A unified jackknife theory for empirical best prediction with M-estimation

The paper presents a unified jackknife theory for a fairly general class of mixed models which includes some of the widely used mixed linear models and generalized linear mixed models as special cases. The paper develops jackknife theory for the important, but so far neglected, prediction problem for the general mixed model. For estimation of fixed parameters, a jackknife method is considered for a general class of M-estimators which includes the maximum likelihood, residual maximum likelihood and ANOVA estimators for mixed linear models and the recently developed method of simulated moments estimators for generalized linear mixed models. For both the prediction and estimation problems, a jackknife method is used to obtain estimators of the mean squared errors (MSE). Asymptotic unbiasedness of the MSE estimators is shown to hold essentially under certain moment conditions. Simulation studies undertaken support our theoretical results. 1. Introduction. Due to the advent of high-speed computers and powerful software, computer-oriented statistical methods, including various resampling methods, have received considerable attention in recent years as statisticians are constantly facing complex problems. The jackknife method is one such simple resampling method which is very popular among survey samplers, primarily due

[1]  Jiming Jiang,et al.  Empirical Best Prediction for Small Area Inference with Binary Data , 2001 .

[2]  Jiming Jiang Consistent Estimators in Generalized Linear Mixed Models , 1998 .

[3]  Donald Malec,et al.  Small Area Inference for Binary Variables in the National Health Interview Survey , 1997 .

[4]  J. Nelder,et al.  Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models , 1996 .

[5]  Jiming Jiang REML estimation: asymptotic behavior and related topics , 1996 .

[6]  P. Lahiri,et al.  Robust Estimation of Mean Squared Error of Small Area Estimators , 1995 .

[7]  N. Breslow,et al.  Approximate inference in generalized linear mixed models , 1993 .

[8]  D. McFadden A Method of Simulated Moments for Estimation of Discrete Response Models Without Numerical Integration , 1989 .

[9]  Rachel M. Harter,et al.  An Error-Components Model for Prediction of County Crop Areas Using Survey and Satellite Data , 1988 .

[10]  Malay Ghosh,et al.  Robust Empirical Bayes Estimation of Means from Stratified Samples , 1987 .

[11]  T. Louis,et al.  Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals Based on Bootstrap Samples , 1987 .

[12]  G. Meeden,et al.  Empirical Bayes Estimation in Finite Population Sampling , 1986 .

[13]  J. Rao,et al.  Discussion: Jackknife, Bootstrap and Other Resampling Methods in Regression Analysis , 1986 .

[14]  N. Weber,et al.  Discussion: Jackknife, Bootstrap and Other Resampling Methods in Regression Analysis , 1986 .

[15]  P. Brown Theory of Point Estimation , 1984 .

[16]  C. Morris Parametric Empirical Bayes Inference: Theory and Applications , 1983 .

[17]  R. Fay,et al.  Estimates of Income for Small Places: An Application of James-Stein Procedures to Census Data , 1979 .

[18]  B. Efron,et al.  Data Analysis Using Stein's Estimator and its Generalizations , 1975 .

[19]  B. Efron,et al.  Stein's Estimation Rule and Its Competitors- An Empirical Bayes Approach , 1973 .

[20]  W. A. Ericson A Note on the Posterior Mean of a Population Mean , 1969 .

[21]  P. Lahiri,et al.  A UNIFIED MEASURE OF UNCERTAINTY OF ESTIMATED BEST LINEAR UNBIASED PREDICTORS IN SMALL AREA ESTIMATION PROBLEMS , 2000 .

[22]  Ferry Butar Butar Empirical Bayes methods in survey sampling , 1997 .

[23]  M. Chavance [Jackknife and bootstrap]. , 1992, Revue d'epidemiologie et de sante publique.

[24]  N. G. N. Prasad,et al.  The estimation of mean-squared errors of small-area estimators , 1990 .

[25]  J. N. K. Rao,et al.  Robust tests and confidence intervals for error variance in a regression model and for functions of variance components inan unbalanced random one-way model , 1988 .

[26]  J. N. Arvesen Jackknifing U-statistics , 1968 .

[27]  E. L. Lehmann,et al.  Theory of point estimation , 1950 .