Exposing and selling the use of web services - an option to be considered in make-or-buy decision-making

The emergence of the web service market has enabled firms to choose between developing web services internally and purchasing them externally from web service providers. In general, these so-called make-or-buy decisions have been the object of intense debate in the IT outsourcing literature. However, characteristics of web services such as loose coupling and the current trend of digitalizing application interfaces enable new opportunities especially to non-software firms: when a firm decides to develop a web service internally (make-decision), it has the option of exposing and selling the use of this web service after its internal development (sell option). In this paper, we propose a normative approach for the valuation of such a sell option based on real option theory, taking into account the characteristics of web services. This approach enhances traditional make-or-buy approaches by additionally considering this sell option in decision-making. Our results are twofold: (I) the sell option has considerable impact on traditional make-or-buy decisions and makes the internal development of web services more attractive; (II) it is preferable to execute the sell option as soon as possible after completion of the internal development of the web service. We propose a model for the valuation of an option to expose and sell the use of a web service on the market (sell option).This model enhances traditional make-or-buy approaches by additionally considering this sell option in decision-making.The sell option makes the internal development of web services more attractive.It is preferable to execute the sell option directly after completion of the internal development of the web service.

[1]  Rainer Alt,et al.  Service-Lifecycle-Management , 2013, Wirtsch..

[2]  C. Lewis,et al.  Demand Forecasting and Inventory Control: A Computer Aided Learning Approach , 1998 .

[3]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  Evaluating Research Approaches to it Business Value Assessment with the Senior Management Audience in Mind , 1992 .

[4]  Dennis Kundisch,et al.  It sourcing portfolio management for it services providers: an approach for using modern portfolio theory to allocate software development projects to available sites , 2012, DATB.

[5]  Gary Klein,et al.  Rental software valuation in IT investment decisions , 2004, Decis. Support Syst..

[6]  Indranil R. Bardhan,et al.  Prioritizing a Portfolio of Information Technology Investment Projects , 2004, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[7]  Bernd Heinrich,et al.  IT-Service-Management – Ein Modell zur Bestimmung der Folgen von Interoperabilitätsstandards auf die Einbindung externer IT-Dienstleister , 2008, Wirtsch..

[8]  Anastasios A. Economides,et al.  A Decision Analysis Framework for Prioritizing a Portfolio of ICT Infrastructure Projects , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management.

[9]  Sandeep Purao,et al.  A theoretical investigation of the emerging standards for web services , 2007, Inf. Syst. Frontiers.

[10]  Sudipto Sarkar,et al.  The effect of mean reversion on investment under uncertainty , 2003 .

[11]  Scott R. Eliason Maximum likelihood estimation: Logic and practice. , 1994 .

[12]  P. C. Jha,et al.  Optimal Build-or-Buy Decision for Component Selection of Application Package Software , 2013, SEMCCO.

[13]  Magne Jørgensen,et al.  A Systematic Review of Software Development Cost Estimation Studies , 2007, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering.

[14]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  A Case for Using Real Options Pricing Analysis to Evaluate Information Technology Project Investments , 1999, Inf. Syst. Res..

[15]  Vijay Mahajan,et al.  New Product Diffusion Models in Marketing: A Review and Directions for Research: , 1990 .

[16]  Alfred Taudes,et al.  Software Growth Options , 1998, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[17]  W. Sharpe CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* , 1964 .

[18]  Leslie P. Willcocks,et al.  A review of the IT outsourcing empirical literature and future research directions , 2010, J. Inf. Technol..

[19]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  Should We Go Our Own Way? Backsourcing Flexibility in IT Services Contracts , 2010, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[20]  Gerold Riempp,et al.  Understanding the Economic Potential of Service-Oriented Architecture , 2010, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[21]  Damiano Brigo,et al.  A Stochastic Processes Toolkit for Risk Management , 2007, 0812.4210.

[22]  P. Farquhar State of the Art—Utility Assessment Methods , 1984 .

[23]  J. Meredith,et al.  Alternative research paradigms in operations , 1989 .

[24]  B. Kogut,et al.  Operating flexibility, global manufacturing, and the option value of a multinational network , 1994 .

[25]  Brian DosSantos,et al.  Justifying Investments in New Information Technologies , 1991, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[26]  Bandula Jayatilaka,et al.  Information systems outsourcing: a survey and analysis of the literature , 2004, DATB.

[27]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  Justifying Electronic Banking Network Expansion Using Real Options Analysis , 2000, MIS Q..

[28]  Richard Goodwin,et al.  Shared Services Transformation: Conceptualization and Valuation from the Perspective of Real Options , 2009, Decis. Sci..

[29]  Frank Lefley,et al.  Approaches to risk and uncertainty in the appraisal of new technology capital projects , 1997 .

[30]  Steffen Zimmermann,et al.  Make-and-sell or buy of web services a real option approach , 2011, ECIS.

[31]  J. Bertrand,et al.  Operations management research methodologies using quantitative modeling , 2002 .

[32]  Paolo Brandimarte,et al.  Numerical Methods in Finance and Economics: A MATLAB-Based Introduction , 2006 .

[33]  Vittorio Cortellessa,et al.  An optimization framework for "build-or-buy" decisions in software architecture , 2008, Comput. Oper. Res..

[34]  Ding Zu-hao,et al.  On the Uncertainty , 2004 .

[35]  J. Hull Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives , 1989 .

[36]  G. Metcalf,et al.  Investment Under Alternative Return Assumptions: Comparing Random Walks and Mean Reversion , 1995 .

[37]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  Service-oriented technology and management: Perspectives on research and practice for the coming decade , 2008, Electron. Commer. Res. Appl..

[38]  Christine Legner,et al.  Is There a Market for Web Services? , 2009, ICSOC Workshops.

[39]  William Margrabe The Value of an Option to Exchange One Asset for Another , 1978 .

[40]  Walter Schachermayer,et al.  The Limitations of No-Arbitrage Arguments for Real Options , 2001 .

[41]  Leslie P. Willcocks,et al.  A review of the IT outsourcing literature: Insights for practice , 2009, J. Strateg. Inf. Syst..

[42]  Terry Williams,et al.  A classified bibliography of recent research relating to project risk management , 1995 .

[43]  Björn Häckel,et al.  Combining models of capacity supply to handle volatile demand: The economic impact of surplus capacity in cloud service environments , 2014, Decis. Support Syst..

[44]  Xiaolin Li,et al.  A Real Options Model for Generalized Meta-Staged Projects - Valuing the Migration to SOA , 2013, Inf. Syst. Res..

[45]  Merton H. Miller The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment , 1958 .

[46]  Herbert Snyder,et al.  Qualitative interviewing: The art of hearing data , 1996 .

[47]  Boulevard de Constance,et al.  On Uncertainty, Ambiguity, and Complexity in Project Management , 2002 .

[48]  E. Stroulia,et al.  Valuating Software Service Development: Integrating COCOMO II and Real Options Theory , 2007, 2007 First International Workshop on the Economics of Software and Computation.

[49]  Markus Nüttgens,et al.  Geschäftsmodelle für dienstebasierte Informationssysteme , 2008 .

[50]  Magne Jørgensen,et al.  A Systematic Review of Software Development Cost Estimation Studies , 2007 .

[51]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[52]  Rodina Binti Ahmad,et al.  Impact analysis and change propagation in service-oriented enterprises: A systematic review , 2015, Inf. Syst..

[53]  M. Patton Qualitative research and evaluation methods , 1980 .

[54]  Eduardo S. Schwartz,et al.  Investment Under Uncertainty. , 1994 .

[55]  Prasad Kodukula,et al.  Project Valuation Using Real Options: A Practitioner's Guide , 2006 .

[56]  Pieter Ballon,et al.  Adding value to the network: Mobile operators' experiments with Software-as-a-Service and Platform-as-a-Service models , 2011, Telematics Informatics.

[57]  J. D. Suver,et al.  Cost of capital. , 1978, Hospital financial management.

[58]  R. C. Merton,et al.  On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates , 1974, World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance.

[59]  P ? ? ? ? ? ? ? % ? ? ? ? , 1991 .

[60]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  Analyzing the Impact of Cloud Services Brokers on Cloud Computing Markets , 2013 .

[61]  Nikolaos Georgiopoulos Real Options , 2006 .

[62]  Barry W. Boehm,et al.  Software development cost estimation approaches — A survey , 2000, Ann. Softw. Eng..

[63]  Nicolas P. B. Bollen,et al.  Real Options and Product Life Cycles , 1999 .

[64]  Alfred Taudes,et al.  Options Analysis of Software Platform Decisions: A Case Study , 2000, MIS Q..

[65]  Ram L. Kumar,et al.  Managing risks in IT projects: an options perspective , 2002, Inf. Manag..

[66]  Mark Jeffery,et al.  On the Valuation of Multistage Information Technology Investments Embedding Nested Real Options , 2006, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[67]  Noelle Foreshaw Options… , 2010 .

[68]  Bernd Heinrich,et al.  Decision Support for IT Investment Projects , 2016, WI 2016.

[69]  Lukas Auer SOA investment decision-making using real options analysis , 2013 .

[70]  Christian-Oliver Ewald,et al.  Utility based pricing and exercising of real options under geometric mean reversion and risk aversion toward idiosyncratic risk , 2008, Math. Methods Oper. Res..

[71]  Río Hondo Investment Under Uncertainty in Information Technology: Acquisition and Development Projects , 2003 .

[72]  Liang-Jie Zhang,et al.  Services computing as the foundation of enterprise agility: Overview of recent advances and introduction to the special issue , 2007, Inf. Syst. Frontiers.

[73]  Hsing Kenneth Cheng,et al.  Optimal location and pricing of Web services intermediary , 2005, Decis. Support Syst..

[74]  Chyan Yang,et al.  A decision model for IS outsourcing , 2000, Int. J. Inf. Manag..

[75]  Nicolaus Heereman von Zuydtwyck,et al.  Make-or-Buy im Cloud-Computing: Ein entscheidungsorientiertes Modell für den Bezug von Amazon Web Services , 2009 .

[76]  Zheng-Kui Lin,et al.  A Decision Model for Information Systems Outsourcing: Using a Multicriteria Method , 2008 .

[77]  Suzanne Rivard,et al.  Assessing the risk of IT outsourcing , 1998, Proceedings of the Thirty-First Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[78]  Felix Krause,et al.  Determining the Business Value of Volume Flexibility for Service Providers - a Real options Approach , 2014, ECIS.

[79]  Gordon Sick,et al.  Chapter 21 Real options , 1995, Finance.

[80]  Erran Carmel,et al.  Offshoring Information Technology: Foreword , 2005 .

[81]  Ram L. Kumar,et al.  A Note on Project Risk and Option Values of Investments in Information Technologies , 1996, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..