Multiscale Aspects of the Storm Producing the June 2013 Flooding in Uttarakhand, India

AbstractConditions producing disastrous flooding in Uttarakhand, India, in June 2013 differed from conditions that produced other notorious floods in the Himalayan region in recent years. During the week preceding the Uttarakhand flood, deep convection moistened the mountainsides, making them vulnerable to flooding. However, the precipitation producing the flood was not associated with a deep convective event. Rather, an eastward-propagating upper-level trough in the westerlies extended abnormally far southward, with the jet reaching the Himalayas. The south end of the trough merged with a monsoon low moving westward across India. The merged system produced persistent moist low-level flow oriented normal to the Himalayas that advected large amounts of water vapor into the Uttarakhand region. The flow was moist neutral when it passed over the Himalayan barrier, and orographic lifting produced heavy continuous rain over the region for 2–3 days. The precipitation was largely stratiform in nature although emb...

[1]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[2]  Bart Nijssen,et al.  THE OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS EXPERIMENT (OLYMPEX). , 2017, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

[3]  Glenn Rolph,et al.  Real-time Environmental Applications and Display sYstem: READY , 2017, Environ. Model. Softw..

[4]  R. Houze,et al.  Changing monsoon and midlatitude circulation interactions over the Western Himalayas and possible links to occurrences of extreme precipitation , 2017, Climate Dynamics.

[5]  T. Krishnamurti,et al.  March of buoyancy elements during extreme rainfall over India , 2017, Climate Dynamics.

[6]  R. Houze,et al.  Convective Initiation near the Andes in Subtropical South America , 2016 .

[7]  A. Sobel,et al.  Forcings and feedbacks on convection in the 2010 Pakistan flood: Modeling extreme precipitation with interactive large‐scale ascent , 2016, 1603.01218.

[8]  R. Rasmussen,et al.  Precipitation and Cloud Structures of Intense Rain during the 2013 Great Colorado Flood , 2016 .

[9]  J. M. Lewis,et al.  Monsoon-extratropical circulation interactions in Himalayan extreme rainfall , 2016, Climate Dynamics.

[10]  H. Chaudhari,et al.  Dynamical features of incessant heavy rainfall event of June 2013 over Uttarakhand, India , 2016, Natural Hazards.

[11]  R. Draxler,et al.  NOAA’s HYSPLIT Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling System , 2015 .

[12]  R. Houze,et al.  The variable nature of convection in the tropics and subtropics: A legacy of 16 years of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite , 2015, Reviews of geophysics.

[13]  V. Chandrasekar,et al.  The Great Colorado Flood of September 2013 , 2015 .

[14]  Shawn M. Milrad,et al.  A Meteorological Analysis of the 2013 Alberta Flood: Antecedent Large-Scale Flow Pattern and Synoptic–Dynamic Characteristics , 2015 .

[15]  P. Webster,et al.  Multiscale analysis of three consecutive years of anomalous flooding in Pakistan , 2015 .

[16]  S. Bhowmik,et al.  Catastrophic Heavy Rainfall Episode over Uttarakhand during 16-18 June 2013 - Observational Aspects , 2014 .

[17]  Christa D. Peters-Lidard,et al.  Simulation of a Flash Flooding Storm at the Steep Edge of the Himalayas , 2014 .

[18]  Sujay V. Kumar,et al.  The NASA-Goddard Multi-scale Modeling Framework-Land Information System: Global land/atmosphere interaction with resolved convection , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[19]  R. Houze,et al.  A Flash-Flooding Storm at the Steep Edge of High Terrain: Disaster in the Himalayas , 2012 .

[20]  Thomas M. Hamill,et al.  A Multiscale Analysis of the Extreme Weather Events over Western Russia and Northern Pakistan during July 2010 , 2012 .

[21]  Kyu-Myong Kim,et al.  The 2010 Pakistan Flood and Russian Heat Wave: Teleconnection of Hydrometeorological Extremes , 2012 .

[22]  D. Durran,et al.  Mesoscale Controls on the Mountainside Snow Line , 2011 .

[23]  Robert A. Houze,et al.  Orogenic Convection in Subtropical South America as Seen by the TRMM Satellite , 2011 .

[24]  Robert A. Houze,et al.  Anomalous Atmospheric Events Leading to the Summer 2010 Floods in Pakistan , 2011 .

[25]  W. Lau,et al.  The 2010 Pakistan Flood and the Russia Heat Wave: Teleconnection of Extremes , 2010 .

[26]  R. Houze,et al.  Extreme summer convection in South America. , 2010 .

[27]  R. Houze,et al.  Regional, Seasonal, and Diurnal Variations of Extreme Convection in the South Asian Region , 2010 .

[28]  G. Thompson,et al.  Explicit Forecasts of Winter Precipitation Using an Improved Bulk Microphysics Scheme. Part II: Implementation of a New Snow Parameterization , 2008 .

[29]  G. Powers,et al.  A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3 , 2008 .

[30]  Sujay V. Kumar,et al.  High-performance Earth system modeling with NASA/GSFC’s Land Information System , 2007, Innovations in Systems and Software Engineering.

[31]  Robert A. Houze,et al.  Monsoon convection in the Himalayan region as seen by the TRMM Precipitation Radar , 2007 .

[32]  Y. Hong,et al.  The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-Global, Multiyear, Combined-Sensor Precipitation Estimates at Fine Scales , 2007 .

[33]  Sujay V. Kumar,et al.  Land information system: An interoperable framework for high resolution land surface modeling , 2006, Environ. Model. Softw..

[34]  J. Dudhia,et al.  A New Vertical Diffusion Package with an Explicit Treatment of Entrainment Processes , 2006 .

[35]  R. Houze Mesoscale convective systems , 2004 .

[36]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model , 2003 .

[37]  R. Rotunno,et al.  Mechanisms of Intense Alpine Rainfall , 2001 .

[38]  Toshio Iguchi,et al.  Rain profiling algorithm for TRMM precipitation radar data , 2000 .

[39]  J. Dudhia,et al.  Coupling an Advanced Land Surface–Hydrology Model with the Penn State–NCAR MM5 Modeling System. Part I: Model Implementation and Sensitivity , 2001 .

[40]  K. Okamoto,et al.  Rain profiling algorithm for the TRMM precipitation radar , 1997, IGARSS'97. 1997 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Proceedings. Remote Sensing - A Scientific Vision for Sustainable Development.

[41]  E. Mlawer,et al.  Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave , 1997 .

[42]  C. Doswell,et al.  Flash Flood Forecasting: An Ingredients-Based Methodology , 1996 .

[43]  John S. Kain,et al.  Convective parameterization for mesoscale models : The Kain-Fritsch Scheme , 1993 .

[44]  Howard B. Bluestein,et al.  Principles of kinematics and dynamics , 1992 .

[45]  B. Hoskins,et al.  An Easy Method for Estimation of Q-Vectors from Weather Maps , 1990 .

[46]  J. Dudhia Numerical Study of Convection Observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment Using a Mesoscale Two-Dimensional Model , 1989 .

[47]  Masao Kanamitsu,et al.  Description of the NMC Global Data Assimilation and Forecast System , 1989 .

[48]  R. Houze,et al.  Rear Inflow in Squall Lines with Trailing Stratiform Precipitation , 1987 .

[49]  D. Durran,et al.  The Diagnosis of Synoptic-Scale Vertical Motion in an Operational Environment , 1987 .

[50]  F. Sanders Quasi-Geostrophic Diagnosis of the Monsoon Depression of 5–8 July 1979 , 1984 .

[51]  B. Hoskins,et al.  The diagnosis of middle latitude synoptic development , 1980 .

[52]  J. Shukla CISK-Barotropic-Baroclinic Instability and the Growth of Monsoon Depressions , 1978 .

[53]  B. Hoskins,et al.  A new look at the ?-equation , 1978 .

[54]  J. Holton An introduction to dynamic meteorology , 2004 .

[55]  J. S. Sawyer The structure of the intertropical front over N.W. India during the S.W. Monsoon , 1947 .