Information use, support and decision making in complex, uncertain environments

The research reported in this paper explored decision making and information use by public safety personal leading teams responding to major incidents. The research methodology was qualitative using critical incident technique and observation grounded in Activity Theory as meta-theoretical framework. The data gathered uncovered intuitive as well as analytic modes of thinking. We argue that this has implications for decision support and our understanding of decision making in time-constrained, complex and uncertain environments.

[1]  Y. Engeström,et al.  Perspectives on activity theory: Play, learning, and instruction , 1999 .

[2]  K. Kuutti Perspectives on activity theory: Activity theory, transformation of work, and information systems design , 1999 .

[3]  Chun Wei Choo Information use and early warning effectiveness: Perspectives and prospects , 2009, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[4]  Michael Hiete,et al.  Decision maps: A framework for multi-criteria decision support under severe uncertainty , 2011, Decis. Support Syst..

[5]  Kenneth R. Hammond,et al.  Human Judgment and Social Policy: Irreducible Uncertainty, Inevitable Error, Unavoidable Injustice , 2000 .

[6]  N. Kerr,et al.  Group performance and decision making. , 2004, Annual review of psychology.

[7]  Frank L. Greitzer,et al.  Naturalistic Decision Making for Power System Operators , 2010, Int. J. Hum. Comput. Interact..

[8]  J Dowie,et al.  Clinical intuition and clinical analysis: expertise and the cognitive continuum , 1988 .

[9]  H. Simon,et al.  A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice , 1955 .

[10]  E. Salas,et al.  Taking stock of naturalistic decision making , 2001 .

[11]  L. Comfort,et al.  Complex Systems in Crisis: Anticipation and Resilience in Dynamic Environments , 2001 .

[12]  Jonathan Evans Dual-processing accounts of reasoning, judgment, and social cognition. , 2008, Annual review of psychology.

[13]  Brendan J Leary Recognition-Primed Decisions, Ethical Intuition and Borrowing Experience , 2012 .

[14]  Jennifer M. Berryman,et al.  Judgements during information seeking: a naturalistic approach to understanding the assessment of enough information , 2008, J. Inf. Sci..

[15]  R. Hogarth Intuition: A Challenge for Psychological Research on Decision Making , 2010 .

[16]  Rjoè,et al.  Activity theory as a framework for analyzing and redesigning work , 2005 .

[17]  Jonathan St. B. T. Evans,et al.  Dual-process theories of reasoning: Contemporary issues and developmental applications , 2011 .

[18]  Aviva Freedman,et al.  An Activity Theory Analysis of Differences in the Cultures of Two Engineering Firms , 2001 .

[19]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk — Source link , 2007 .

[20]  D. Hantula Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions , 2001 .

[21]  M. Endsley The role of situation awareness in naturalistic decision making , 1997 .

[22]  Efraim Turban,et al.  Integrating Expert Systems and Decision Support Systems , 1986, MIS Q..

[23]  Y. Engeström,et al.  Expansive Learning at Work: Toward an activity theoretical reconceptualization , 2001 .

[24]  Ralph H. Sprague,et al.  Invited Article: A Framework for the Development of Decisoin Support Systems , 1980, MIS Q..

[25]  Keith E. Stanovich,et al.  The complexity of developmental predictions from dual process models , 2011 .

[26]  David Allen,et al.  Information behavior and decision making in time-constrained practice: A dual-processing perspective , 2011, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[27]  David Mendonça,et al.  Decision support for improvisation during emergency response operations , 2001 .

[28]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Timid choices and bold forecasts: a cognitive perspective on risk taking , 1993 .

[29]  K. Stanovich,et al.  Heuristics and Biases: Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? , 2002 .

[30]  George D. Haddow,et al.  Introduction to Emergency Management , 2003 .

[31]  K. R. Hammond Intuition, No! …Quasirationality, Yes! , 2010 .

[32]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree. , 2009, The American psychologist.

[33]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk Author ( s ) : , 2007 .

[34]  A. Banks,et al.  Naturalistic Decision Making and Organizations: Reviewing Pragmatic Science , 2006 .

[35]  Francesca Alby,et al.  ‘Afterwards we can understand what went wrong, but now let’s fix it’: How Situated Work Practices Shape Group Decision Making , 2006 .

[36]  Karol G. Ross,et al.  The Recognition-Primed Decision Model , 2004 .

[37]  Christer Carlsson,et al.  Past, present, and future of decision support technology , 2002, Decis. Support Syst..

[38]  Marta Sinclair,et al.  Misconceptions About Intuition , 2010 .

[39]  Graham Pervan,et al.  A critical analysis of decision support systems research , 2005, J. Inf. Technol..

[40]  P. Schoemaker MULTIPLE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT: ITS CONCEPTUAL AND BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION , 1993 .

[41]  Cher Ping Lim,et al.  An activity theory approach to research of ICT integration in Singapore schools , 2003, Comput. Educ..

[42]  Daniel J. Power,et al.  Understanding Data-Driven Decision Support Systems , 2008, Inf. Syst. Manag..

[43]  Gary Klein,et al.  An Overview of Naturalistic Decision Making Applications , 2014 .

[44]  Stan Karanasios,et al.  Working with activity theory: Context, technology, and information behavior , 2011, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[45]  Sang M. Lee,et al.  An exploratory cognitive DSS for strategic decision making , 2003, Decis. Support Syst..

[46]  Ralph H. Sprague,et al.  A Framework for the Development of Decision Support Systems , 1993 .

[47]  Tobias Richter,et al.  You don't have to believe everything you read: background knowledge permits fast and efficient validation of information. , 2009, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[48]  Dorothy McCaughan,et al.  Nurses, information use, and clinical decision making—the real world potential for evidence-based decisions in nursing , 2004, Evidence-based nursing.

[49]  Jo Whitehead,et al.  Think Again: Why Good Leaders Make Bad Decisions and How to Keep it From Happening to You , 2009 .

[50]  T. D. Wilson,et al.  A re-examination of information seeking behaviour in the context of activity theory , 2006, Inf. Res..

[51]  Rui Chen,et al.  Emergency Response Information System Interoperability: Development of Chemical Incident Response Data Model , 2008, J. Assoc. Inf. Syst..

[52]  G. Claxton,et al.  Intuition in Organizations: Implications for Strategic Management , 2009 .

[53]  Hans W. Gottinger,et al.  Intelligent decision support systems , 1992, Decis. Support Syst..