Understanding the causes and consequences of disruption and delay in complex projects: how system dynamics can help

Article Outline Glossary 1. Definition of Subject and its Importance 2. Introduction 3. Disruption and Delay 3.1 What is a disruption? 3.2 What is a delay? 3.3 Portfolio effect of many disruptions 3.4 Consequences of disruption and delay 3.5 Managerial actions and the consequences of D&D 4. Analysing D&D and Project Behaviour 5. Cascade Model Building Process 5.1 Stage 1: qualitative cognitive and cause map 5.2 Stage 2: cause map to influence diagram 5.3 Stage 3: influence diagram to system dynamics influence diagram 5.4 Stage 4: the system dynamics simulation model 5.5 Reversing the cascade 5.6 Advantages of the cascade 6. Implications for Development 7. Future Developments

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