Role of diffusion in an epidemic model of mobile individuals on networks

In this paper, the study of epidemic spreading of mobile individuals on networks focuses on the system in which each node of the network may be occupied by either one individual or a void, and each individual could move to a neighbour void node. It is found that for the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model, the diffusion increases the epidemic threshold for arbitrary heterogeneous networks having the degree fluctuations, and the diffusion doesn’t affect the epidemic threshold for regular random networks. In the SI model, the diffusion suppresses the epidemic spread at the early outbreak stage, which indicates that the growth time scale of outbreaks is monotonically increasing with diffusion rate d. The heterogeneous mean-field analysis is in good agreement with the numerical simulations on annealed networks.

[1]  T. Geisel,et al.  Natural human mobility patterns and spatial spread of infectious diseases , 2011, 1103.6224.

[2]  R. Pastor-Satorras,et al.  Generation of uncorrelated random scale-free networks. , 2004, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[3]  A. Vespignani,et al.  The architecture of complex weighted networks. , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[4]  Octavio Miramontes,et al.  Dynamical small-world behavior in an epidemical model of mobile individuals , 2002 .

[5]  Alessandro Vespignani Modelling dynamical processes in complex socio-technical systems , 2011, Nature Physics.

[6]  Naoki Masuda,et al.  Effects of diffusion rates on epidemic spreads in metapopulation networks , 2010, 1004.2391.

[7]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Velocity and hierarchical spread of epidemic outbreaks in scale-free networks. , 2003, Physical review letters.

[8]  Yup Kim,et al.  Effects of excluded volume interaction on diffusion-reaction processes in crowded environments. , 2011, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[9]  Theo Geisel,et al.  Recurrent host mobility in spatial epidemics: beyond reaction-diffusion , 2011, 1106.3461.

[10]  M. Newman Spread of epidemic disease on networks. , 2002, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[11]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Epidemic dynamics and endemic states in complex networks. , 2001, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[12]  Gui-Jun Pan,et al.  Mean-field equations and stable behaviour in an epidemic model of mobile individuals , 2006 .

[13]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Invasion threshold in heterogeneous metapopulation networks. , 2007, Physical review letters.

[14]  Claudio Castellano,et al.  Thresholds for epidemic spreading in networks , 2010, Physical review letters.

[15]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Weighted evolving networks: coupling topology and weight dynamics. , 2004, Physical review letters.

[16]  R. May,et al.  Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control , 1991, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[17]  R. Pastor-Satorras,et al.  Mean-field diffusive dynamics on weighted networks. , 2009, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[18]  S. N. Dorogovtsev,et al.  Evolution of networks , 2001, cond-mat/0106144.

[19]  Zonghua Liu Effect of mobility in partially occupied complex networks. , 2010, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[20]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Statistical mechanics of complex networks , 2001, ArXiv.

[21]  R. Pastor-Satorras,et al.  Diffusion-annihilation processes in complex networks. , 2004, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[22]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Reaction-diffusion processes and epidemic metapopulation models in complex networks , 2008 .

[23]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Phase transitions in contagion processes mediated by recurrent mobility patterns , 2011, Nature physics.

[24]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks. , 2000, Physical review letters.

[25]  N. Boccara,et al.  Automata network SIR models for the spread of infectious diseases in populations of moving individuals , 1992 .

[26]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Invasion threshold in structured populations with recurrent mobility patterns. , 2012, Journal of theoretical biology.

[27]  Sergey N. Dorogovtsev,et al.  Critical phenomena in complex networks , 2007, ArXiv.

[28]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Immunization of complex networks. , 2001, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[29]  R. Durrett,et al.  Contact processes on random graphs with power law degree distributions have critical value 0 , 2009, 0912.1699.

[30]  Markus Porto,et al.  Generation of arbitrarily two-point-correlated random networks. , 2007, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[31]  R. Pastor-Satorras,et al.  Langevin approach for the dynamics of the contact process on annealed scale-free networks. , 2008, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[32]  Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes,et al.  Annealed and mean-field formulations of disease dynamics on static and adaptive networks. , 2010, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[33]  Zonghua Liu,et al.  Influence of dynamical condensation on epidemic spreading in scale-free networks. , 2009, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[34]  N. Boccara,et al.  Critical behaviour of a probabilistic automata network SIS model for the spread of an infectious disease in a population of moving individuals , 1993 .

[35]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Epidemic modeling in metapopulation systems with heterogeneous coupling pattern: theory and simulations. , 2007, Journal of theoretical biology.

[36]  Wu An-Cai Percolation of Mobile Individuals on Weighted Scale-Free Networks , 2011 .