Marketing in Turbulent Environments: Decision Processes and the Time-Sensitivity of Information

The authors study the relationship among information processing, marketing decisions, and performance in turbulent markets—i.e., markets in which the time-sensitivity of information is a major factor in decision making. Drawing on both organizational contingency theory and individual behavioral decision research, the authors suggest that successful performance depends on the congruence between the level of marketplace turbulence and the information-processing style and associated decisions adopted. They focus by way of example on the decision processes embodied in formal planning procedures. Using the results from an experiment conducted with a strategic marketing simulation game, they show that “planning” leads both to an underweighting of the time-sensitivity of marketplace information and toward a bias in favor of certain marketing decisions over others—decisions that, in this case, result in inferior performance in turbulent markets when compared with that of decision makers not engaged in formal planning. They discuss the implications of the findings for managerial behavior in turbulent markets.

[1]  Russell S. Winer,et al.  Locally Rational Decision Making: The Distracting Effect of Information on Managerial Performance , 1992 .

[2]  Allen M. Weiss,et al.  Leapfrogging behavior and the purchase of industrial innovations : theory and evidence , 1989 .

[3]  Luther P. Christman,et al.  Managing in Turbulent Times , 1982 .

[4]  G. Huber The Nature and Design of Post-Industrial Organizations , 1984 .

[5]  R. Duncan Characteristics of Organizational Environments and Perceived Environmental Uncertainty. , 1972 .

[6]  William T. Ross Note-A Re-Examination of the Results of Hogarth and Makridakis' The Value of Decision Making in a Complex Environment: An Experimental Approach , 1987 .

[7]  R E Miles,et al.  Organizational strategy, structure, and process. , 1978, Academy of management review. Academy of Management.

[8]  Ronald J. Kudla The Effects of Strategic Planning on Common Stock Returns , 1980 .

[9]  A. Tversky,et al.  Contingent weighting in judgment and choice , 1988 .

[10]  A. Meyer Adapting to environmental jolts. , 1982, Administrative science quarterly.

[11]  A. Tversky,et al.  Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures , 1982 .

[12]  J. Bettman,et al.  Effects of Information Presentation Format on Consumer Information Acquisition Strategies , 1977 .

[13]  P. Lawrence,et al.  Organization and Environment: Managing Differentiation and Integration , 1967 .

[14]  Allen M. Weiss,et al.  The Nature of Organizational Search in High Technology Markets , 1993 .

[15]  L. Ross,et al.  Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. , 1981 .

[16]  G. Shafer Savage revisited , 1990 .

[17]  R. LaForge,et al.  The Impact of Comprehensive Planning on Financial Performance , 1979 .

[18]  Jay R. Galbraith Designing Complex Organizations , 1973 .

[19]  Gregory G. Dess,et al.  Dimensions of Organizational Task Environments. , 1984 .

[20]  D. Bell The Coming of the Post-Industrial Society , 1973 .

[21]  Kathleen M. Eisenhardt,et al.  Making Fast Strategic Decisions In High-Velocity Environments , 1989 .

[22]  Rashi Glazer Marketing in an Information-Intensive Environment: Strategic Implications of Knowledge as an Asset , 1991 .

[23]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Behavioral decision research: A constructive processing perspective. , 1992 .

[24]  Russell S. Winer,et al.  The Formation of Key Marketing Variable Expectations and Their Impact on Firm Performance: Some Experimental Evidence , 1989 .

[25]  John A. Pearce,et al.  The Tenuous Link Between Formal Strategic Planning and Financial Performance , 1987 .

[26]  William R. King,et al.  The logic of strategic planning , 1982 .

[27]  Henry Mintzberg Strategy-Making in Three Modes , 1973 .

[28]  T. Mitchell,et al.  Strategic Decision Processes: Comprehensiveness and Performance in an Industry with an Unstable Environment , 1984 .

[29]  Michael X Cohen,et al.  A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice. , 1972 .

[30]  Spyros Makridakis,et al.  The Value of Decision Making in a Complex Environment: An Experimental Approach , 1981 .

[31]  K. Eisenhardt,et al.  Strategic decision processes in high velocity environments: four cases in the microcomputer industry , 1988 .

[32]  D. Aaker Developing Business Strategies , 1984 .

[33]  A. Tversky,et al.  Compatibility effects in judgment and choice. , 1990 .