Single- and two-stage cross-sectional and time series benchmarking procedures for small area estimation

This article is divided into two parts. In the first part, we review and study the properties of single-stage cross-sectional and time series benchmarking procedures that have been proposed in the literature in the context of small area estimation. We compare cross-sectional and time series benchmarking empirically, using data generated from a time series model which complies with the familiar Fay–Herriot model at any given time point. In the second part, we review cross-sectional methods proposed for benchmarking hierarchical small areas and develop a new two-stage benchmarking procedure for hierarchical time series models. The latter procedure is applied to monthly unemployment estimates in Census Divisions and States of the USA.

[1]  Tapabrata Maiti,et al.  On parametric bootstrap methods for small area prediction , 2006 .

[2]  Tommaso Di Fonzo,et al.  Simultaneous and Two-step Reconciliation of Systems of Time Series , 2009 .

[3]  Rachel M. Harter,et al.  An Error-Components Model for Prediction of County Crop Areas Using Survey and Satellite Data , 1988 .

[4]  Estela Bee Dagum,et al.  Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series , 2006 .

[5]  Howard E. Doran,et al.  Constraining Kalman Filter and Smoothing Estimates to Satisfy Time-Varying Restrictions , 1992 .

[6]  J. N. K. Rao,et al.  A pseudo‐empirical best linear unbiased prediction approach to small area estimation using survey weights , 2002 .

[7]  D. Pfeffermann,et al.  Regression Analysis of Data from a Cluster Sample , 1981 .

[8]  R. Fay,et al.  Estimates of Income for Small Places: An Application of James-Stein Procedures to Census Data , 1979 .

[9]  Abdelwahed Trabelsi,et al.  Benchmarking of Economic Time Series , 1987 .

[10]  J. N. K. Rao,et al.  BENCHMARKING HIERARCHICAL BAYES SMALL AREA ESTIMATORS IN THE CANADIAN CENSUS UNDERCOVERAGE ESTIMATION , 2004 .

[11]  María Dolores Ugarte,et al.  Benchmarked estimates in small areas using linear mixed models with restrictions , 2009 .

[12]  Danny Pfeffermann,et al.  Some New Estimators for Small-Area Means With Application to the Assessment of Farmland Values , 1991 .

[13]  Rebecca C. Steorts,et al.  On estimation of mean squared errors of benchmarked empirical Bayes estimators , 2013, 1304.1600.

[14]  J. Rao,et al.  The estimation of the mean squared error of small-area estimators , 1990 .

[15]  J. Rao Small Area Estimation , 2003 .

[16]  Malay Ghosh,et al.  Benchmarking small area estimators , 2013 .

[17]  Rebecca C. Steorts,et al.  Two-stage benchmarking as applied to small area estimation , 2013, 1305.6657.

[18]  Danny Pfeffermann,et al.  New important developments in small area estimation , 2013, 1302.4907.

[19]  On the performance of self benchmarked small area estimators under the Fay-Herriot area level model , 2013 .

[20]  P. Lahiri,et al.  On measures of uncertainty of empirical Bayes small-area estimators , 2003 .

[21]  Rebecca C. Steorts,et al.  Bayesian benchmarking with applications to small area estimation , 2011 .

[22]  James Durbin,et al.  Benchmarking by State Space Models , 1997 .

[23]  Danny Pfeffermann,et al.  Small-Area Estimation With State–Space Models Subject to Benchmark Constraints , 2006 .

[24]  Estela Bee Dagum,et al.  Benchmarking time series with autocorrelated survey errors , 1994 .