Global burden of disease

Detailed assumptions used in constructing a new indicator of the burden of disease, the disability-adjusted life year (DALY), are presented. Four key social choices in any indicator of the burden of disease are carefully reviewed. First, the advantages and disadvantages of various methods of calculating the duration of life lost due to a death at each age are discussed. DALYs use a standard expected-life lost based on model life-table West Level 26. Second, the value of time lived at different ages is captured in DALYs using an exponential function which reflects the dependence of the young and the elderly on adults. Third, the time lived with a disability is made comparable with the time lost due to premature mortality by defining six classes of disability severity. Assigned to each class is a severity weight between 0 and 1. Finally, a three percent discount rate is used in the calculation of DALYs. The formula for calculating DALYs based on these assumptions is provided.

[1]  E. Miller,et al.  Epidemiology, outcome and control of varicella-zoster infection , 1993 .

[2]  D L Patrick,et al.  Methods for measuring levels of well-being for a health status index. , 1973, Health services research.

[3]  C. Murray The infant mortality rate, life expectancy at birth, and a linear index of mortality as measures of general health status. , 1988, International journal of epidemiology.

[4]  Alan D. Lopez,et al.  Quantifying disability: data, methods and results. , 1994, Bulletin of the World Health Organization.

[5]  Leonard Merewitz,et al.  The budget's new clothes , 1971 .

[6]  A. Gafni,et al.  Discounting in the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Interventions , 1993, Medical care.

[7]  W Max,et al.  The lifetime cost of injury. , 1990, Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financing.

[8]  Milton C. Weinstein,et al.  Hypertension: A Policy Perspective , 1976 .

[9]  D. Rice,et al.  Estimates of economic costs of alcohol and drug abuse and mental illness, 1985 and 1988. , 1991, Public health reports.

[10]  S. Greenfield,et al.  Recent developments and future issues in the use of health status assessment measures in clinical settings. , 1992, Medical care.

[11]  Ian M. Mitchell,et al.  Strategic Organization Design: Concepts, Tools & Processes , 1990 .

[12]  W. Haenszel A standardized rate for mortality defined in units of lost years of life. , 1950, American journal of public health and the nation's health.

[13]  G W Torrance,et al.  A utility maximization model for evaluation of health care programs. , 1972, Health services research.

[14]  Proceedings of the Advances in Health Assessment Conference. Palm Springs, California, 19-21 February 1986. , 1987, Journal of chronic diseases.

[15]  James D. Thompson Organizations in Action , 1967 .

[16]  R M Kaplan,et al.  Health status: types of validity and the index of well-being. , 1976, Health services research.

[17]  Hope-Simpson Re THE NATURE OF HERPES ZOSTER: A LONG-TERM STUDY AND A NEW HYPOTHESIS. , 1965 .

[18]  A. Wildavsky The New Politics of the Budgetary Process , 1989, American Political Science Review.

[19]  C. Mathers,et al.  Distinguishing health expectancies and health-adjusted life expectancies from quality-adjusted life years. , 1993, American journal of public health.

[20]  E. Nord,et al.  Methods for quality adjustment of life years. , 1992, Social science & medicine.

[21]  Michael J. Moore,et al.  Rates of time preference and valuations of the duration of life , 1989 .

[22]  Richard J. Zeckhauser,et al.  Where Now for Saving Lives , 1976 .

[23]  N. Augustine Augustine's Laws , 1982 .

[24]  Leads from the MMWR. Years of potential life lost before age 65--United States, 1987. , 1989, JAMA.

[25]  Defense Politics: A Budgetary Perspective , 1979 .

[26]  S. Messing Discounting health: the issue of subsistence and care in an undeveloped country. , 1973, Social science & medicine.

[27]  H. Barnum Evaluating healthy days of life gained from health projects. , 1987, Social science & medicine.

[28]  D. Sullivan,et al.  A single index of mortality and morbidity. , 1971, HSMHA health reports.

[29]  G. Torrance Measurement of health state utilities for economic appraisal. , 1986, Journal of health economics.

[30]  R. Pressat Surmortalité biologique et surmortalité sociale , 1973 .

[31]  R. Zeckhauser,et al.  Valuing health--a "priceless" commodity. , 1987, The American economic review.

[32]  Advances in health status assessment: conference proceedings. July 13-15, 1988, Menlo Park, California. , 1989, Medical care.

[33]  J K Hammitt Discounting health increments. , 1993, Journal of health economics.

[34]  G W Torrance,et al.  Developing Multiattribute Health Indexes , 1984, Medical care.

[35]  R. Kohn An objective mortality indicator. , 1951, Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique.

[36]  Alan D. Lopez,et al.  Global and regional cause-of-death patterns in 1990. , 1994, Bulletin of the World Health Organization.

[37]  H. L. Robinson Mortality trends and public health in Canada. , 1948, Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique.

[38]  M. Parsonage,et al.  Discounting and health benefits. , 1992, Health economics.

[39]  J. Felton PUBLIC HEALTH CONFERENCE ON RECORDS AND STATISTICS. , 1964, Public health reports.

[40]  I. Little,et al.  Project Appraisal and Planning for Developing Countries , 1974 .

[41]  J. Romeder,et al.  Potential years of life lost between ages 1 and 70: an indicator of premature mortality for health planning. , 1977, International journal of epidemiology.

[42]  J. Olsen,et al.  On what basis should health be discounted? , 1993, Journal of health economics.

[43]  T. Ganiats,et al.  On sale: future health care. The paradox of discounting. , 1992, The Western journal of medicine.

[44]  Robert W Hartman One thousand points of light seeking a number: A case study of CBO's search for a discount rate policy , 1990 .

[45]  M Johannesson,et al.  On the discounting of gained life-years in cost-effectiveness analysis. , 1992, International journal of technology assessment in health care.

[46]  R. L. Berg Weighted life expectancy as a health status index. , 1973, Health services research.

[47]  M. Dempsey Decline in tuberculosis; the death rate fails to tell the entire story. , 1947, American review of tuberculosis.

[48]  J Cairns,et al.  Discounting and health benefits: another perspective. , 1992, Health economics.

[49]  R. Wilkins,et al.  Changes in mortality by income in urban Canada from 1971 to 1986. , 1989, Health reports.

[50]  J. Manson,et al.  The incidence of herpes zoster. , 1995, Archives of internal medicine.

[51]  C. Murray,et al.  The global burden of disease in 1990: summary results, sensitivity analysis and future directions. , 1994, Bulletin of the World Health Organization.

[52]  J. W. Bush,et al.  A Health-Status Index and its Application to Health-Services Outcomes , 1970, Oper. Res..

[53]  D C Hadorn,et al.  Setting health care priorities in Oregon. Cost-effectiveness meets the rule of rescue. , 1991, JAMA.

[54]  E. Keeler,et al.  Discounting of Life-Saving and Other Nonmonetary Effects , 1983 .

[55]  G. R. Corey,et al.  Discounting for Time and Risk in Energy Policy. , 1984 .

[56]  A. Williams Economics of coronary artery bypass grafting. , 1985, British medical journal.