The great 1815 eruption of Tambora and future risks from large‐scale volcanism

The year 2015 marks the bicentenary of the largest eruption in recent historic times: the 10–11 April 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora, Indonesia. Two hundred years after the eruption, an incomplete or inaccurate record of large eruptions over the past millennia, and uncertainties in determining the true sizes of eruptions, hamper our ability to predict when the next eruption of this scale may occur. Such events would have catastrophic effects locally and, possibly, world‐wide. The problem is compounded by a lack of detailed knowledge of how and over what timescales large magma reservoirs that feed such eruptions grow and assemble, and of the surface manifestations of these processes recorded through geophysical or geochemical monitoring techniques.

[1]  R. Sparks,et al.  New estimates of the 1815 Tambora eruption volume , 2014 .

[2]  P. Valdes,et al.  Climate and carbon cycle response to the 1815 Tambora volcanic eruption , 2013 .

[3]  Surono,et al.  Source of the great A.D. 1257 mystery eruption unveiled, Samalas volcano, Rinjani Volcanic Complex, Indonesia , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[4]  Jiandong Xu,et al.  Climatic impact of the Millennium eruption of Changbaishan volcano in China: New insights from high‐precision radiocarbon wiggle‐match dating , 2013 .

[5]  Demitris Paradissis,et al.  Evolution of Santorini Volcano dominated by episodic and rapid fluxes of melt from depth , 2012 .

[6]  Martin Nayembil,et al.  Global database on large magnitude explosive volcanic eruptions (LaMEVE) , 2012, Journal of Applied Volcanology.

[7]  C. Ramsey,et al.  Revised calendar date for the Taupo eruption derived by 14C wiggle-matching using a New Zealand kauri 14C calibration data set , 2012 .

[8]  S. Self,et al.  Processes and Timescales of Magma Genesis and Differentiation Leading to the Great Tambora Eruption in 1815 , 2012 .

[9]  F. Costa,et al.  Decadal to monthly timescales of magma transfer and reservoir growth at a caldera volcano , 2012, Nature.

[10]  Natalia I. Deligne,et al.  Recurrence rates of large explosive volcanic eruptions , 2010 .

[11]  C. Timmreck,et al.  Limited temperature response to the very large AD 1258 volcanic eruption , 2009 .

[12]  Michael Friedrich,et al.  Santorini Eruption Radiocarbon Dated to 1627-1600 B.C. , 2006, Science.

[13]  Stephen Self,et al.  Magma volume, volatile emissions, and stratospheric aerosols from the 1815 eruption of Tambora , 2004 .

[14]  W. Perkins,et al.  Identification of Aniakchak (Alaska) tephra in Greenland ice core challenges the 1645 BC date for Minoan eruption of Santorini , 2004 .

[15]  C. Oppenheimer Climatic, environmental and human consequences of the largest known historic eruption: Tambora volcano (Indonesia) 1815 , 2003 .

[16]  Christopher R. J. Kilburn,et al.  Volcanoes of the World , 1997 .

[17]  A J Gow,et al.  Record of Volcanism Since 7000 B.C. from the GISP2 Greenland Ice Core and Implications for the Volcano-Climate System , 1994, Science.

[18]  H. Sigurdsson,et al.  Plinian and co-ignimbrite tephra fall from the , 1989 .

[19]  S. Self,et al.  Volcanological study of the great Tambora eruption of 1815 , 1984 .

[20]  R. Stothers The Great Tambora Eruption in 1815 and Its Aftermath , 1984, Science.

[21]  S. Brönnimann,et al.  Tambora and the "Year Without a Summer" of 1816. A Perspective on Earth and Human Systems Science , 2016 .

[22]  Tom Simkin,et al.  Volcanoes of the World: Third Edition , 2011 .

[23]  Dick L. Thompson Volcano Cowboys: The Rocky Evolution of a Dangerous Science , 2000 .