Dose-Escalated Irradiation and Overall Survival in Men With Nonmetastatic Prostate Cancer.

IMPORTANCE In 5 published randomized clinical trials, dose-escalated external-beam radiation therapy (EBRT) for prostate cancer resulted in improved biochemical and local control. However, scarce evidence addresses whether dose escalation improves overall survival. OBJECTIVE To examine the association between dose-escalated EBRT and overall survival among men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS We conducted a retrospective, nonrandomized comparative effectiveness study of dose-escalated vs standard-dose EBRT for prostate cancer diagnosed from 2004 to 2006 using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), which includes data from patients treated at Commission on Cancer-accredited community, academic, and comprehensive cancer facilities. Three cohorts were evaluated: men with low-risk (n = 12,229), intermediate-risk (n = 16,714), or high-risk (n = 13,538) prostate cancer. EXPOSURES We categorized patients in each risk cohort into 2 treatment groups: standard-dose (from 68.4 Gy to <75.6 Gy) or dose-escalated (≥75.6 Gy to 90 Gy) EBRT (1 Gy = 100 rad). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES We compared overall survival between treatment groups in each analytic cohort using Cox proportional hazard models with an inverse probability weighted propensity score (IPW-PS) approach. In secondary analyses, we evaluated dose response for survival. RESULTS Dose-escalated EBRT was associated with improved survival in the intermediate-risk (IPW-PS adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.80-0.88; P < .001) and high-risk groups (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.78-0.85; P < .001) but not the low-risk group (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.92-1.05; P = .54). For every incremental increase of about 2 Gy in dose, there was a 7.8% (95% CI, 5.4%-10.2%; P < .001) and 6.3% (95% CI, 3.3%-9.1%; P < .001) reduction in the hazard of death for intermediate- and high-risk patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Dose-escalated EBRT is associated with improved overall survival in men with intermediate- and high-risk prostate cancer but not low-risk prostate cancer. These results add to the evidence questioning aggressive local treatment strategies in men with low-risk prostate cancer but supporting such treatment in men with greater disease severity.

[1]  Thuy-Tien L. Dam,et al.  Frailty in Older Men: Prevalence, Progression, and Relationship with Mortality , 2007, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[2]  M. Parmar,et al.  Combined androgen deprivation therapy and radiation therapy for locally advanced prostate cancer: a randomised, phase 3 trial , 2011, The Lancet.

[3]  D. Heitjan,et al.  Sensitivity of the hazard ratio to nonignorable treatment assignment in an observational study , 2007, Statistics in medicine.

[4]  Adam S. Kibel,et al.  Screening and Prostate-Cancer Mortality in a Randomized European Study , 2009 .

[5]  P. Maingon,et al.  70 Gy versus 80 Gy in localized prostate cancer: 5-year results of GETUG 06 randomized trial. , 2011, International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics.

[6]  B. Spillman Changes in elderly disability rates and the implications for health care utilization and cost. , 2004, The Milbank quarterly.

[7]  David Chia,et al.  Mortality results from a randomized prostate-cancer screening trial. , 2009, The New England journal of medicine.

[8]  Sebastian Schneeweiss,et al.  Instrumental variable methods in comparative safety and effectiveness research , 2010, Pharmacoepidemiology and drug safety.

[9]  Y. Yamada,et al.  Comparison of high‐dose (86.4 Gy) IMRT vs combined brachytherapy plus IMRT for intermediate‐risk prostate cancer , 2014, BJU international.

[10]  S. Fosså,et al.  Endocrine treatment, with or without radiotherapy, in locally advanced prostate cancer (SPCG-7/SFUO-3): an open randomised phase III trial , 2009, The Lancet.

[11]  R. Weichselbaum,et al.  Increasing radiation therapy dose is associated with improved survival in patients undergoing stereotactic body radiation therapy for stage I non-small-cell lung cancer. , 2015, International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics.

[12]  A. S. Kibel Endocrine treatment, with or without radiotherapy, in locally advanced prostate cancer (SPCG-7/SFUO-3): an open randomised phase III trial , 2009 .

[13]  Kevin J. Anstrom,et al.  Using Inverse Probability-Weighted Estimators in Comparative Effectiveness Analyses With Observational Databases , 2007, Medical care.

[14]  Michael Goodman,et al.  Effect of Age, Tumor Risk, and Comorbidity on Competing Risks for Survival in a U.S. Population–Based Cohort of Men With Prostate Cancer , 2013, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[15]  G. Imbens The Role of the Propensity Score in Estimating Dose-Response Functions , 1999 .

[16]  J. Lebesque,et al.  Long-term results of the Dutch randomized prostate cancer trial: impact of dose-escalation on local, biochemical, clinical failure, and survival. , 2014, Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology.

[17]  Donald Rubin,et al.  Estimating Causal Effects from Large Data Sets Using Propensity Scores , 1997, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[18]  Alexandra L Hanlon,et al.  Prostate cancer radiotherapy dose response: an update of the fox chase experience. , 2004, The Journal of urology.

[19]  Dirk F Moore,et al.  Outcomes of localized prostate cancer following conservative management. , 2009, JAMA.

[20]  R. Kronmal,et al.  Assessing the sensitivity of regression results to unmeasured confounders in observational studies. , 1998, Biometrics.

[21]  R. Uzzo,et al.  Low rates of adjuvant radiation in patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer with high‐risk pathologic features , 2014, Cancer.

[22]  W. Isaacs,et al.  Explaining racial differences in prostate cancer in the United States: Sociology or biology? , 2005, The Prostate.

[23]  R. Uzzo,et al.  Increasing use of dose-escalated external beam radiation therapy for men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer. , 2014, International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics.

[24]  A. B. Hill The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation? , 1965, Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine.

[25]  Pär Stattin,et al.  Outcomes in Localized Prostate Cancer: National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden Follow-up Study , 2010, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[26]  C. Lawton,et al.  Randomized Trial Comparing Conventional-Dose With High-Dose Conformal Radiation Therapy in Early-Stage Adenocarcinoma of the Prostate: Long-Term Results From Proton Radiation Oncology Group/American College of Radiology 95-09 , 2011 .

[27]  M. Parmar,et al.  Escalated-dose versus control-dose conformal radiotherapy for prostate cancer: long-term results from the MRC RT01 randomised controlled trial. , 2014, The Lancet. Oncology.

[28]  H. Sandler,et al.  Initial Results of a Phase 3 Randomized Study of High Dose 3DCRT/IMRT versus Standard Dose 3D-CRT/IMRT in Patients Treated for Localized Prostate Cancer (RTOG 0126) , 2014 .

[29]  Danny Vesprini,et al.  Long-term follow-up of a large active surveillance cohort of patients with prostate cancer. , 2015, Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

[30]  D. Collett,et al.  Modelling Survival Data in Medical Research, Second Edition , 2003 .

[31]  J. Klein,et al.  Survival Analysis: Techniques for Censored and Truncated Data , 1997 .

[32]  D B Rubin,et al.  Matching using estimated propensity scores: relating theory to practice. , 1996, Biometrics.

[33]  M Alan Brookhart,et al.  Instrumental variables I: instrumental variables exploit natural variation in nonexperimental data to estimate causal relationships. , 2009, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[34]  N. Keating,et al.  Explaining racial differences in prostate cancer mortality , 2012, Cancer.

[35]  Alessandra Mattei,et al.  Estimating and using propensity score in presence of missing background data: an application to assess the impact of childbearing on wellbeing , 2009, Stat. Methods Appl..

[36]  Lei Dong,et al.  Long-term results of the M. D. Anderson randomized dose-escalation trial for prostate cancer. , 2008, International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics.