain section of road. Fuzzy regression analysis using fuzzy linear models with symmetric triangular fuzzy number coefficients has been formulated earlier. The goal of this regression is to find the coefficients of a proposed model for all given input-output data sets. And based on the theory of fuzzy mathematics and linear regulation to construct the fuzzy linear regression prediction model, and make an evaluation for the model. Finally, making a fuzzy predict for the accident number in 2010, and provide the scientific evidence for the road security reconstruction.
[1]
H. Tanka.
Fuzzy data analysis by possibilistic linear models
,
1987
.
[2]
Wenyi Zeng,et al.
Fuzzy Linear Regression Model
,
2008,
2008 International Symposium on Information Science and Engineering.
[3]
Michio Sugeno,et al.
Fuzzy systems theory and its applications
,
1991
.
[4]
Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.
Fuzzy Sets
,
1996,
Inf. Control..
[5]
L Mountain,et al.
Accident prediction models for roads with minor junctions.
,
1996,
Accident; analysis and prevention.
[6]
Jun Miao,et al.
Vehicle and Pedestrian Accident Models for Median Locations
,
1995
.
[7]
Patrick T McCoy,et al.
Effect of Median Treatment on Urban Arterial Safety: An Accident Prediction Model
,
1997
.