Scenarios on eco-efficient transport futures for Europe - Reflections on methodology, outcomes and potential impacts

This paper presents and critically discusses the scenario approach of the project “Eco-Efficient Transport” that was carried out for the Science and Technology Options Assessment (STOA) Panel of the Europe Parliament. In the project, a set of scenarios on eco-efficient transport futures for Europe was developed. The feasibility and desirability of the scenarios and their elements was the subject of a stakeholder consultation. The main purpose of the scenario process was to get a better understanding of the reasons for different assessments of potentially eco-efficient approaches. The scenarios consist of qualitative storylines that are combined with quantitative calculation (using the transport model ASTRA). The paper will briefly present the results and discuss to what extent the combination of scenario building and stakeholder assessment can contribute to a more rational policy-making in this field.