Global surface temperatures over the past two millennia

[1] We present reconstructions of Northern and Southern Hemisphere mean surface temperature over the past two millennia based on high-resolution ‘proxy’ temperature data which retain millennial-scale variability. These reconstructions indicate that late 20th century warmth is unprecedented for at least roughly the past two millennia for the Northern Hemisphere. Conclusions for the Southern Hemisphere and global mean temperature are limited by the sparseness of available proxy data in the Southern Hemisphere at present.

[1]  P. Jones,et al.  The Evolution of Climate Over the Last Millennium , 2001, Science.

[2]  M. Mann Little Ice Age , 2002 .

[3]  N. Myers,et al.  Seeing the wood for the trees , 1987, Nature.

[4]  T. P. Barnett,et al.  High-resolution palaeoclimatic records for the last millennium: interpretation, integration and comparison with General Circulation Model control-run temperatures , 1998 .

[5]  P. Jones,et al.  Low-frequency temperature variations from a northern tree ring density , 2001 .

[6]  Konrad A Hughen,et al.  Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries , 1997 .

[7]  Willie Soon,et al.  Proxy climatic and environmental changes of the past 1000 years , 2002 .

[8]  K. Mosegaard,et al.  Past temperatures directly from the greenland ice sheet , 1998, Science.

[9]  S. Johnsen,et al.  Inter-comparison of Ice Core δ(18O) and Precipitation Records from Sites in Canada and Greenland over the last 3500 years and over the last few Centuries in detail using EOF Techniques. , 1996 .

[10]  Crowley,et al.  Atmospheric science: Methane rises from wetlands , 2011, Nature.

[11]  Shi Yafeng,et al.  General characteristics of temperature variation in China during the last two millennia , 2002 .

[12]  Mark New,et al.  Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years , 1999 .

[13]  M. Hughes,et al.  Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences, uncertainties, and limitations , 1999 .

[14]  E. Cook,et al.  1738 years of Mongolian temperature variability inferred from a tree‐ring width chronology of Siberian pine , 2001 .

[15]  R. Villalba,et al.  A 3620-Year Temperature Record from Fitzroya cupressoides Tree Rings in Southern South America , 1993, Science.

[16]  J. Houghton,et al.  Climate change 2001 : the scientific basis , 2001 .

[17]  Thomas J. Crowley,et al.  How Warm Was the Medieval Warm Period? , 2000 .

[18]  M. Cane,et al.  Pacific sea surface temperature field reconstruction from coral δ18O data using reduced space objective analysis , 2002 .

[19]  Michael E. Mann,et al.  Observed and Simulated Multidecadal Variability in the Northern Hemisphere , 1999 .

[20]  Malcolm K. Hughes,et al.  Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries , 1998, Nature.

[21]  J. Overpeck,et al.  Global Temperature Patterns in Past Centuries: An Interactive Presentation , 2000 .

[22]  Edward R. Cook,et al.  Low-Frequency Signals in Long Tree-Ring Chronologies for Reconstructing Past Temperature Variability , 2002, Science.

[23]  H. Wanner,et al.  Reconstruction of sea level pressure fields over the Eastern North Atlantic and Europe back to 1500 , 2002 .

[24]  M. Hughes,et al.  Optimal surface temperature reconstructions using terrestrial borehole data , 2003 .

[25]  E. Cook,et al.  Warm-season temperatures since 1600 BC reconstructed from Tasmanian tree rings and their relationship to large-scale sea surface temperature anomalies , 2000 .

[26]  D. Willard,et al.  Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age and 20th century temperature variability from Chesapeake Bay , 2003 .

[27]  R. Bradley,et al.  'Little Ice Age' summer temperature variations: their nature and relevance to recent global warming trends , 1993 .

[28]  Bernd Kromer,et al.  Persistent Solar Influence on North Atlantic Climate During the Holocene , 2001, Science.

[29]  E. Cook,et al.  Evidence for a ‘Medieval Warm Period’ in a 1,100 year tree‐ring reconstruction of past austral summer temperatures in New Zealand , 2002 .

[30]  M. Scholze,et al.  Constraining temperature variations over the last millennium by comparing simulated and observed atmospheric CO2 , 2003 .

[31]  M. Mann The Value of Multiple Proxies , 2002, Science.

[32]  T. V. Ommen,et al.  Observed climate variability and change , 2002 .