Thinking longer term about technology: is there value in science fiction-inspired approaches to constructing futures?

‘Science fact, not science fiction’ is an oft-heard refrain in the world of technology assessment and forecasting. Yet, as a literary form, science fiction offers a unique approach to thinking longer term about technology: one grounded in narratives that are people-centric, future-oriented, and focused on non-linear dynamics across the interaction of multiple technologies, value-laden images of future societies, questions of meaning and identity, and enduring symbols and problem framings. Building on this approach, we suggest in this paper that new socio-literary techniques, inspired by science fiction, could offer significant contributions to the governance of new and emerging technologies by improving the capacity to reflexively assess the social dynamics of socio-technical systems. Copyright , Beech Tree Publishing.

[1]  R. Westrum The Social Construction of Technological Systems , 1989 .

[2]  Dorothy Nelkin,et al.  Technological decisions and democracy : European experiments in public participation , 1977 .

[3]  Ulrike Felt,et al.  Taking European Knowledge Society Seriously , 2009 .

[4]  Christine L. Peterson Thinking Longer Term about Technology , 2008 .

[5]  Arie Rip,et al.  TAKING EUROPEAN KNOWLEDGE SOCIETY SERIOUSLY Report of the Expert Group on Science and Governance to the Science, Economy and Society Directorate, Directorate-General for Research, European Commission , 2007 .

[6]  Joy Bill,et al.  Why the future doesn’t need us , 2003 .

[7]  Building the Nano-World of Tomorrow: Science Fiction, the Boundaries of Nanotechnology, and Managing Depictions of the Future , 2007 .

[8]  Robert W. Suchner,et al.  Citizenship Participation in Science Policy. , 1987 .

[9]  Arie Rip,et al.  The Rise of Membrane Technology , 1998 .

[10]  D. Brin The Transparent Society: Will Technology Force Us to Choose Between Privacy and Freedom? , 1998 .

[11]  N. Brown,et al.  Contested Futures: A Sociology of Prospective Techno-Science , 2000 .

[12]  J. Petersen,et al.  Citizen participation in science policy , 1988 .

[13]  David H. Guston,et al.  Real-time technology assessment , 2020, Emerging Technologies: Ethics, Law and Governance.

[14]  A. Roland,et al.  Does Technology Drive History? The Dilemma of Technological Determinism. , 1995 .

[15]  D. Thurs Tiny Tech, Transcendent Tech , 2007 .

[16]  José López BRIDGING THE GAPS: SCIENCE FICTION IN NANOTECHNOLOGY , 2006 .

[17]  R. Berne Science Fiction, Nano-Ethics, and the Moral Imagination , 2008 .

[18]  Jon Turney,et al.  Frankenstein's Footsteps: Science, Genetics and Popular Culture , 1998 .