Toward a Synthesis of Deterministic and Probabilistic Formulations of Causal Relations by the Functional Relation Concept

There have been two principal paradigms for the formulation of the causal relation--logical implication and functional relationship. In this paper, I present a case for preferring the functional relationship formulation and then discuss how the functional relationship formulation may be implemented in the probabilistic case in a manner analogous to the way others have implemented the logical implication formulation in the probabilistic case. I show how the "local independence" assumption found in many models used in the behavioral and social sciences is a consequence of the functional relation concept of probabilistic causality. I also discuss why causal relations are underdetermined in experience and are to be dealt with pragmatically in a hypothesis-testing framework.

[1]  H. Lehman Statistical Explanation , 1972, Philosophy of Science.

[2]  W. Jevons,et al.  Choice and Chance , 1870, Nature.

[3]  F. Krauss Latent Structure Analysis , 1980 .

[4]  Paul F. Lazarsfeld,et al.  Latent Structure Analysis. , 1969 .

[5]  P. Suppes A Probabilistic Theory Of Causality , 1970 .

[6]  N. Cartwright Causal Laws and Effective Strategies , 1979 .

[7]  M. Bunge Causality and modern science , 1979 .

[8]  G. Hesslow Causality and Determinism , 1981, Philosophy of Science.

[9]  H. Simon,et al.  Causal Ordering and Identifiability , 1977 .

[10]  H. Simon,et al.  Cause and Counterfactual , 1966 .

[11]  Otto R. Spies,et al.  The aim and structure of physical theory , 1954 .

[12]  Paul K. Feyerabend,et al.  Realism, rationalism and scientific method , 1981 .

[13]  K. Pearson The Grammar of Science , 1892, Nature.

[14]  John B. Kidd,et al.  Models of Discovery , 1978 .

[15]  G. Hesslow Two Notes on the Probabilistic Approach to Causality , 1976, Philosophy of Science.

[16]  Satosi Watanabe,et al.  Knowing and guessing , 1969 .

[17]  M. Resnik,et al.  Aspects of Scientific Explanation. , 1966 .

[18]  E. E. Constance Jones A Primer Of Logic , 1890 .

[19]  T. Wilkerson AN OBJECTIVE THEORY OF PROBABILITY , 1974 .

[20]  Douglas Ehring PROBABILISTIC CAUSALITY AND PREEMPTION , 1984, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.

[21]  M. R. Novick,et al.  Statistical Theories of Mental Test Scores. , 1971 .

[22]  T. W. Anderson On estimation of parameters in latent structure analysis , 1954 .

[23]  Wolfgang Spohn,et al.  Stochastic independence, causal independence, and shieldability , 1980, J. Philos. Log..

[24]  S. Mulaik Exploratory Statistics and Empiricism , 1985, Philosophy of Science.

[25]  E. Eells,et al.  Probabilistic Causality and the Question of Transitivity , 1983, Philosophy of Science.

[26]  Deborah A. Rosen,et al.  In Defense of a Probabilistic Theory of Causality , 1978, Philosophy of Science.