Can Indeterminacy Explain the Short-run Non-neutrality of Money?

This paper analyzes the possibility to generate indeterminacy and equilibria with short-run non-neutrality of money in a model with flexible prices, constant returns to scale in production and constant money growth rules. The model recovers previous results in the literature as particular cases. It is shown that real effects of monetary shocks, as observed in the data, can arise in four regions of the parameter space. Two regions are characterized by unreasonable assumptions, which lead to inferiority of consumption or leisure. Two regions are characterized by reasonable assumptions and by normality of the goods. However, real effects of monetary shocks require implausible parameter values. JEL Classification: E13, E40, E52

[1]  Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out? , 1983, Journal of Political Economy.

[2]  K. Matheny Non-neutral responses to money supply shocks when consumption and leisure are Pareto substitutes , 1998 .

[3]  F. D. Fiore The Optimal Inflation Tax when Taxes are Costly to Collect , 2000 .

[4]  R. Farmer Money in a Real Business Cycle Model , 1997 .

[5]  Charles T. Carlstrom,et al.  Forward-Looking Versus Backward-Looking Taylor Rules , 2000 .

[6]  Robert E. Lucas,et al.  Liquidity and interest rates , 1990 .

[7]  Lawrence J. Christiano,et al.  Optimality of the Friedman Rule in Economies with Distorting Taxes , 1993 .

[8]  G. Calvo Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework , 1983 .

[9]  E. Leeper Equilibria under ‘active’ and ‘passive’ monetary and fiscal policies , 1991 .

[10]  W. Brock Money and Growth: The Case of Long Run Perfect Foresight , 1974 .

[11]  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,et al.  Monetary Policy and Multiple Equilibria , 1998 .

[12]  David K. Levine,et al.  Comparative Statics and Perfect Foresight in Infinite Horizon Economies , 1985 .

[13]  Pedro Teles,et al.  Is the Friedman rule optimal when money is an intermediate good , 1996 .

[14]  Michael Woodford,et al.  Monetary policy and price level determinacy in a cash-in-advance economy , 1994 .

[15]  Ellen R. McGrattan,et al.  Sticky Price Models of the Business Cycle: Can the Contract Multiplier Solve the Persistence Problem? , 1996 .

[16]  F. Black Uniqueness of the price level in monetary growth models with rational expectations , 1974 .

[17]  W. Brock A simple perfect foresight monetary model , 1975 .

[18]  Sticky price and limited participation models of money: A comparison , 1997 .

[19]  Roger E. A. Farmer,et al.  Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns , 1994 .

[20]  Pedro Teles,et al.  The Optimal Mix of Taxes on Money, Consumption and Income , 2002, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[21]  John B. Taylor ESTIMATION AND CONTROL OF A MACROECONOMIC MODEL WITH RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS , 1979 .

[22]  C. Mulligan,et al.  The Optimum Quantity of Money: Theory and Evidence , 1997 .