Decision-Theory For Crisis Management.

Abstract : The Rockwell International Science Center's main contribution to the ARPA/Rome Laboratory Planning Initiative has been the development and application of decision theoretic concepts and tools for the problem of military transportation and crisis planning. Real world planning, like most complete problems, involves multiple competing objectives and uncertainty about actual outcomes. Thus effective operational tools for planning must be able to efficiently manage uncertainty and trade-offs between competing objectives. Rockwell's contributions span; three main areas of the planning process: plan generation, plan evaluation, and plan simulation. Contributions range from basic research results to application-oriented software tools for military transportation planning.