A SENTIMENTAL JOURNEY TO CRIME: EFFECTS OF RESIDENTIAL HISTORY ON CRIME LOCATION CHOICE*

Many offenses take place close to where the offender lives. Anecdotal evidence suggests that offenders also might commit crimes near their former homes. Building on crime pattern theory and combining information from police records and other sources, this study confirms that offenders who commit robberies, residential burglaries, thefts from vehicles, and assaults are more likely to target their current and former residential areas than similar areas they never lived in. In support of the argument that spatial awareness mediates the effects of past and current residence, it also is shown that areas of past and present residence are more likely to be targeted if the offender lived in the area for a long time instead of briefly and if the offender has moved away from the area only recently rather than a long time ago. The theoretical implications of these findings and their use for investigative purposes are discussed, and suggestions for future inquiry are made.

[1]  Torsten Hägerstraand WHAT ABOUT PEOPLE IN REGIONAL SCIENCE , 1970 .

[2]  F. E. Horton,et al.  Effects of Urban Spatial Structure on Individual Behavior , 1971 .

[3]  D. McFadden Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior , 1972 .

[4]  Torsten Hägerstrand,et al.  What about people in Regional Science? , 1970 .

[5]  R. Paternoster,et al.  Geographic Mobility and Criminal Behavior , 1988 .

[6]  S. Hanson,et al.  Systematic variability in repetitious travel , 1988 .

[7]  Fred L. Mannering,et al.  Temporal stability of travelers' activity choice and home-stay duration: Some empirical evidence , 1994 .

[8]  S. Raudenbush,et al.  Neighborhoods and violent crime: a multilevel study of collective efficacy. , 1997, Science.

[9]  M. Bierlaire,et al.  Discrete Choice Methods and their Applications to Short Term Travel Decisions , 1999 .

[10]  Laura Dugan THE EFFECT OF CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION ON A HOUSEHOLD'S MOVING DECISION* , 1999 .

[11]  Paul Wiles,et al.  The 'road to nowhere': the evidence for travelling criminals , 2000 .

[12]  K. Axhausen,et al.  Introduction: Habitual travel choice , 2003 .

[13]  K. Axhausen,et al.  Structures of Leisure Travel: Temporal and Spatial Variability , 2004 .

[14]  Andrea S. N. Curman,et al.  Spatial-statistical analysis of arson activity in the Greater Vancouver Region of British Columbia , 2004 .

[15]  A. Caspi,et al.  Social Mechanisms of Community Influences on Crime and Pathways in Criminality , 2005 .

[16]  W. Bernasco,et al.  How Do Residential Burglars Select Target Areas?: A New Approach to the Analysis of Criminal Location Choice , 2005 .

[17]  P. Nieuwbeerta,et al.  THE EFFECTS OF LIFE CIRCUMSTANCES ON LONGITUDINAL TRAJECTORIES OF OFFENDING , 2005 .

[18]  K. Wittebrood,et al.  Socioeconomic Dynamics of Neighborhoods and the Risk of Crime Victimization: A Multilevel Study of Improving, Declining, and Stable Areas in the Netherlands , 2006 .

[19]  Wim Bernasco,et al.  Co‐offending and the choice of target areas in burglary , 2006 .

[20]  Jerry H. Ratcliffe,et al.  A Temporal Constraint Theory to Explain Opportunity-Based Spatial Offending Patterns , 2006 .

[21]  Derek Paulsen,et al.  Improving Geographic Profiling through Commuter/Marauder Prediction , 2007 .

[22]  K. Harries,et al.  Issues in the Geographic Profiling of Crime: Review and Commentary , 2007 .

[23]  K. Wittebrood,et al.  Neighborhood Characteristics and Individual Homicide Risks , 2008 .

[24]  D. McDowall,et al.  THE EFFECTS OF RESIDENTIAL TURNOVER ON HOUSEHOLD VICTIMIZATION , 2008 .

[25]  D. McDowall,et al.  Escaping crime: the effects of direct and indirect victimization on moving , 2008 .

[26]  Richard Block,et al.  WHERE OFFENDERS CHOOSE TO ATTACK: A DISCRETE CHOICE MODEL OF ROBBERIES IN CHICAGO* , 2009 .

[27]  J. Clare,et al.  Formal Evaluation of the Impact of Barriers and Connectors on Residential Burglars' Macro-Level Offending Location Choices , 2009 .

[28]  V. Ceccato,et al.  Activity Fields and the Dynamics of Crime , 2010 .

[29]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Limits of Predictability in Human Mobility , 2010, Science.